Hobart (TAS) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:02 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Hobart (TAS), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 15 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsHobart (TAS)Change

Race 4 — Raine & Horne Northern Suburbs Mdn Plate 1380m · jumps Sun 15 Nov, 2:40 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
SOFT5
Showers
13 runners

Shortest win price

Joejoe (3)

3.60

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

5Midnight Wanderer

Offmidfield

12Cheeky Tilly

Midfield

13Ms Surreal

Offpace

4Lord Hear Us
11Sh'Bourne Top Gun
14Hot Moment
15Sorell Eagles

Onpace

3Joejoe
7Timmie Lad
6Raider's Own
8Upheaval
9Walking Street

Leader

1Alpine Whiskey

Alpine Whiskey · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 35% better than Career Avg.
Joejoe · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -46% POT in their L100 Races
Lord Hear Us · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Midnight Wanderer · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 53% lower than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Alpine WhiskeyJ: Luke P Dempsey·T: Bradley Franklin658.5kg4 5 1 2 69: 0-2-0$6.00$2.25

Career

9: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
8: 0-2-0
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1420m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-2-0

Last starts

6Launceston1120m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.65L
2Launceston1100m2 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.4L
1Longford800m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.4
5Launceston1600m3 Apr 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.9L
4Launceston1600m13 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT512.5L
5Launceston1220m4 Mar 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT52.4L
6Hobart1430m15 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.5L
2Launceston1420m30 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 35% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Luke P Dempsey 45% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 38% Profit on Turnover
Hot Jockey
Positive
Luke P Dempsey in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 45%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

Comments

AAP

Great run at Launceston 2 Oct. Off pace, unable to muster and only battled home 6th at Launceston. All the better, capable of making an impact.

ILB

At $3.00 faded away to finish 6th last run at Launceston and has to carry more weight this time. Interesting gear change of winkers on first time. Good chance in this.

Has found improvement of late but still winless and defeats stacking up (nine on the bounce); performed below market expectations when sixth over 5½f at Launceston (maiden) three weeks ago; not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Started 2/1 and weakened under pressure when 6th last run at Launceston and goes up in weight. Interesting to see the cheekpieces go on for the first time. Strong contender.

2Geegees AvalancheScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Insights

Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Form to date fair. Went close at Hobart 19 Aug. Ran on okay without troubling at Launceston. Right in this.

ILB

Jumped at $2.50 and ran past a few when 4th last start at Launceston.

Out of the money, beaten just under 3l, when fourth at Launceston over 6f (maiden) last month; stepped up on his last two starts.

RSIS

Odds of 6/4 and made up ground when 4th last time at Launceston.

3JoejoeJ: David Pires·T: Jessie Bazan558.5kg10 3 3 5 25: 0-2-1$3.60$1.60

Career

5: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Track Launceston
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1

Last starts

2Launceston1400m30 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41L
5Longford1400m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)14L
3Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.7L
3Launceston1600m13 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT511.3L
10Launceston1400m25 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44L
2Hobart1430m15 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.4L
4Hobart1200m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.6L
4Longford800m13 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial5.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -46% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Shown promise in limited runs. Handy, knuckled down with purpose at Launceston. Better for the outing. Looks poised to shake his maiden.

ILB

Made some ground late when 2nd last start at Launceston and good career start. Definite claims for punters.

Has found improvement of late; had a couple of these behind him when second at Launceston two weeks ago.

RSIS

Did well to run 2nd last time at Launceston and promising career start. Definite claims.

4Lord Hear UsJ: Troy Baker·T: Jessie Bazan158.5kg5 6 1 5 412: 0-4-0$12.00$3.50

Career

12: 0-4-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
8: 0-3-0
Track CurrentTrack
8: 0-3-0
Track Launceston
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-2-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-2-0
Going Soft
6: 0-2-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Hobart1400m26 Apr 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.5L
5Hobart2000m12 Apr 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT56.5L
1Hobart1430m7 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.1
6Launceston2100m20 Mar 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD47.8L
5Hobart2100m15 Feb 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT53.1L
8Launceston2100m23 Jan 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT57.1L
2Longford1800m1 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.1L
6Hobart1400m14 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 42%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

First-up (29-weeks). In the minors first-up last campaign while prepared for return with a Hobart trial. Tough test first-up.

ILB

First up and finished well when 2nd first up last preparation around here. Ran 2nd in a trial here on Nov 4th and drawn the rails. Definitely worth considering.

Finished fourth but only beaten 2½l (dropped to this trip) in April; still winless and defeats stacking up (12 on the bounce); returning from a layoff here.

RSIS

Resuming and caught the eye when 2nd beaten by 2L resuming last preparation at this venue. Ran 2nd in a trial at this track on Nov 4th and drawn well. Rates as one of the key chances.

