Innisfail (QLD) horses tips & previews

Saturday 17 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Innisfail (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 17 October 2026

Race 3 — Raine & Horne Country Stampede Qualifier / Johnstone River Hcp 1200m · jumps 3:42 pm AEDT

Race notes

Open,STAMPEDE,STAMPEDE HCP
GOOD4
Overcast
9 runners

Shortest win price

Upstart Legend (4) and Novela (6)

4.60

Most career wins

Choir Boy

13-9-12 from 64 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

8Lucky Rolla

Offmidfield

9Materialist

Midfield

5Hyde Park
7Mclovin
10Superstitions

Onpace

1Choir Boy
4Upstart Legend

Leader

3Spirit Meister
6Novela

Choir Boy · Negative
Trainer SR
Janel Ryan striking at just 9%
Spirit Meister · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Upstart Legend · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 107%
Hyde Park · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Choir BoyJ: Ivo Fry·T: Ms J Ryan264kg1 1 1 3 264: 13-9-127.502.40

Career

64: 13-9-12

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
7: 1-1-1
Second-up
6: 0-2-0
Third-up
6: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
6: 2-0-2
Track Atherton
2: 0-0-2
Track Innisfail
3: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1845m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
15: 3-4-4
Going Synthetic
2: 1-0-0
Going Unknown
6: 2-2-2

Last starts

2Gordonvale1800m3 Oct 2026 · HCP0.26L
3Atherton1400m19 Sept 2026 · HCP2.51L
1Cairns2100m29 Aug 2026 · CAIRNS CUP Qlty · GOOD4-1.9
1Innisfail1800m15 Aug 2026 · HCP-2
1Cairns1900m23 July 2026 · HCP · SOFT7-1.8
2Laura Qld1450m27 June 2026 · BM703.3L
5Townsville1609m16 June 2026 · HCP · GOOD42.9L
8Cairns1250m29 May 2026 · HCP · SOFT53L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Janel Ryan striking at just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 57% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs

Comments

AAP

Recent form sound this level. Cairns Cup winner Cairns 29 Aug. Narrowly beaten in the small field at Gordonvale over longer assignment. Meets a deeper race.

ILB

Narrowly beaten last run at Gordonvale and will try to take advantage of the draw. Ivo Fry is a plus but dropping back to a shorter trip. Could not recommend.

Close up runner-up at Gordonvale two weeks ago upped to 1m1f; has won previously at this course; running consistently; much respected.

RSIS

Competed in a tight contest last run at Gordonvale and gets a favourable draw. Ivo Fry is a key booking but down in trip. Putting up notable efforts lately.

2Outback ActionScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Seasoned performer. Unable to threaten in the small field at Townsville. Usually gets back. A few runs under his belt this campaign, not out of this.

ILB

At $6.50 moved ahead of some to finish 5th last time at Townsville.

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Townsville (beaten 4l) over 5f (handicap) two weeks ago; should be on the premises if duplicating the form of his most recent win.

RSIS

Started 11/2 and improved late to finish 5th last run at Townsville.

3Spirit MeisterJ: Masayuki Abe·T: R J Miller862kg1 6 12 1 468: 10-15-166.502.25

Career

68: 10-15-16

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-2
Second-up
6: 0-0-2
Third-up
6: 2-1-1
Fourth-up
6: 3-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Mount Garnett
2: 1-0-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1250m
20: 6-7-4
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
34: 2-7-9
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
26: 7-6-6

Last starts

4Cairns1250m11 Oct 2026 · HCP · GOOD43.02L
1Atherton1400m19 Sept 2026 · HCP-2.09
12Cairns1400m28 Aug 2026 · NEWMARKET Qlty · GOOD45.5L
6Townsville1200m18 Aug 2026 · HCP · GOOD42.4L
1Cairns1250m23 July 2026 · HCP · SOFT7-1
2Oak Park1200m3 July 2026 · HCP3.5L
5Innisfail900m20 June 2026 · Open2.8L
2Cairns1250m29 May 2026 · HCP · SOFT50.2L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Experienced campaigner. Solid 60.5kg winner at Atherton 19 Sep. Finished it off only fairly at Cairns after a market ease.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Started $8.00 and lost ground in the run home when 4th last time at Cairns. Capable of bouncing back. Should jump out and bowl along. Can measure up against these.

Out of the frame (beaten 3l in fourth, Cairns) on Sunday; meeting some horses in good form and passed over.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Started 7/1 and didn't attack the line when 4th last time at Cairns. Can show a better performance this time. Competitive type.

