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Innisfail horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Innisfail, with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 17 October 2026

Race 6 — Drm Plumbing (Bm55) 1200m · jumps 5:52 pm AEDT

Race notes

  • BM55,BM55 HCP,Benchmark 55
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 11 runners

Shortest win price

Minnie Vegas (9)

3.80

Most career wins

Red Boomshakalaka

7-4-4 from 35 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offmidfield

  • 1Devil's Inn
  • 4Nosey Neo
  • 10Brave Intent

Midfield

  • 6Maravillas

Offpace

  • 11Napa Valley
  • 3Verbalize
  • 8Laser Beam

Onpace

  • 12Third Master
  • 2Red Boomshakalaka
  • 13Lucky Jim

Leader

  • 9Minnie Vegas
  • Devil's Inn · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Red Boomshakalaka · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 35% better than Career Avg.

  • Verbalize · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 18%

  • Nosey Neo · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 66%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Devil's InnJ: Shohei Kaya·T: Wayne Brady263.5kg1 10 9 7 533: 4-6-4Devil's Inn win23.00Devil's Inn place4.20

Career

33: 4-6-4

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Cairns

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    6: 1-1-1

  • Track Townsville

    7: 0-0-1

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1180m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 2-4-2

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Townsville850m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.2L
  2. 7Innisfail900m20 June 2026 · Open4.8L
  3. 9Cairns1250m28 Dec 2024 · GOOD411.08L
  4. 10Cairns1250m17 Dec 2024 · GOOD45.67L
  5. 1Home Hill1180m7 Dec 2024 · GOOD4-0.86
  6. 5Townsville1000m28 Nov 2024 · GOOD43.86L
  7. 15Townsville1400m3 Aug 2024 · GOOD49.3L
  8. 8Townsville1609m20 July 2024 · SOFT56.9L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

First-up (17-weeks). Fitter and second-up form generally better. Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this affair.

ILB

Back from a break. Odds of $16.00 and below par when 7th last run here but matched against a less competitive field. Stepping back up in distance. Appears tested in this event.

RP

This is his grade; finished seventh but wasn't beaten too far (just under 5l) on his debut for new trainer in June when back to 4½f in a conditions race; shown he can get his head in front so one to be interested in.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Was 15/1 and struggled when 7th last time here but challenged by weaker competitors. Back to a rise in trip.

2Red BoomshakalakaJ: Isabella Teh·T: Allan Holmes1162.5kg5 6 12 6 635: 7-4-4Red Boomshakalaka win11.00Red Boomshakalaka place3.20

Career

35: 7-4-4

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-2-1

  • Second-up

    6: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    6: 1-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Townsville

    8: 2-2-1

  • Track Innisfail

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 950m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    23: 6-3-2

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    24: 7-3-4

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Cairns1250m11 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD43.86L
  2. 6Ewan820m26 Sept 2026 · BM654.56L
  3. 12Atherton1000m19 Sept 2026 · BM6510.12L
  4. 6Atherton1000m25 July 2026 · HCP6.8L
  5. 5Ingham1000m11 July 2026 · BM654.6L
  6. 8Innisfail900m20 June 2026 · Open5.1L
  7. 8Dalby1000m30 Jan 2026 · BM65 · GOOD35.7L
  8. 4Warwick800m22 Jan 2026 · BM58 · SOFT51.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 35% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Out Of Form

    Negative

    Needs to try and find some form

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Winless since 4 Jul 2025. Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Cairns. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Jumped at $101.00 and came in 6th last time at Cairns and rises in weight. Has struggled so far this campaign. Needs significant improvement.

RP

Has proven competitive in a race of this nature; not disgraced in sixth (Cairns) upped to this trip last Sunday; can have a big say.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Was 100/1 and ran 6th last time at Cairns and rises in weight. Struggling lately.

3VerbalizeJ: Mitch Goring·T: Athol Ryan661kg2 10 2 1 611: 2-3-1Verbalize win7.00Verbalize place2.40

Career

11: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Cairns

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Rockhampton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Atherton

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Ewan1300m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD9.82L
  2. 1Atherton1000m19 Sept 2026 · CLB-0.47
  3. 2Oak Park1400m3 July 2026 · 0 - 551.4L
  4. 10Innisfail1200m20 June 2026 · BM607.4L
  5. 2Cairns1400m15 May 2026 · BM50 · HEAVY90.2L
  6. 1Mount Garnett1350m1 May 2026 · MDN-SW-0.9
  7. 2Sunshine Coast1400m5 Apr 2026 · MDN · HEAVY95.2L
  8. 3Sunshine Coast1400m29 Mar 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT64.2L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 18%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Ewan when supported. Hard to warm to.

