Moe (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:02 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Moe (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 15 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsMoe (VIC)Change

Race 1 — Tm&H Mitre 10 Mdn Plate 1100m · jumps Sun 15 Nov, 12:35 pm AEDT

Race notes

3Y MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
GOOD4
Showers
10 runners

Shortest win price

Nautique (13)

3.70

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

9Kejayaan

Offmidfield

7Chantess

Offpace

6Verismo
10Marbles
13Nautique

Firststart

2Ballsintheair
4Doolin
5Prestige Valley
8Crimson Storm

Leader

1Amber Smile

Amber Smile · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -73% POT in their L100 Races
Ballsintheair · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Doolin · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Prestige Valley · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 53% lower than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Amber SmileJ: Damien Thornton·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes358kg3 6 52: 0-0-0$13.00$3.30

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Ballarat Synthetic1200m2 July 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC5.6L
6Mornington1200m8 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT76.5L
3Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.2L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -73% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (19-weeks). Others carry more punch.

ILB

Fresh from a break. Odds of $8.00 and came in 5th last start Ballarat Synthetic. Expected to rebound. Has early speed and positions nicely. One of the punters top hopes.

Found life tough when 6l back in fifth over 6f at Ballarat (maiden) in July; layoff to overcome; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break. Started 7/1 and came in 5th last start Ballarat Synthetic. Expecting improvement. Should muster plenty of early pace. Has been gelded. Strong prospects in this race.

2BallsintheairJ: Jamie Mott·T: Gavin Bedggood758kg–$7.50$2.45

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 57%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 39% POT in L100 Runners
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

$26k purchase. Out of a half-sister to the stakes winner Washington Heights. Supido gelding heading to the races off recent jumpout win.

ILB

Supido 3yo having first race appearance for Gavin Bedggood. Interesting gear change of tongue tie on first time. Watch the market.

Already gelded; first start under rules for this son of Supido; should go close as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

Gavin Bedggood 3yo debutant by Supido. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time.

3BoridiScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential

Comments

AAP

Resuming (17-weeks). Can produce a run fresh. Draw no favours here. Not out of it fresh.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Just missed last start Ballarat Synthetic and putting a tidy record together so far.

RSIS

Resumes after a break. Was agonizingly close last start Ballarat Synthetic and good career start.

4DoolinJ: Zac Spain·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman858kg–$18.00$3.70

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 55%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 63% Profit on Turnover
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

First starter by Hellbent and out of the Charge Forward mare Star Charge. Solid in all jumpouts. May need the experience but watch for support.

ILB

3yo first starter sired by Hellbent for Katherine Coleman & Peter G Moody. Betting is the best guide.

Sire's stock can be smart performers; gelded already; trainer capable of preparing a newcomer to win; he can make a bold bid with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Katherine Coleman & Peter G Moody 3yo by Hellbent on debut.

5Prestige ValleyJ: Melea Castle·T: Matt Jenkins558kg–$91.00$10.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 53% lower than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 35% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

$80k purchase. Unraced 3yo by All Too Hard and out of the Hallowed Crown mare Lillemor. Well held in all jumpouts.

ILB

Initial appearance 3yo by All Too Hard for trainer Matt Jenkins. Interesting to see the winkers go on for the first time. Watch for a sign in the market.

Making his racecourse bow; sire gets his share of decent sorts; big chance as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

3yo by All Too Hard having initial appearance for trainer Matt Jenkins. Interesting to see the cheekpieces go on for the first time.

6VerismoJ: Billy Egan·T: A & S Freedman958kg2 6 4 52: 0-0-0$9.00$2.70

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Bendigo1000m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.9L
4Illawarra Grange1150m30 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT63.3L
6Randwick740m4 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.9L
2Randwick740m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial0.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 36% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 14%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Billy Egan 41% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Key Jockey
Positive
Billy Egan winning at 26% POT in last 100 rides
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely at Bendigo at second appearance. Better from that outing.

ILB

Odds of $4.20 and finished 5th last start at Bendigo. Good chance in this.

Beaten 7l when fifth of nine over 5f at Bendigo (maiden) 29 days ago; easy to oppose.

RSIS

Started 10/3 and ran 5th last time at Bendigo. Could win this.

