Wellington (NSW) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:02 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Wellington (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 15 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsWellington (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Lss Locksmith & Security Country Boosted Mdn Plate 1400m · jumps Sun 15 Nov, 1:35 pm AEDT

Race notes

CTRY MDN-SW,Maiden
GOOD4
Overcast
8 runners

Shortest win price

Zoysia (3) and Woollen (8)

2.90

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Onpace

2Spectacular Star
3Zoysia
6Polens
1Skivvy
7Star Chic

Firststart

4Listen Closely

Backmarker

8Woollen

Leader

5Chrislyn

Skivvy · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 40% lower than Career Avg.
Spectacular Star · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Zoysia · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 27% in Last 100 Rides
Listen Closely · Negative
1st Up
May need this run

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1SkivvyJ: Sairyn Fawke·T: Brett Thompson259kg8 10 6 83: 0-0-0$31.00$4.20

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
2: 0-0-0
Track Narromine
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Dubbo1000m31 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD310.81L
6Narromine1100m17 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.59L
10Dubbo1000m2 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY813.65L
8Narromine800m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)7.1L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 40% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 182%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 62%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 59% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 35% in L100 rides
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Never sighted at Dubbo latest outing. Not fancied.

ILB

Started $101.00 and finished 8th last start at Dubbo but will try to take advantage of the alley. Facing a rise in trip. Very unlikely.

Lightly raced (running for just the fourth time); finished eighth, beaten 11l, last month at Dubbo in a handicap; looks likely to go well.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and finished 8th last run at Dubbo but racing over more ground. Drawn nicely.

2Spectacular StarJ: Jacob Stiff·T: Brett Thompson359kg5 5 8 2 28: 0-3-0$5.50$1.85

Career

8: 0-3-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Mendooran
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1120m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Dubbo1200m3 Nov 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.58L
2Mendooran1500m5 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW0.9L
8Narromine1300m23 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY85.3L
5Dubbo1120m10 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY97.9L
5Coonabarabran900m25 July 2026 · MDN · SOFT55.8L
4Parkes1200m24 Jan 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.8L
2Parkes1200m9 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD30.51L
5Wellington900m26 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW3.8L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 62%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 59% Profit on Turnover
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Knocking on the door. Brave in defeat Mdn Plate at Dubbo. Can have a major say.

ILB

Looked good when 2nd last run at Dubbo. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Has shown early pace in races to date. Winning potential.

Has kicked on in his last couple of races and has been consistent of late; was on the premises (second, beaten 1½l) at Dubbo over 6f (maiden) two weeks ago; assuming he steps up from most recent effort then should be on the premises.

RSIS

Finished 2nd last time at Dubbo. Blinkers go on for the first time. Should jump out and bowl along. Expected to be competitive.

3ZoysiaJ: Kody Nestor·T: Kieren Hazelton859kg10 10 3 8 68: 0-0-1$2.90$1.28

Career

8: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
2: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Coonamble
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-1

Last starts

6Warren1400m8 Nov 2026 · Maiden · GOOD35.29L
8Coonabarabran1200m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · GOOD42.95L
3Coonamble1100m11 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD30.9L
10Mudgee1400m5 Apr 2026 · Maiden · GOOD319.5L
10Dubbo1100m15 Mar 2026 · Maiden · GOOD47.7L
4Dubbo1100m6 Mar 2026 · MDN · GOOD42.3L
5Canterbury1200m1 Jan 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · GOOD42.1L
9Randwick Kensington850m18 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial3.2L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 27% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 29%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Sent out $14 when battled home to finish 6th at Warren. Among the dangers.

ILB

On a quick back up. At $14.00 couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last start at Warren. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. A threat to the other main hopes.

Beaten just over 5l into sixth a week ago at Warren in a handicap; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. At 13/1 outmuscled in the late stages of the race when 6th last start at Warren. Should come to hand quickly. Good chance in this.

4Listen CloselyJ: Shannen Llewellyn·T: Angus Stewart657.5kg10 6$6.00$1.95

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

6Hawkesbury1000m29 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)11.9L
10Rosehill900m22 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)22L

Insights

1st Up
Negative
May need this run
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Trials (3:0-0-0). $7,000 purchase. Out of a stakes-winning mare. Trial form uninspiring but obviously better for the experience. Nice race to kick off in. Keep safe.

ILB

3yo first starter sired by Farnan for trainer Angus Stewart. Interesting to see the winkers go on for the first time. Has not placed in multiple trials. Watch early betting.

Conceding experience to all his rivals; first racecourse start; warrants plenty of respect.