5Midnight WandererJ: Hayley Mc Carthy·T: J K Blacker458.5kg6 101: 0-0-0$34.00$5.50

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Hobart1000m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.6L
6Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.2L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 53% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Well beaten on paper but there were a few encouraging signs at this venue debut. Extra ground may help. More a minor money chance here.

ILB

Was $41.00 and tailed off when 10th last time at this track but was a debutant last start. Interesting gear change of winkers on first time and rising in distance. Tough race, will need luck.

Not far behind Upheaval two weeks ago when tenth over 5f; clear chance.

RSIS

At 40/1 mediocre attempt when 10th last time here but having second race start. Cheekpieces go on for the first time and going up in trip.

6Raider's OwnJ: Robyn Lynch·T: J K Blacker1358.5kg3 8 5 8 58: 0-0-2$31.00$5.50

Career

8: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Hobart1430m10 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT52.1L
8Hobart1400m26 Apr 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.6L
5Hobart1200m12 Apr 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT51.7L
8Launceston1200m3 Apr 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD47.8L
3Launceston1400m20 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.5L
3Launceston1220m4 Mar 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT51.8L
3Hobart800m16 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial1.3L
6Hobart1200m23 Mar 2025 · Maiden · SOFT55.5L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
John Blacker striking at just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 54%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (27-weeks). In the minors first-up last campaign while prepared for return with a Hobart trial. This is no soft return.

ILB

First up and attacked the line when 3rd first up last preparation at Launceston. Ran 2nd in a barrier trial at this track on Nov 4th. Rough hope.

Solid effort when beaten 2l to finish fifth in May; yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight and form lately has been a mixed bag; returns from a break here.

RSIS

Resuming and good performance to run into 3rd resuming last preparation at Launceston. Fitter for a trial at this venue on Nov 4th.

7Timmie LadJ: Lauryn Bingley·T: Brendan Mcshane1258.5kg6 5 4 5 24: 0-0-0$18.00$4.00

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Launceston1100m5 Nov 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.2L
5Launceston1400m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.09L
4Longford800m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.1L
5Launceston1600m10 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.7L
6Launceston1400m26 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD49.8L
4Launceston1400m31 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.3L
3Longford800m21 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial13.5L
3Longford800m30 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial2.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 68%

Comments

AAP

Freshened after returning. Performance just fair at Launceston off extended spell at $11. Since trialled at Launceston 5 Nov. Looks up against it.

ILB

Started $11.00 and chased well when 5th last run at Launceston. Can't suggest backing.

Best he's managed so far is fourth from four career starts; not disgraced in fifth at Launceston last month; others more likely.

RSIS

Started at 10/1 and inched into 5th last run at Launceston.

8UpheavalJ: Erica Byrne Burke·T: J K Blacker958.5kg5 6 4 2 68: 0-0-1$5.00$2.00

Career

8: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
7: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-0-1
Track Devonport Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Hobart1000m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.15L
2Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.2L
4Hobart1400m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.8L
6Devonport Synthetic1650m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.9L
5Hobart1200m19 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.1L
6Hobart1100m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT50.9L
4Hobart800m22 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3L
4Hobart1000m15 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.65L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
John Blacker striking at just 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 73%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 54%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Ran on late from the back this track. Hard fit, right in the mix.

ILB

Odds of $5.00 and came in 6th last start around here but stepping up in distance. Blinkers go on for the first time. Capable of winning this.

Yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight; creditable sixth over 5f here (maiden) two weeks ago; been struggling to get his head in front recently so there are better alternatives here.

RSIS

Odds of 4/1 and came in 6th last run around here but racing over more ground. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Great chance.

9Walking StreetJ: Bulent Muhcu·T: Stephen Shaw258.5kg2 4 1 4 74: 0-1-0$3.80$1.65

Career

4: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

7Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)12.7L
4Hobart1430m10 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT51.6L
1Hobart1400m27 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.5
4Launceston1400m27 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT51.1L
2Launceston1200m13 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN · SOFT50.8L
5Launceston1200m25 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.8L
1Hobart800m16 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial-2
2Hobart800m15 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial1L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (27-weeks). Gave a fair showing in his first prep. Tuned up with a couple of trials. Can build on that foundation. Big watch.

ILB

Resuming from a break of 27 weeks. At $2.60 couldn't finish off when 4th last run here and has a good draw. Represents value at a price.

Came up a bit short, beaten 1½l when favourite,, finished ahead of Raider's Own in May; returns from a break here; ought to give it a shot given there is limited recent form on offer in this race and has shown some ability on occasion.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 27 weeks. Started 8/5 and lost momentum late when 4th last run at this venue and has a good draw. Displays good tactical pace. Good chance in this.

