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Geraldton (WA) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Geraldton (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Wednesday 30 September 2026

Race 3 — Country Comfort Perth Hcp (C2) 1400m · jumps 4:04 pm AEST

Race notes

  • 3yo+,CL2,Class 2
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Hyperreal (2)

2.50

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 8Mr Hollywood

Offpace

  • 7Tiger Line
  • 3Good Show

Onpace

  • 1Dutch Por
  • 2Hyperreal
  • 4Magic Carats

Leader

  • 6Le Troy

  • Dutch Por · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Lisa Staples current POT is 18% below Career Avg.

  • Hyperreal · Positive

    Trainer Form

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 21%

  • Good Show · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 11% better than Career Avg.

  • Magic Carats · Positive

    Maps Well

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Dutch PorJ: Lisa Staples·T: A L Bowtell460.5kg13 3 3 2 111: 2-1-2Dutch Por win3.50Dutch Por place1.85

Career

11: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Kalgoorlie

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track York

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1413m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1609m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1628m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    11: 2-1-2

Last starts

  1. 1Geraldton1609m4 May 2025 · 2yo+ · GOOD3-0.4
  2. 2Geraldton1628m23 Apr 2025 · 2UP CL2 HCP 50+ · GOOD30.57L
  3. 3Geraldton1413m13 Apr 2025 · Class 2 · GOOD31.33L
  4. 3Geraldton1100m6 Apr 2025 · Class 1 · GOOD31.32L
  5. 13Pinjarra1400m12 Jan 2025 · Class 1 · GOOD48.87L
  6. 9York1920m23 May 2024 · RTG46+ · GOOD44.79L
  7. 8Pinjarra1300m15 May 2024 · No Metro Wins Last Year · GOOD48.69L
  8. 7Ascot1400m27 Apr 2024 · One Metro Win · GOOD46.24L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Lisa Staples current POT is 18% below Career Avg.

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Racing Solidly

    Positive

    In peak form

  • Up In Weight

    Negative

    Goes up 5.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Resuming after a (73-weeks) spell. Form honest through last campaign. In the minors first-up last campaign while having an easy trial in readiness. Perfectly placed to make a winning return.

ILB

Resumes after a spell of 73 weeks. Finished well when winning last time here and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Displays good tactical speed. Modest contender.

RP

Narrow scorer in a handicap last May; long absence to overcome; a big player.

RSIS

Resuming after a break of 73 weeks. Reeled them in when winning last time around here and showing improvement in recent outings. Likely to be well placed early.

2HyperrealJ: Jefferson Tsang·T: Misty Bazeley160.5kg3 4 9 2 634: 2-3-10Hyperreal win2.50Hyperreal place1.50

Career

34: 2-3-10

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-3

  • Second-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-2-1

  • Track Bunbury

    5: 0-0-1

  • Track Belmont

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Northam

    7: 0-2-3

  • Distance 1240m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1000m

    11: 0-2-4

  • Going Good

    24: 1-1-7

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 6Bunbury1200m10 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD42.2L
  2. 2Northam1300m27 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · HEAVY1.75L
  3. 9Pinjarra1200m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP CLASS 3 54+ HCP · SOFT54.2L
  4. 4Bunbury1100m30 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · SOFT53.5L
  5. 3Pinjarra1200m16 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 46+ HCP · HEAVY81.7L
  6. 3Albany1232m21 Feb 2026 · 2UP CL2 50+ HCP · GOOD41.9L
  7. 5Ascot1200m4 Feb 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD42.7L
  8. 3Bunbury1100m11 Jan 2026 · 2UP CL3 HCP 54+ · GOOD41L

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 21%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 31%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kept finding the line without threatening at Bunbury. Placed only other run at Geraldton. Worth a look.

ILB

Was $10.00 and finished 6th last time at Bunbury. Likely to bounce back and competing at a lower grade. Likely to be well placed early. Strong chance today.

