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Forbes (NSW) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Forbes (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 10 October 2026

Race 1 — Bedgerabong Picinic Races Mdn Plate 1200m · jumps 2:49 pm AEDT

Race notes

  • MDN-SW,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

The Friskee Flash (7)

2.25

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 5Inquisitrix

Midfield

  • 2Tallingas Gray
  • 6South Eight

Offpace

  • 3Argyle Springs
  • 1Ona Bivvy
  • 4Graffi

Leader

  • 7The Friskee Flash
  • Ona Bivvy · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Tallingas Gray · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Argyle Springs · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Graffi · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Ellen Hennessy current POT is 66% below Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Ona BivvyJ: Jess Del Frari·T: Ms M Harrison459kg6 81: 0-0-0Ona Bivvy win6.00Ona Bivvy place2.65

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1208m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Moe1208m18 June 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY99.2L
  2. 6Caulfield800m2 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial3.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (16-weeks). Ex John McArdle. Trained here now. Unremarkable debut performance at Moe 18 Jun. Expect will need this run.

ILB

Back from a break. Started $13.00 and weakened to finish 8th last time at Moe on a heavy track. Should improve here and was on debut last time. Solid chance.

RP

Beaten 9l when eighth on his debut at Moe at 12-1 in June; potential for improvement; first run for stable; should be better for that run.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started 12/1 and faded to finish 8th last start at Moe on a heavy surface. Should improve from the last run. Strong competitor.

2Tallingas GrayJ: Michael Heagney·T: Kieren Hazelton259kg8 12 7 3 75: 0-0-0Tallingas Gray win34.00Tallingas Gray place8.00

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Mudgee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Mudgee1100m3 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW13.47L
  2. 3Wagga1000m8 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L
  3. 7Tatura1100m30 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD37.1L
  4. 12Echuca1300m20 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD425L
  5. 8Tatura1100m8 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD410.9L
  6. 7Seymour1000m31 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY910.3L
  7. 4Wangaratta900m7 July 2025 · Barrier Trial3.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Unable to make an impression in choppy conditions at Mudgee for new trainer. Better for the outing. Looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

On a quick back up. At $9.50 below standard effort when 7th last time at Mudgee but will try to take advantage of the alley. Needs a lot of luck in this race.

RP

Finished last of seven at Mudgee over 5½f (maiden) seven days ago on debut for this trainer; entitled to respect.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Odds of 17/2 and subpar when 7th last start at Mudgee but has a good draw.

3Argyle SpringsJ: Jake Pracey-Holmes·T: Ms A Smith757kg5 2 5 8 413: 0-2-3Argyle Springs win3.90Argyle Springs place1.95

Career

13: 0-2-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cowra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Narromine

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Wellington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1320m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Dubbo1300m2 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY85.5L
  2. 8Bathurst1400m13 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT54.4L
  3. 5Dubbo1300m7 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD46.3L
  4. 2Narromine1300m23 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY80.8L
  5. 5Dubbo1320m10 Aug 2026 · MDN HCP · HEAVY93.6L
  6. 3Bathurst1100m28 July 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD310.5L
  7. 5Cowra1200m11 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.7L
  8. 3Bathurst1200m16 June 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY96.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 59%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On pace but found little at the business end at Dubbo. On pacer. Deep into her campaign, can make the podium.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Didn't maintain the pace when 4th last run at Dubbo. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Should give plenty of sight.

RP

Could not manage better than fourth over 6½f at Dubbo (maiden) last week; yet to open her account after 13 starts; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Didn't find the line when 4th last start at Dubbo on a heavy track. Shows good early pace. Should give this a shake.

4GraffiJ: Ellen Hennessy·T: Ms M Harrison557kg4 9 4 4 94: 0-0-0Graffi win10.00Graffi place3.70

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Muswellbrook1500m8 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.1L
  2. 4Scone1300m17 Aug 2026 · MDN · SOFT55L
  3. 4Muswellbrook1280m9 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD40.9L
  4. 9Scone900m31 July 2026 · MDN · GOOD46.6L
  5. 4Scone1000m1 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)4.1L
  6. 7Scone800m10 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)10.1L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Ellen Hennessy current POT is 66% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Ex A M Boyle. Trained here now. Went home tamely at Muswellbrook over longer assignment at $14. Big watch under new trainer.

ILB

Started at $14.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last time at Muswellbrook and back in trip. Racing for a new trainer. Hard to warm to at present.

RP

No impression when ninth of 11 over 7½f at Muswellbrook (maiden) 32 days ago; first start for yard; should be thereabouts as has been on the scene in the recent past.

RSIS

Started at 13/1 and looked outclassed when 9th last run at Muswellbrook and coming back in distance. First appearance for a new trainer.

5InquisitrixJ: Jacob Stiff·T: A W Prisk157kg3 3 4 10 224: 0-2-4Inquisitrix win26.00Inquisitrix place6.50

Career

24: 0-2-4

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wellington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Binnaway

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Enngonia1000m19 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW1.27L
  2. 10Griffith1200m12 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD310.4L
  3. 4Cobar1200m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+4.3L
  4. 3Louth1000m8 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW2.9L
  5. 3Carinda1000m18 July 2026 · MDN2.4L
  6. 5Cobar1000m23 May 2026 · MDN-SW11.5L
  7. 2Brewarrina1200m16 May 2026 · MDN-SW9.6L
  8. 6Binnaway1000m2 May 2026 · MDN-SW10.2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Allan Prisk striking at just 2%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 76%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 81% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Outgunned in two-horse race at Enngonia. Hope for exotics only.

ILB

Honest race when 2nd last run at Enngonia and has drawn to do little work. Likely to settle back in the field. Appears tested.

RP

Last of two over 5f at Enngonia (maiden) last month; has displayed improved form on last two starts but still winless and defeats stacking up (24 on the bounce).

RSIS

In the money when 2nd last run at Enngonia and will appreciate a good stall. Likely to settle back in the field.

6South EightJ: Clayton Gallagher·T: Brett Robb356.5kg5 9 72: 0-0-0South Eight win4.00South Eight place2.00

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wellington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Dubbo1000m27 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD47.5L
  2. 9Wellington900m15 Sept 2026 · MDN · SOFT68.27L
  3. 5Dubbo1000m7 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.4L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ridden back and never a factor at Dubbo at second start. Distance increase suits. Among the dangers.

ILB

Finished 7th last start at Dubbo. Jockey Clayton Gallagher and trainer Brett Robb work well together. Possesses good closing speed. In the mix against these.

RP

Beaten 8l into seventh over 5f at Dubbo (maiden) last month; has to be considered.

RSIS

Finished 7th last start at Dubbo. Clayton Gallagher and Brett Robb demand respect when they team up. Has good closing pace.

7The Friskee FlashJ: Glenn Cahill·T: N J Osborne655kg6 5 4 63: 0-0-0The Friskee Flash win2.25The Friskee Flash place1.38

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wagga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moruya

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1020m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Wagga1400m28 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD43.15L
  2. 4Goulburn1100m11 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD46.8L
  3. 5Moruya1020m28 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD43L
  4. 6Goulburn750m3 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.5L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 18% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On pace but unable to sustain bid at Wagga last start. Switching to 1200m. Hard to toss.

ILB

Started $15.00 and ran 6th last run at Wagga. Displays good tactical speed. Low-key chance.

RP

Best she's managed so far is fourth from three career starts; not beaten that far over 7f at Wagga (handicap) last month; passed over.

RSIS

Started 14/1 and ran 6th last time at Wagga. Likely to be well placed early.

Odds correct as at 3:01 am AEDT. Odds can change.