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Kembla Grange (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kembla Grange (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovKembla Grange (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Jansz Mdn Plate 1000m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Kembla Grange for the Jansz Mdn Plate over 1000m on a Soft 5 track with overcast skies, kicking off at 12:45 pm AEDT. The win market has Magic Blaze heading the queues, followed closely by Zourrific, Albatross, and Chumpakidd rounding out the top four in the early betting order. It is a cracking little maiden where the numbers jump off the page for a few key runners, so let us dive straight into the form and find a winner!

Magic Blaze opens as the shortest runner for J & G Lee, returning here for a second campaign following an encouraging debut performance at Gosford over 1100m on soft ground and two recent trials, with the stable currently flying hot. Zourrific sits next in the market for Peter Snowden and maps well as a backmarker, returning fresh after a solid debut effort at Randwick Kensington and a couple of trials including a recent hitout at Rosehill. Chumpakidd is another one right in the mix from barrier 7 for C Karakatsanis, coming off solid runner-up efforts at Orange and Queanbeyan over this 1000m trip and showing plenty of fight when boxed on late last time out.

Looking further down the speed maps and the market order, Chumpakidd and Mazemblard are tagged as the early leaders to push forward from their barriers. Albatross catches the eye down in the market for K J Parker as a first-starter with a nice trial placing right here at Kembla Grange, backed by a hot jockey and trainer combination outperforming market expectations. All things considered, Magic Blaze rates a real chance to dictate terms on a track that suits, but keep an eye on Zourrific flashing home late.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
  • SOFT5
  • Overcast
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Zourrific (6)

2.10

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

  • 4Albatross
  • 5Mystery Prince
  • 7Parisian Heiress
  • 8Slipstream Sarah

Backmarker

  • 6Zourrific

Midfield

  • 2Magic Blaze

Leader

  • 1Chumpakidd
  • 3Mazemblard

  • Chumpakidd · Negative

    Awkward Draw

    May find this draw awkward

  • Magic Blaze · Positive

    Stable In Form

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 51%

  • Mazemblard · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Albatross · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 14% lower than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1ChumpakiddJ: Leeshelle Small·T: C Karakatsanis759kg4 3 6 2 24: 0-2-0$15.00$2.75

Career

4: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Queanbeyan

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Orange

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Queanbeyan1000m26 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT61.67L
  2. 2Orange1000m8 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.88L
  3. 6Hawkesbury1000m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.64L
  4. 3Warwick Farm816m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.4L
  5. 4Newcastle900m31 Mar 2026 · MDN · GOOD44L
  6. 3Warwick Farm786m20 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.9L
  7. 3Kembla Grange800m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3.2L
  8. 4Warwick Farm815m31 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial4.3L

Insights

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Continues to race well. Sent forward, outgunned late but boxed on at Queanbeyan over this trip. Fits well against this opposition.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Looked good when 2nd last time at Queanbeyan. Should muster plenty of early toe. Racing consistently this preparation. Large claim helps. Could feature here.

RP

Couldn't quite get the job done when 7-5 runner-up (Queanbeyan) a week ago.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Tidy effort when 2nd last time at Queanbeyan. Should jump out and bowl along. Tracking very well of late.

2Magic BlazeJ: L P Beuzelin·T: J & G Lee559kg1 2 31: 0-1-0$3.00$1.20

Career

1: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 3Randwick740m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)0.6L
  2. 2Gosford1100m11 June 2026 · 2&3Y MDN · SOFT50.7L
  3. 1Randwick737m15 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-1.2

Insights

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 51%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 25% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (20-weeks). Highly encouraging debut performance at Gosford 11 Jun when fancied. Two trials since, latest at Randwick 23 Oct. Perfectly placed to make a winning return.

ILB

First run back from a break. Flashed home late into 2nd beaten by 3/4L last start at Gosford and having second race start. Winning chance.

RP

Missed out by half a length on his debut at Gosford at 85-40 in June; returning from a layoff here; progress needed on this second career run.

RSIS

First run back from break. Claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd last run at Gosford and was on debut last time. Winning chance.

3MazemblardJ: Jeff Penza·T: T & P Vigouroux159kg9 21: 0-0-0$71.00$5.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Queanbeyan

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Hawkesbury1000m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.1L
  2. 9Queanbeyan1200m21 Apr 2026 · MDN · GOOD412.1L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 53% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (28-weeks). A long way off them at Queanbeyan on debut at cricket score odds. Latest trial work was solid. Plenty of improvement needed but check markets.

ILB

Resuming after a 28 week spell. Was $101.00 and didn't threaten when 9th last time at Queanbeyan but having second career run. Should muster plenty of early speed. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.