RP

Finished sixth but only beaten just over 2l at Bunbury over 6f (handicap) 20 days ago; wins infrequently and shown all winning form at Albany (two successes); regularly been coming up a bit short lately so not one to rely on.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and ran 6th last start at Bunbury. Has the ability to turn things around and up against a less competitive field. Has early pace and positions nicely. Very capable of taking this out.

3Good ShowJ: Jason Lyon·T: Dylan Bairstow758.5kg11 1 10 11 89: 1-0-1Good Show win7.50Good Show place3.20

Career

9: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Geraldton

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Bunbury

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1675m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Bunbury1675m10 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD43.6L
  2. 11Belmont1400m2 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD49.7L
  3. 10Pinjarra1400m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP CLASS 1 50+ HCP · SOFT56.1L
  4. 1Bunbury1400m30 July 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · SOFT5-1
  5. 11Northam1300m23 July 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · GOOD47.9L
  6. 6Bunbury1400m11 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT66.6L
  7. 11Pinjarra1400m4 June 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD49.5L
  8. 5Lark Hill930m18 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.6L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 11% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Dylan Bairstow striking at just 2%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jason Lyon 26% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 62%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 69% Profit on Turnover

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Jason Lyon in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 26%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

Comments

AAP

Ridden back, battled home without threatening at Bunbury. Has a tricky draw. Switching to 1413m. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Started at $41.00 and lacked competitiveness when 8th last run at Bunbury. Rough chance.

RP

Not disgraced in eighth 20 days ago at Bunbury upped to 1m½f; more than capable if on song so should be on the premises.

RSIS

Odds of 40/1 and not up to standard when 8th last start at Bunbury.

4Magic CaratsJ: Natasha Faithfull·T: R J Malpass658kg13 1 3 5 218: 1-4-3Magic Carats win3.50Magic Carats place1.85

Career

18: 1-4-3

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Carnarvon

    4: 1-1-1

  • Track Pinjarra

    6: 0-0-0

  • Track Bunbury

    8: 0-3-2

  • Distance 1677m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1695m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    18: 1-4-3

Last starts

  1. 2Carnarvon1200m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1 48+ HCP · GOOD0.9L
  2. 5Carnarvon1400m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD43.5L
  3. 3Carnarvon1600m31 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 48+ HCP · GOOD3.1L
  4. 1Carnarvon1000m19 July 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · GOOD-0.2
  5. 13Pinjarra1600m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · GOOD412.6L
  6. 9Pinjarra2200m5 Mar 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD47.2L
  7. 3Bunbury1695m26 Feb 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · GOOD42.4L
  8. 5Bunbury1400m12 Feb 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · GOOD43.9L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Issued decent challenge 3yo+ Hcp (C1) at Carnarvon. Among the dangers again.

ILB

Finished strongly when 2nd last run at Carnarvon. Has early speed and positions nicely. In top racing shape since returning from a spell. Expect support.

RP

Has been fairly consistent lately; near miss at 7-4 over 6f at Carnarvon (handicap) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Did well to run into 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Carnarvon. Should muster plenty of early toe. Putting up notable efforts in recent runs. Great chance.

5Quick CookieScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Led, responded strongly to score in small field at Mingenew second-up. Can lead or take a sit. Stronger challenge here but stays under notice.

ILB

On a short back up. Went to the front and never looked back to win by just short of 2 1/2L last run at Mingenew. Should be going forward early.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Dictated the tempo when winning by a margin of close to 2 1/2L last start at Mingenew.