4Upstart LegendJ: Adam Sewell·T: Lachie Manzelmann558.5kg1 1 1 10 350: 9-12-54.601.75

Career

50: 9-12-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-2-0
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Thangool
1: 0-1-0
Track Bowen
2: 1-0-1
Track Springsure
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
3: 0-3-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
25: 5-4-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
18: 3-7-2

Last starts

3Mackay1560m3 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD40.2L
10Cairns1400m28 Aug 2026 · NEWMARKET Qlty · GOOD44.3L
1Bowen1280m15 Aug 2026 · HCP-0.7
1Mackay1200m25 July 2026 · BM75 · GOOD4-0.3
1Townsville1300m14 July 2026 · Class 6 · GOOD4-0.73
2Mackay1100m2 July 2026 · BM65 · SOFT50.5L
5Mackay1100m23 June 2026 · HCP · SOFT51L
4Clermont1000m20 June 2026 · BM655.3L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 107%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (44-days). Seasoned performer. Looked likely but had a real fight on her hands and just missed at Mackay. Can make her presence felt.

ILB

Let up. Close to a win last time at Mackay but will be dropping in distance. Adam Sewell has a high strike rate on board but up in weight. Nice chance at a very tempting price.

Missed out by a short head over 1m at Mackay (handicap) last month; can't be ruled out.

RSIS

Let up. Close to claiming the win last run at Mackay but back to a shorter distance. Jockey Adam Sewell is very comfortable steering. Very tidy performer.

5Hyde ParkJ: Denicious Smith·T: T Button755kg4 5 7 8 427: 5-2-18.502.60

Career

27: 5-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
10: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1470m
3: 2-0-0
Going Good
18: 3-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-0

Last starts

4Townsville1400m4 Oct 2026 · CL6 · GOOD42.3L
8Bowen1470m15 Aug 2026 · BM657.8L
7Townsville1300m1 Aug 2026 · BM78 · GOOD43.78L
5Townsville1609m28 June 2026 · HCP · GOOD42.3L
4Townsville1609m16 June 2026 · HCP · GOOD42.4L
1Bowen1470m30 May 2026 · BM65 · GOOD4-0.9
3Mackay1300m23 May 2026 · CL4 · GOOD44.4L
4Townsville1400m30 Apr 2026 · BM70 · GOOD41.37L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Tom Button in good form, out performing market 34%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw

Comments

AAP

Made late rally from the back at Townsville. Coming back in distance. Shapes as a major player.

ILB

Was $9.00 and ran past a few when 4th last time at Townsville and goes down in weight. Respect the betting.

Hasn't really fired since his success in a handicap at Bowen five months ago; not disgraced when fourth over 7f at Townsville (handicap) two weeks ago; this line-up contains some strong opposition so can be taken on.

RSIS

Started 8/1 and ran on into 4th last run at Townsville and gets a reduction in weight. Betting is the best guide.

6NovelaJ: Shohei Kaya·T: F J Wieland955kg1 3 4 2 917: 4-4-24.601.75

Career

17: 4-4-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
3: 1-1-0
Track Balaklava
1: 1-0-0
Track Atherton
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
6: 0-1-2
Distance 1400m
4: 2-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 2-3-0
Going Good
14: 3-3-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

9Cairns1250m11 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD45.64L
2Ewan1200m25 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD0.12L
4Cairns1250m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.49L
3Cairns1250m22 Aug 2026 · BM65 · SOFT61.1L
1Atherton1200m25 July 2026 · CL3-2.8
12Townsville1200m5 July 2026 · CL5 · GOOD45.4L
1Townsville1200m16 June 2026 · BM55 · GOOD4-0.4
7Townsville1400m9 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.33L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 32%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 7kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Went close at Ewan 25 Sep. On pace but folded up quickly at Cairns. Can show more here.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Jumped at $6.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last run at Cairns but gets some weight taken off. Facing formidable opponents. Could be in the mix.

Could not manage better than ninth at Cairns a week ago; record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 4-17); must be high on list.

RSIS

On a short back up. Odds of 5/1 and gave away some ground when 9th last start at Cairns but dropping weight. Up against stronger rivals. Watch for a sign in the market.

7MclovinJ: Chris Whiteley·T: Sharlee Hoffman655kg1 1 6 9 322: 5-0-17.002.30

Career

22: 5-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
10: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Gordonvale1100m3 Oct 2026 · Open3.98L
9Atherton1000m19 Sept 2026 · BM659.39L
6Cairns1250m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.33L
1Innisfail1100m15 Aug 2026 · BM65-1.6
1Oak Park1200m4 July 2026 · CL4-0.4
1Innisfail1200m20 June 2026 · BM60-2.7
6Atherton1400m13 June 2026 · BM6014.3L
12Cairns1250m29 May 2026 · BM55 · SOFT59.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -68% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%
Form At Track
Positive
2 time winner here at Innisfail
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Secured third in a staggered finish at Gordonvale. This looks more demanding.

ILB

Honest race when 3rd last run at Gordonvale and have to respect the form at this trip. Will appreciate the drop in grade. Will need its best to find a place.