7ChantessJ: Michael Dee·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes156kg41: 0-0-0$5.50$2.10

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Pakenham1000m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.75L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Wasn't all that far from the action on debut at Pakenham 30 Oct. Took valuable lessons. Extra trip may assist.

ILB

Started $4.60 and made up ground when 4th last run at Pakenham and having second race start. Displays good closing speed. Drawn well. Commands respect.

Fair debut effort in Pakenham maiden over 5f at 7-2 last month; will need to progress to get off the mark.

RSIS

Started 7/2 and kept chasing when 4th last run at Pakenham and was a debutant last start. Expected to be flashing home. Drawn the rails. Will go close.

8Crimson StormJ: Jabez Johnstone·T: C Maher1056kg–$9.00$2.75

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

$150k purchase. Out of a Group 3-winning mare. Stay Inside filly heading to the races with competitive jumpout form. Alley makes it tough.

ILB

3yo debutant by Stay Inside for Ciaron Maher. Market as guide.

Related to Gleneagles (winner from 5f up to 7f); trainer more than capable of readying a newcomer, especially over this sort of distance; on the shortlist; was due to run at Dunkeld Saturday.

RSIS

3yo by Stay Inside having first start for trainer Ciaron Maher.

9KejayaanJ: Lachlan Neindorf·T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes256kg1 31: 0-0-0$9.00$2.75

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

13Bendigo1100m25 June 2026 · 2yo · SOFT69.4L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Phillip & Tommy Stokes striking at just 9%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -50% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (20-weeks). Ex P Stokes in Victoria. A very soft debut performance at Bendigo at longer odds 25 Jun. Better for the time off but will need to step up.

ILB

First up after a break. Odds of $31.00 and disappointing outing when 13th last run at Bendigo but having second career run. Might be ridden for luck. Others are more appealing.

Beaten 9l on her debut running over this distance at Bendigo at 28-1 in June; back from an absence here; must now step up.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Started 30/1 and was ordinary when 13th last time at Bendigo but having second career run. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

10MarblesJ: Craig Newitt·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr656kg4 51: 0-0-0$4.00$1.65

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Morphettville1200m9 May 2026 · 2yo · SOFT63.9L
4Caulfield800m2 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial4.5L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming for second prep (27-weeks). Not disgraced on a soft deck at Morphettville at career opener 9 May. Can take a positive step forward here.

ILB

Resuming after a 27 week break. Was $6.00 and improved when 5th last start at Morphettville and was a debutant last start. Competing in a less challenging grade. Holds a major chance.

Fair debut effort at Morphettville at 5-1 six months ago; returns from a break today; couldn't rule out improvement although wouldn't get too carried away despite this looking a little easier than last time.

RSIS

First run back after a 27 week break. Started 5/1 and overtook some late when 5th last start at Morphettville and fitter for debut run. Great chance.

11Miss Home BodyScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed100%

Insights

Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 29 days
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Under early hold and got home late at $10 at Avoca at second start. Reverts to slightly shorter trip. This looks more demanding.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Started $20.00 and unimpressive effort when 12th last start at Pakenham.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Started at 19/1 and below expectations when 12th last run at Pakenham.

12Mistressof MayfairScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

By Churchill and making debut after a solid jumpout win. Market watch advised.

ILB

3yo by Churchill having initial appearance for Matt Laurie. Watch the market moves.

RSIS

First race appearance 3yo by Churchill for Matt Laurie.

13NautiqueJ: Damian Lane·T: Charlotte Littlefield456kg3 7 4 43: 0-0-0$3.70$1.55

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1118m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Kyneton1118m20 Oct 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD32.8L
4Pakenham Synthetic1000m2 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC0.85L
7Pakenham1100m29 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY811.2L
3Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L

Insights

Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Form to date fair. Finished it off only fairly at Kyneton second-up following market easing. Sharper now, commands attention here.

ILB

Started $17.00 and made ground when closing off to finish 4th last start at Kyneton. Not at all out of this race.

Respectable effort to finish fourth, beaten just under 3l at Kyneton four weeks ago.

RSIS

Started 16/1 and improved when 4th last start at Kyneton. Has some claims.

Odds correct as at Sun 15 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Thu 24 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Tue 8 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races