ILB

At $3.50 came in 6th last start at Ewan. Has the ability to turn things around. Strong claims.

RP

Beaten 10l in sixth last month at Ewan upped to 6½f; he can be competitive at this level; if excused last run, interesting based on success two runs back; could be involved.

RSIS

Odds of 5/2 and ran 6th last start at Ewan. Can show a better performance this time. Very capable of taking this out.

4Nosey NeoJ: Aidan Holt·T: Trevor & Peter Rowe460kg8 7 9 2 420: 3-5-0Nosey Neo win3.90Nosey Neo place1.65

Career

20: 3-5-0

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mackay

    4: 0-3-0

  • Track Rockhampton

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Townsville

    12: 3-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 950m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    8: 1-2-0

  • Going Good

    8: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 3-2-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Cairns950m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.28L
  2. 2Ewan1000m26 Sept 2026 · CL51L
  3. 9Townsville1200m5 Mar 2026 · BM55 · SOFT56.6L
  4. 7Mackay1200m13 Feb 2026 · 3Y-SW · GOOD45.7L
  5. 8Townsville1000m3 Feb 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD417.2L
  6. 8Townsville1400m6 Jan 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT58.1L
  7. 9Townsville1000m28 Dec 2025 · 3Y HCP · SOFT75.8L
  8. 7Rockhampton1200m9 Dec 2025 · 3Y HCP · GOOD410.6L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 66%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Trimmed his margin late in the small field at Cairns. Class drop helps. All the better, has some claims.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Started at $10.00 and made up ground when 4th last time at Cairns. Has some claims.

RP

This is his level and producing consistent form; respectable effort in a conditions race (Cairns) on Sunday; recent display was promising so should go close.

RSIS

On a short back up. Started 9/1 and ran past a few when 4th last start at Cairns. Has some claims.

5Better DrawScratched12––––

Career

17: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Ipswich

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Atherton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Unknown

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Atherton1400m19 Sept 2026 · BM507.66L
  2. 8Cairns1250m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP CLASS 1 SW · SOFT69.6L
  3. 4Innisfail1200m15 Aug 2026 · BM553.91L
  4. 14Townsville1000m1 Aug 2026 · BM55 · GOOD45.7L
  5. 6Sunshine Coast1400m10 May 2026 · BM60 · SOFT53L
  6. 10Sunshine Coast1800m19 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD49.2L
  7. 2Gold Coast1400m4 Apr 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.3L
  8. 7Ipswich1350m20 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 60 · GOOD44.3L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Failed to threaten at Atherton. Has an adverse draw. Rough place prospect only.

ILB

Not up to scratch when 10th last run at Atherton but suited by the weight drop. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

RP

Finished tenth of 12 at Atherton over 7f (handicap) last month; shown only moderate recent form and subpar record of 1-17; he can be taken on.

RSIS

Well beaten when 10th last start at Atherton but goes down in weight. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

6MaravillasJ: Adam Sewell·T: Lachie Manzelmann959.5kg3 6 8 4 419: 2-0-3Maravillas win18.00Maravillas place3.90

Career

19: 2-0-3

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Birdsville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Twin Hills

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Rockhampton

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1470m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    7: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Twin Hills1200m26 Sept 2026 · CL6-SW7.78L
  2. 4Mackay1200m12 Sept 2026 · BM55 · GOOD43.1L
  3. 8Birdsville1400m5 Sept 2026 · 0 - 55 HCP · GOOD14.3L
  4. 6Mackay1560m20 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD43.7L
  5. 3Bowen1470m15 Aug 2026 · BM652L
  6. 1Middlemount1200m25 July 2026 · 0 - 55-0.1
  7. 5Mackay1200m17 July 2026 · BM55 · GOOD42.7L
  8. 3Ingham1200m11 July 2026 · BM502.5L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 107%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression at Twin Hills over this distance. One for exotics.

ILB

Started at $5.50 and not in contention when 4th last time at Twin Hills but taking on easier opposition. Has to cope with a weight increase. Has definite claims.

RP

Beaten 8l into fourth last month (Twin Hills) in a conditions race; not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Middlemount three months ago; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Started at 9/2 and had difficulty when 4th last start at Twin Hills but challenged by less formidable competitors. Rising in weight. Expecting a strong showing.