RSIS

3yo first starter by Farnan for trainer Angus Stewart. Interesting to see the cheekpieces go on for the first time. Yet to place in all trials. Watch betting.

5ChrislynJ: Mikayla Weir·T: G D Lunn457kg12 2 4 6 518: 0-2-1$7.50$2.30

Career

18: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Forbes
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
2: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
7: 0-2-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-2-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Dubbo1400m31 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD34.56L
6Bathurst1400m16 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD410.07L
4Forbes1400m10 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD41.21L
2Grenfell1400m26 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW0.02L
12Dubbo2200m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD431.8L
5Mudgee1400m30 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT77.4L
7Narromine1600m23 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY83L
2Carinda1400m18 July 2026 · MDN-SW2.7L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Garry Lunn striking at just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Off pace and failed to make an impression at Dubbo over this distance. A few runs under her belt this campaign, not out of it.

ILB

Lost ground when 5th last start at Dubbo. Should race on the speed. Good chance in this.

Yet to win, defeats are stacking up; not beaten that far at Dubbo last month; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Lost momentum when 5th last time at Dubbo. Should muster plenty of early toe. Must be considered here.

6PolensJ: Jordan Quince·T: Barry Wall157kg10 7 9 7 647: 0-5-3$11.00$2.75

Career

47: 0-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Forbes
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1310m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
14: 0-2-0
Distance 1410m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
25: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
8: 0-1-0
Going Soft
13: 0-2-2

Last starts

6Mudgee1400m24 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.17L
7Forbes1400m10 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD44.19L
9Cootamundra1400m4 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD47.27L
7Wellington1100m15 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT65.58L
10Dubbo1400m28 June 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY84.8L
5Canberra1280m12 June 2026 · MDN · GOOD38.5L
7Warren1400m1 June 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT73.85L
7Queanbeyan1460m17 May 2026 · Maiden · GOOD49.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -21%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Continues to race without success. Unable to make an impression at Mudgee over today's trip. Looks more a place prospect.

ILB

Odds of $3.80 and disappointing display when 6th last time at Mudgee but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Won't be far away during the run. Unlikely to go close.

Yet to win after 47 starts and shown only moderate recent form; finished last of six at Mudgee 22 days ago; passed over.

RSIS

Started 11/4 and mediocre display when 6th last run at Mudgee but has the ideal stall. Won't be far away during the run.

7Star ChicJ: Glenn Cahill·T: A L Mcrae757kg7 11 9 6 616: 0-1-0$26.00$3.90

Career

16: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Albury
6: 0-1-0
Track Wagga
2: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
8: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Queanbeyan1460m26 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT618.61L
6Moruya1650m2 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT79.1L
9Goulburn1200m24 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD46.02L
11Canberra2000m4 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT611.8L
7Albury1600m18 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY88L
4Gundagai1400m4 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT76L
9Albury1500m27 July 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY97.4L
6Wagga1400m6 July 2026 · MDN · HEAVY99.7L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Glenn Cahill 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 25%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Glenn Cahill winning at 7% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Had plenty of chances. Average performance in small field in soft going at Queanbeyan. Looks up against it.

ILB

Jumped at $41.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last time at Queanbeyan. Still in maiden grade after 16 starts. Priced to finish behind most.

Not threatened the judge of late and yet to win after 16 starts; finished last of six over 7½f at Queanbeyan (maiden) three weeks ago; passed over.

RSIS

Started at 40/1 and folded up in the straight when 6th last run at Queanbeyan. A 16 start maiden.

8WoollenJ: Molly Bourke·T: G D Lunn557kg8 7 5 3 88: 0-0-1$2.90$1.28

Career

8: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1479m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Dubbo1600m31 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD36.18L
3Orange1600m19 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.86L
5Coonamble1300m11 Oct 2026 · Maiden · GOOD36.95L
7Dubbo1400m27 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD42.99L
8Kilmore2000m18 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.6L
4Pakenham2000m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY95.3L
4Kyneton1862m13 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD40.67L
6Kyneton1479m27 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · SOFT66.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Garry Lunn striking at just 6%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Molly Bourke 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Solid run Mdn at Orange 19 Oct. Well back and never a factor at Dubbo. Drops to shorter trip. Look for a bounce back.

ILB

Jumped at $5.00 and ran 8th last run at Dubbo. Should bounce back but rises in weight. Displays good finishing speed. Definitely worth considering.

Beaten eighth of 14 over 1m at Dubbo (conditions race) last month; has taken a step forward the last twice.

RSIS

At 4/1 came in 8th last run at Dubbo. Expecting improvement here but will have to carry extra weight. Expected to be flashing home. Watch the market moves.

Odds correct as at Sun 15 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 15 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races