10Wounded EagleScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Comments

AAP

Midfield, unable to muster a threatening rally at Launceston when second-up. Can't enthuse.

ILB

At $9.00 lost ground in the run home when 6th last time at Launceston.

RSIS

Odds of 8/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last run at Launceston.

11Sh'Bourne Top GunJ: Kelvin Sanderson·T: S Gandy757kg2 9 6 33: 0-0-1$7.50$2.60

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Launceston
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Launceston1400m30 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.5L
6Launceston1100m16 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.02L
9Launceston1100m2 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.82L
2Hobart800m6 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.1L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 27% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Stuart Gandy striking at just 10%
Key Rider
Positive
Kelvin Sanderson 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 54%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start

Comments

AAP

Got back, closed the race off solidly at Launceston last outing. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Did well to run 3rd last time at Launceston. Good chance of taking this out.

Hard to crab his most recent performance (third of nine) upped to this trip splitting Joejoe and Cheeky Tilly (Launceston) last month.

RSIS

Managed to place 3rd last run at Launceston. Very tidy performer.

12Cheeky TillyJ: Indi Bowles·T: Brendan Mcshane1156.5kg6 5 8 7 26: 0-0-0$71.00$9.00

Career

6: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Launceston1400m5 Nov 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
7Launceston1400m30 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.87L
8Launceston1400m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.45L
5Longford1400m22 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.9L
6Longford800m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.3L
11Hobart1400m2 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.6L
4Launceston1600m10 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.2L
11Launceston1400m26 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD412.8L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 54%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Had all before her at turn and went home tamely at Launceston second-up. Since trialled at Launceston 5 Nov. Has work cut out.

ILB

Started at $101.00 and appeared lacklustre when 7th last start at Launceston. Gets back and needs luck. Large claim helps. Not interested today.

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Launceston (beaten just under 5l) 16 days ago; attempting to get off the mark at the seventh time of asking (fourth her best finish so far); others more likely.

RSIS

At 100/1 underwhelming when 7th last time at Launceston. Likely to get back in the run. Large claim helps.

13Ms SurrealJ: Christopher Pang·T: Patrick Dargan856.5kg5 3 4 5 41: 0-0-0$31.00$5.50

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Launceston1420m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.25L
5Longford1400m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.4L
4Longford1400m22 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.1L
3Devonport Synthetic800m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC1.9L
5Longford800m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)7.5L
6Longford800m18 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial11.2L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Patrick Dargan striking at just 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 147%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 54%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Not too far off them at Launceston at huge odds on debut 23 Oct. Wiser for it. Only for exotics.

ILB

Started at $101.00 and picked up some late ground when 4th last time at Launceston and having second career run. Expected to settle towards the tail. Making up the numbers.

Fourth but beaten only just over 3l on her debut (100-1) last month at Launceston; not much between her and Sorell Eagles (seventh) on that result; in the mix.

RSIS

Was 100/1 and picked up some ground to run 4th last time at Launceston and was a debutant last start. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

14Hot MomentJ: Chloe Wells·T: J K Blacker355kg3 6 4 2 92: 0-0-0$91.00$14.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1120m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Launceston1120m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.65L
2Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L
4Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.5L
6Launceston1220m17 Apr 2026 · 2Y-SW · GOOD423.4L
3Longford800m14 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -70% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Had all before her at turn and went home tamely at Launceston at second start. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Jumped at $101.00 and unimpressive effort when 9th last start at Launceston. Interesting gear change of winkers on first time. This will pose a challenge.

Finished just behind Alpine Whiskey when last at Launceston over 5½f (maiden) last month; should go close.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and below par performance when 9th last start at Launceston. Cheekpieces go on for the first time.

15Sorell EaglesJ: Daniel Ganderton·T: J F Luttrell1058.5kg8 7 8 7 610: 0-1-0$41.00$7.00

Career

10: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
7: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-1-0
Track Launceston
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1380m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Hobart1600m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.65L
7Launceston1420m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.86L
8Launceston1420m25 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.65L
7Launceston1400m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.3L
8Hobart1100m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.2L
10Hobart1410m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT59.1L
5Hobart1600m21 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT52.7L
2Hobart1380m7 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.4L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 54%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Ran on with some conviction from back half this venue at wide odds. Switching to 1380m. Looks up against it.

ILB

Jumped at $41.00 and finished 6th last run around here. Likely to settle back in the field. Entitled to be big odds.

Solid effort when beaten 2½l to finish sixth over 1m here (maiden) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Was 40/1 and ran 6th last start around here. Might have to make up considerable ground.

Odds correct as at Sun 15 Nov, 2:01 am AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races