7She's A BeautyScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

99

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Insights

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Reserved midfield and picked up intently at Townsville over this journey. Hard fit, can play a role if she gets the breaks.

ILB

Put in a competitive run when placing 3rd last start at Townsville.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd last run at Townsville.

8Laser BeamJ: Samantha Pointon·T: A G Malliff358.5kg3 7 3 5 543: 4-6-7Laser Beam win9.00Laser Beam place2.80

Career

43: 4-6-7

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ewan

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast Poly

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Ipswich

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    8: 1-1-1

  • Distance 1110m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1123m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 0-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-2-2

Last starts

  1. 5Cairns950m11 Oct 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD41.81L
  2. 5Ewan1000m26 Sept 2026 · CL52.76L
  3. 3Bowen1000m15 Sept 2026 · BM55 · GOOD42.22L
  4. 7Mareeba1210m5 Sept 2026 · BM553.6L
  5. 3Innisfail1200m15 Aug 2026 · BM551.65L
  6. 5Atherton1000m25 July 2026 · 0 - 554.7L
  7. 8Townsville1000m5 July 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD43.6L
  8. 11Cairns1250m26 Mar 2026 · 0 - 55 · HEAVY911.96L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 10% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Alex Malliff striking at just 8%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -21%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Ran on with some conviction from back half at Cairns. Super fit from racing, not out of this.

ILB

On a short back up. At $7.50 finished 5th last start at Cairns. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Solid run when fifth over 4½f at Cairns (handicap) last week; passed over as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Odds of 13/2 and came in 5th last start at Cairns.

9Minnie VegasJ: Masayuki Abe·T: Trevor & Peter Rowe1058.5kg4 4 2 2 213: 1-6-0Minnie Vegas win3.80Minnie Vegas place1.65

Career

13: 1-6-0

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Cairns

    4: 0-2-0

  • Track Ipswich

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Innisfail

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Unknown

    3: 0-3-0

Last starts

  1. 2Gordonvale1100m3 Oct 2026 · BM553.11L
  2. 2Townsville1000m8 Sept 2026 · BM55 · GOOD40.4L
  3. 2Cairns1250m29 Aug 2026 · 3&4Y HCP · GOOD40.9L
  4. 4Cairns1250m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP CLASS 1 SW · SOFT63.3L
  5. 4Townsville1000m1 Aug 2026 · BM55 · GOOD41.1L
  6. 1Mackay1100m17 July 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-2.5
  7. 2Oak Park1000m3 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW3.9L
  8. 5Townsville1200m16 Jan 2026 · MDN SW · SOFT62L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Racing Strongly

    Positive

    Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Racing in great heart. Went close at Townsville 8 Sep. No threat to winner but ran on for the minors at Gordonvale. Can get the job done.

ILB

Amongst the placegetters when 2nd last time at Gordonvale. The wide barrier shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Very competitive this campaign. Commands respect.

RP

Been running well in defeat of late and has been consistent of late; ran a solid race finishing runner-up at Gordonvale over 5½f (handicap) 14 days ago.

RSIS

Placed 2nd last start at Gordonvale. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw. In top form lately. Strong prospects in this race.

10Brave IntentJ: Ivo Fry·T: Ms J Ryan858kg3 5 6 7 1341: 4-5-7Brave Intent win7.50Brave Intent place2.60

Career

41: 4-5-7

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-2

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Garnett

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mareeba

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Laura QLD

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 950m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1000m

    10: 3-0-1

  • Distance 1123m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    18: 2-3-3

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 2-0-2

Last starts

  1. 13Townsville1200m4 Oct 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD45.85L
  2. 7Townsville1000m8 Sept 2026 · BM55 · GOOD44.3L
  3. 6Mount Garnett1200m1 May 2026 · BM602.5L
  4. 5Townsville1200m21 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.91L
  5. 3Atherton1400m28 Mar 2026 · 0 - 551.8L
  6. 11Townsville1200m15 Mar 2026 · BM60 · HEAVY84.6L
  7. 5Townsville1000m27 Feb 2026 · CL3-SW · GOOD41.8L
  8. 7Townsville1200m16 Jan 2026 · CL3 · SOFT62.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 9%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 57% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 39%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Had all before her at turn and went home tamely at Townsville second-up. New to Innisfail. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Odds of $31.00 and lost ground in the run home when 13th last start at Townsville. Most likely not today.