6Le TroyJ: Madi Derrick·T: K Nightingale256kg4 8 10 6 533: 2-4-5Le Troy win12.00Le Troy place4.00

Career

33: 2-4-5

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Albany

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1108m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    30: 2-3-5

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Mingenew1200m26 Sept 2026 · 2UP RTG 48+ HCP · GOOD32.83L
  2. 6Junction1400m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 48+ HCP · GOOD5.5L
  3. 10Carnarvon1400m31 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.25L
  4. 8Carnarvon1400m10 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 50+ HCP · GOOD8.8L
  5. 4Carnarvon1400m26 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.2L
  6. 5Carnarvon1200m19 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD7.4L
  7. 4Geraldton1100m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.4L
  8. 3Laverton1400m26 Oct 2025 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD8.2L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Madi Derrick 25% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 54%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 31%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Mingenew. Lands in a suitable contest.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Odds of $8.50 and crept into 5th last start at Mingenew and has a good draw. Should jump out and bowl along. Marginal prospect.

RP

Fair effort over 6f at Mingenew (handicap) on Saturday; hasn't really fired since his success in a handicap at Leinster last October.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Started 15/2 and showed some merit late when 5th last run at Mingenew and will try to take advantage of the draw.

7Tiger LineJ: Ava Catarino·T: Ms J Martin855.5kg4 6 11 6 524: 2-1-2Tiger Line win16.00Tiger Line place4.80

Career

24: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Bunbury

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Mingenew

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1628m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1695m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1403m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    18: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 5Mingenew1400m26 Sept 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.25L
  2. 6Geraldton1413m30 Apr 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD47.3L
  3. 11Geraldton1600m13 Mar 2026 · 2UP CL2 50+ HCP · GOOD410.1L
  4. 6Geraldton1600m5 Feb 2026 · 2UP CL2 50+ HCP · GOOD43.7L
  5. 4Geraldton1900m23 Jan 2026 · 2UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD31L
  6. 5Geraldton1618m8 Jan 2026 · 2UP CL2 50+ HCP · GOOD34L
  7. 2Geraldton1600m27 Dec 2025 · 3UP HCP RTG 58+ · GOOD30.5L
  8. 4Geraldton1623m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP CL2 HCP 50+ · GOOD35.6L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Last success was 1 Aug 2024. Went home tamely at Mingenew off spell at $13. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Started at $13.00 and ran 5th last start at Mingenew. Can show up in this at odds.

RP

Beaten 6l in fifth at Mingenew at the weekend; has a lot of course experience; one of his best runs so far came when second here in December; one to consider.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started 12/1 and finished 5th last start at Mingenew.

8Mr HollywoodJ: Bailey Webster·T: Malcolm Mackenzie355kg1 6 8 7 660: 2-7-7Mr Hollywood win23.00Mr Hollywood place6.50

Career

60: 2-7-7

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Track Kalgoorlie

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Esperance

    13: 0-1-2

  • Distance 1230m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    6: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2020m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    54: 2-6-7

Last starts

  1. 6Carnarvon1750m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD12.5L
  2. 7Junction1900m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP 62+ · GOOD16.9L
  3. 8Carnarvon1750m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 67+ HCP · GOOD412.7L
  4. 6Carnarvon1750m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP 56+ · GOOD3L
  5. 1Carnarvon1600m31 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 48+ HCP · GOOD-1.8
  6. 5Roebourne2230m25 July 2026 · 3UP 70+ · GOOD12.5L
  7. 6Carnarvon1600m10 July 2026 · 2UP 56+ HCP · GOOD5.4L
  8. 9Carnarvon1600m19 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD13.4L

Insights

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 31%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ex Aaron Pateman. Trained here now. Dropped out to last and never sighted at Carnarvon over longer assignment. Coming back in distance. Prefer to see.

ILB

Started at $5.00 and average at best when 6th last time at Carnarvon and down in distance. First start for a new trainer. Possesses good closing speed. Large claim helps. Not dismissing.

RP

Could not manage better than sixth over 1m½f at Carnarvon (handicap) two weeks ago; generally modest form since handicap success at Carnarvon in July; runs for a new yard here; others more persuasive.

RSIS

Was 4/1 and below par when 6th last run at Carnarvon and back to a shorter trip. First appearance for a new trainer. Finishes off strongly.

Odds correct as at 3:00 am AEST. Odds can change.