RP

Seemed to find life tough on his debut in April (Queanbeyan, 6f); returning from a layoff here; could improve but still hard to see him winning here; also engaged in race 5 at Canberra.

RSIS

Fresh after a 28 week break. Odds of 100/1 and gave away some ground when 9th last time at Queanbeyan but fitter for debut run. Shows good early pace.

4AlbatrossJ: Chad Lever·T: K J Parker657.5kg3 5$7.50$1.85

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 5Hawkesbury800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.6L
  2. 3Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 14% lower than Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%

  • Market Watch

    Negative

    Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-1). $18k purchase. Out of an unraced half-sister to the stakes winner Cage Fighter. Placed in earlier trial here. Betting.

ILB

3yo first starter by Rebel Dane for Kerry Parker. Fitter for a barrier trial at this venue on Oct 7th. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Stable does well at Kembla Grange with debutants; gelded already; sire's progeny generally enjoy some ease in the ground; should be on the premises.

RSIS

First time at the races 3yo by Rebel Dane for Kerry Parker. Ran 3rd in a trial at this venue on Oct 7th.

5Mystery PrinceJ: Rory Hutchings·T: J M Austin257.5kg7 2$51.00$4.60

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 2Hawkesbury800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.6L
  2. 7Warwick Farm740m25 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC10.4L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Rory Hutchings 22% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Rory Hutchings in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 22%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Market Watch

    Negative

    Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-1-0). $40k purchase. Out of a winning mare. Latest trial okay but this shapes as a tough debut test. Good draw. Market watch advised.

ILB

Per Incanto 3yo trained by Jarrod Austin having first race start and gets a favourable draw. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Follow the money.

RP

Stable's stats offers some hope; sire's stock can be smart performers; he may need this initial experience so could be one for another day.

RSIS

Initial appearance 3yo by Per Incanto for trainer Jarrod Austin and has a positive stall. Blinkers go on for the first time.

6ZourrificJ: Keagan Latham·T: Peter Snowden457.5kg7 1 3 41: 0-0-1$2.10$1.08

Career

1: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Randwick Kensington

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Rosehill1030m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.2L
  2. 3Randwick Kensington1150m10 June 2026 · CG&E MDN · SOFT54.3L
  3. 1Gosford800m18 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.6
  4. 7Randwick740m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial5L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (20-weeks). Encouraging debut performance at Randwick-Kensington 10 Jun. Two trials since, latest at Rosehill 19 Oct. Big show fresh.

ILB

Back after a spell. Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd beaten by 4 1/4L last start at Randwick Kensington and fitter for debut run. Looks like a winning chance.

RP

Fair debut effort at Randwick at evens in June; returns from a break here; needs to make above-average progress.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Showed a good turn of foot when 3rd beaten by 4 1/4L last start at Randwick Kensington and having second career run. Looks set to run a big race.

7Parisian HeiressJ: Jean Van Overmeire·T: Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter357kg4 4 1$7.00$1.80

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 1Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
  2. 4Wyong845m17 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5L
  3. 4Kembla Grange800m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.5L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%

  • Watch Betting

    Negative

    If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (3:1-0-0). $90k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare who won six races. Signalled was ready to go now with latest improved Kembla Grange trial win and has benefit of decent alley.

ILB

Written Tycoon 4yo having first race start for Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter. Won a barrier trial at the track on Oct 7th. Watch the market moves.

RP

Makes first racecourse appearance; sire's stock can be smart performers; warrants respect as some good aspects to her profile.

RSIS

4yo debutant by Written Tycoon for Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter. Won a trial at the track on Oct 7th.

8Slipstream SarahJ: Jon Grisedale·T: Ms D Poidevin-Laine857kg4 2$26.00$3.70

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 2Kembla Grange800m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L
  2. 4Randwick740m22 July 2025 · Barrier Trial1.3L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 96%

  • Market Watch

    Negative

    Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-1-0). Good latest trial after a trainer change. Would need to see some market confidence.

ILB

4yo by Headwater having first race start for trainer Diane Poidevin-Laine. Placed 2nd in a barrier trial at this venue on Oct 7th. Betting is the best guide.

RP

First start under rules for this four-year-old daughter of Headwater; big player with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Diane Poidevin-Laine trained 4yo by Headwater having first race start. Ran 2nd in a trial here on Oct 7th.

9Volcanic ActivityScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer50%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed50%

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:0-1-1). $180k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G3 winner Bliss Street. Unplaced in latest trial but has shown some ability in her previous trial work. Alley makes it tough but market watch advised.

ILB

Initial race appearance 3yo by Pinatubo for Annabel Archibald & Rob Archibald. Watch the market.

RSIS

3yo first starter by Pinatubo for Annabel Archibald & Rob Archibald.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races