RP

An infrequent winner; towards the rear of 14 at Townsville two weeks ago; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Odds of 30/1 and faded to finish 13th last start at Townsville.

11Napa ValleyJ: Wanderson D'Avila·T: Stephen Bush558kg7 3 10 13 1221: 2-1-3Napa Valley win126.00Napa Valley place15.00

Career

21: 2-1-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Garnett

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ipswich

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-0-2

  • Going Unknown

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 12Townsville1300m24 Jan 2026 · BM55 · SOFT59.39L
  2. 13Townsville1609m16 Jan 2026 · BM55 · SOFT616.3L
  3. 10Townsville1609m6 Jan 2026 · BM60 · SOFT514.3L
  4. 3Mareeba1500m26 Dec 2025 · BM556.13L
  5. 7Mackay1560m6 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.2L
  6. 7Bowen1280m11 Oct 2025 · 3yo+7.7L
  7. 9Innisfail1200m30 Aug 2025 · BM55 · GOOD310.1L
  8. 1Mount Garnett1680m3 May 2025 · Class 1 · GOOD-5.9

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 173%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (38-weeks). Usually needs the run and this is short of optimum. Competing in stronger races last prep. Prefer to see off long break.

ILB

First up from a break of 38 weeks. Jumped at $201.00 and below par performance when 12th last run at Townsville. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Cannot be tipped.

RP

Towards the rear of 13 over 6½f at Townsville (handicap) in January; layoff to overcome; is passed over.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a 38 week break. Started 200/1 and below expectations when 12th last start at Townsville. Likely to settle back in the field.

12Third MasterJ: Ben Kennedy·T: A G Malliff157kg5 9 3 4 428: 2-3-3Third Master win7.00Third Master place2.45

Career

28: 2-3-3

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Queanbeyan

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Atherton

    2: 0-2-0

  • Distance 900m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    12: 2-3-2

Last starts

  1. 4Ewan1200m26 Sept 2026 · BM455.13L
  2. 4Mareeba1000m5 Sept 2026 · 0 - 501.7L
  3. 3Innisfail1200m15 Aug 2026 · BM551.1L
  4. 9Cairns1450m29 May 2026 · BM55 · SOFT59.2L
  5. 5Cairns1400m15 May 2026 · BM50 · HEAVY93.3L
  6. 9Mount Garnett1800m2 May 2026 · HCP18.5L
  7. 6Mount Garnett1680m1 May 2026 · BM6015L
  8. 3Mareeba1500m19 Apr 2026 · 0 - 551.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -63% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Went home just tamely at Ewan at $2.10. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Jumped at $6.50 and came in 4th last start at Ewan but has a nice advantage with a good draw. Dropping weight. Watch the betting.

RP

Has winning track form; left punters frustrated after going off favourite when fourth at Ewan last month; others appeal more as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and finished 4th last run at Ewan but drawn the rails. Gets a reduction in weight. Watch for a sign in the market.

13Lucky JimJ: Nathan Thomas·T: M A Dale755kg8 8 6 6 829: 3-3-1Lucky Jim win20.00Lucky Jim place4.00

Career

29: 3-3-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-2-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Atherton

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Innisfail

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1250m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1450m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Gordonvale1100m3 Oct 2026 · BM559.15L
  2. 6Cairns1450m28 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD48L
  3. 6Cairns1400m22 Aug 2026 · BM55 · SOFT66.06L
  4. 8Innisfail1500m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 6017L
  5. 8Ingham1400m11 July 2026 · 0 - 557.1L
  6. 1Innisfail1500m20 June 2026 · BM50-0.1
  7. 4Cairns1450m29 May 2026 · BM55 · SOFT53.2L
  8. 6Mareeba1500m19 Apr 2026 · 0 - 553.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 32% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Nathan Thomas in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 16%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Form hot and cold. Failed to threaten at Gordonvale. Performed really well only other go this course and trip. Deep into his campaign, one for multiples.

ILB

Jumped at $18.00 and mediocre display when 8th last time at Gordonvale. Overlook from a betting angle.

RP

Behind Minnie Vegas over 5½f at Gordonvale (handicap) when beaten 9l (eighth of nine) two weeks ago; has won here before; can be a player at this level.

RSIS

Was 17/1 and not up to scratch when 8th last run at Gordonvale.

Odds correct as at 12:22 pm AEDT. Odds can change.