Unbeaten at this course after two runs; a winner over C&D; not beaten that far at Gordonvale over 5½f (handicap) 14 days ago; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Tidy effort when 3rd last run at Gordonvale and stepping down to a lower level. Will be well suited at the distance.

8Lucky RollaJ: Ben Kennedy·T: A G Malliff355kg8 6 5 3 241: 7-3-412.003.10

Career

41: 7-3-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mount Garnett
3: 1-1-0
Track Ingham
1: 0-0-0
Track Cairns
6: 0-0-0
Distance 1123m
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
11: 2-0-4
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 3-2-0

Last starts

2Townsville1000m4 Oct 2026 · HCP · GOOD42.69L
3Atherton1000m19 Sept 2026 · BM656.56L
5Cairns950m29 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD44.2L
6Innisfail1100m15 Aug 2026 · BM653.3L
8Townsville1000m8 Aug 2026 · BM65 · GOOD42.3L
7Atherton1000m25 July 2026 · HCP8.2L
5Mount Garnett1200m2 May 2026 · HCP3.3L
4Mareeba1123m19 Apr 2026 · HCP4L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -63% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 36%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Honest performance without menacing winner at Townsville. Strikes a harder race.

ILB

Rattled home nicely into 2nd beaten by 2 3/4L last time at Townsville and form has been improving over recent runs. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Watching with interest.

Hard to crab his most recent performance (second of six) over 5f at Townsville (handicap) in front of Outback Action two weeks ago; has won at this track.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd last time at Townsville and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Expected to settle towards the rear.

9MaterialistJ: Samantha Pointon·T: A G Malliff455kg5 7 2 6 627: 4-6-511.003.00

Career

27: 4-6-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-2-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Mount Garnett
1: 0-0-0
Track Cairns
4: 0-1-2
Distance 1200m
14: 1-3-3
Distance 1210m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
3: 0-0-2
Going Good
13: 0-4-3
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-2
Going Soft
7: 2-1-0

Last starts

6Townsville1200m4 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD44.33L
6Townsville1000m18 Sept 2026 · CL5 · SOFT54.9L
2Cairns950m28 Aug 2026 · BM70 · GOOD40.6L
7Townsville1400m28 June 2026 · BM65 · GOOD44.31L
5Townsville1400m6 June 2026 · BM60 · GOOD32.24L
4Townsville1200m31 May 2026 · BM70 · GOOD40.5L
5Cairns1250m15 May 2026 · BM65 · HEAVY92.5L
8Mount Garnett1200m2 May 2026 · HCP5.3L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Alex Malliff striking at just 8%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Townsville. Usually gets back. Hard fit, can play a role.

ILB

Started $15.00 and came in 6th last run at Townsville and stepping up to a higher level. Finishes off strongly. Will appreciate the drop in weight. Best to watch and see.

Not beaten that far in sixth (4½l, Townsville) two weeks ago; hard enough to fancy as this is competitive.

RSIS

Was 14/1 and ran 6th last start at Townsville and stepping up to a higher level. Will be motoring home late. Suited by the weight drop.

10SuperstitionsJ: Nathan Thomas·T: R T Moller155kg2 1 1 2 631: 5-9-67.002.35

Career

31: 5-9-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Townsville
2: 0-0-1
Track Atherton
3: 0-3-0
Track Mount Garnett
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1360m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1250m
6: 1-1-3
Going Good
11: 1-4-3
Going Soft
10: 2-3-3
Going Unknown
10: 2-2-0

Last starts

6Gordonvale1360m3 Oct 2026 · BM653.59L
2Atherton1000m19 Sept 2026 · BM653.63L
1Cairns1400m22 Aug 2026 · BM55 · SOFT6-2.77
1Innisfail1200m15 Aug 2026 · BM55-0.3
2Cairns1250m23 July 2026 · BM55 · SOFT71L
8Townsville1300m5 July 2026 · BM60 · GOOD44.1L
5Innisfail1200m20 June 2026 · BM604.1L
4Cairns1250m29 May 2026 · BM55 · SOFT53.7L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 32% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 139%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Nathan Thomas in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 16%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Gordonvale at $2.50. Smoky place prospect at best.

ILB

Started at $3.70 and not competitive when 6th last time at Gordonvale but drawn well. Nathan Thomas is a bonus but up against a higher level of opposition. Dropping weight. Could feature here.

Winning form over C&D; out of the frame (beaten 3½l in sixth) over 7f at Gordonvale (handicap) two weeks ago; is passed over as has a lot on his plate here.

RSIS

Was 11/4 and not competitive when 6th last time at Gordonvale but drawn the rails. Nathan Thomas is a key engagement but racing against tougher rivals.

Odds correct as at 12:22 pm AEDT. Odds can change.