Donald (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:02 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Donald (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 15 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsDonald (VIC)Change

Race 7 — Chs Broadbent (Bm66) 1620m · jumps Sun 15 Nov, 5:05 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,BM66,BM66 HCP,Benchmark 66
SOFT5
Overcast
12 runners

Shortest win price

Town Planner (8)

3.40

Most career wins

Alternate

8-4-2 from 26 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

2Alternate
7Second Fix

Offmidfield

3Jet Jitsu
11Designs Of Eight
4Sound Of Jura
10Stepify

Midfield

6Switch Hit

Offpace

12Solar Mist

Onpace

1Brung King
5Panda's Spectrum

Leader

8Town Planner
9Chantra

Brung King · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Alternate · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jet Jitsu · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -68% POT in their L100 Races
Sound Of Jura · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 125%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Brung KingJ: Jade Smith·T: Henry Dwyer962kg6 10 12 12 534: 7-5-3$9.00$3.00

Career

34: 7-5-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 1-2-1
Second-up
5: 2-0-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield
3: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1308m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1447m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1535m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 2-3-2
Going Heavy
6: 3-1-0
Going Soft
13: 2-1-0

Last starts

5Bendigo1600m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
12Hamilton1600m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT510.26L
12Cranbourne1400m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD44.59L
10Sandown1400m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT75.2L
6Bendigo800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)2.8L
12Caulfield1600m14 Mar 2026 · BM80 HCP · GOOD46.9L
2Ballarat1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD40.3L
10Caulfield1800m31 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.7L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 52% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay without troubling at Bendigo. One for exotics.

ILB

Was $16.00 and outmatched late when 5th last run at Bendigo. Should muster plenty of early speed. Large claim helps. Has strong claims.

Career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 7-34); solid run when fifth at Bendigo last month; latest effort was encouraging so should go well.

RSIS

At 15/1 faded away when 5th last run at Bendigo. Has shown early pace in races to date. Large claim helps. Solid chance.

2AlternateJ: Bradley Vale·T: Stacey Kirkpatrick260kg3 1 8 2 126: 8-4-2$19.00$4.20

Career

26: 8-4-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-2-0
Second-up
4: 2-1-1
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Track Yea
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
8: 2-2-1
Distance 1406m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2244m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
22: 6-4-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 2-0-0

Last starts

1Berrigan1600m31 Oct 2026 · BERRIGAN CUP · GOOD3-1.01
2Deniliquin1400m17 Oct 2026 · DENI CUP BM78 · GOOD30.09L
8Bendigo1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD310.5L
1Deniliquin1600m25 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 66-0.02
3Kerang1400m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33L
1Berrigan1400m14 Mar 2026 · BM58-0.34
2Hanging Rock1600m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
7Wangaratta1400m22 Dec 2025 · BM56 · SOFT55.2L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Top Stable
Positive
Stacey Kirkpatrick performing 89% above market expectation
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 251%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Stacey Kirkpatrick in good form, out performing market 89%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

All honours in the small field at Berrigan. Looks up against it.

ILB

Good win by 1L last run at Berrigan and gets a favourable barrier. Displays good tactical speed. In a purple patch of form this campaign. Going up in weight. Strong prospects.

Won a handicap by 1l at Berrigan last month; proven that he knows how to get his head in front (seeking a ninth career win); interesting.

RSIS

Left nothing to chance when winning by 1L last time at Berrigan and gets a favourable stall. Likely to be well placed early. Stacey Kirkpatrick stable are running hot lately. Should go very close.

3Jet JitsuJ: Sarah Field·T: Andrew Bobbin460kg1 1 11 4 843: 7-4-7$21.00$4.40

Career

43: 7-4-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
7: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
5: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 2-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1400m
12: 1-0-2
Distance 1443m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 2-1-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Warrnambool1400m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD43.38L
4Bendigo1600m29 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.5L
11Stawell1600m18 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY931.8L
1Donald1620m2 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD3-1.5
1Stawell1607m17 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD4-0.5
6Hamilton2400m8 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)21L
5Ballarat1400m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD310L
4Pakenham1400m19 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT56L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -68% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Warrnambool off long break. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Odds of $41.00 and came in 8th last time at Warrnambool. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Needs to find a lot more.

Close up behind Designs Of Eight when eighth over 7f at Warrnambool (handicap) two weeks ago; unbeaten at this course after two runs; likes this combination of C&D; this line-up contains some strong opposition so easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Started 40/1 and finished 8th last start at Warrnambool. Gets back and needs luck.

4Sound Of JuraJ: Mitchell Aitken·T: Ms A Yates1160kg2 6 1 8 721: 5-0-3$16.00$3.90

Career

21: 5-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
4: 4-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
3: 1-0-0
Track Kerang
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1429m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1604m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-2
Going Good
14: 3-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

7Ararat1600m8 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.06L
8Kyneton1887m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.46L
1Swan Hill1600m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.75
6Seymour1600m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.3L
2Bendigo1300m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)1.3L
5Kerang1800m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.3L
5Swan Hill1600m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.1L
1Albury1600m23 Feb 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY8-0.1

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 125%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 32% POT in L100 Runners
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Ararat. Has some claims.

ILB

On a short back up. Started at $21.00 and average effort when 7th last time at Ararat. Expected to settle towards the rear. Hard to see it being competitive today.

Career wins-runs record of 5-21; posted respectable effort when beaten 2l at Ararat last week; others more persuasive given this looks a decent race.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started at 20/1 and lacked competitiveness when 7th last time at Ararat. Might have to make up considerable ground.

5Panda's SpectrumJ: Harry Coffey·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes859kg1 1 3 18 97: 2-1-1$5.00$2.00

Career

7: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-1-1

Last starts

9Pakenham1400m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.1L
18Eagle Farm2200m6 June 2026 · 3yo · GOOD417.1L
3Morphettville2546m9 May 2026 · 3yo · SOFT61.2L
1Mornington2020m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.4
1Seymour1600m13 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.8
2Cranbourne1600m27 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.4L
5Kilmore1450m6 Mar 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD42.8L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Pakenham first up at $13. Fitter second-up. Can make her presence felt.

ILB

Was $13.00 and didn't threaten when 9th last run at Pakenham. Has definite claims.

Finished ninth of 12 at Pakenham over 7f (handicap) last month; warrants respect as has wins in her back catalogue.

RSIS

Was 12/1 and faded away to finish 9th last time at Pakenham. Commands respect.

6Switch HitJ: Chelsea Taylor·T: Mitchell Freedman659kg2 2 2 4 123: 4-5-2$5.00$2.00

Career

23: 4-5-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
2: 0-1-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1741m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 3-2-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
9: 1-2-1

Last starts

1Wycheproof1800m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-3.25
4Swan Hill1600m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.31L
2Kilmore1607m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD43L
2Kilmore1600m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.1L
2Bordertown1300m11 Sept 2026 · BM56 · SOFT61.3L
7Seymour1414m27 Aug 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY85.3L
3Geelong1225m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY80.4L
3Geelong1200m31 July 2026 · 2UP CG&E BM56 HCP · SOFT74.5L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 380%
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now

Comments

AAP

Won after racing back and let down powerfully to win Wycheproof Cup. Primed to give another strong account.

ILB

Was strong to the line when winning by 3 1/4L last time at Wycheproof but carrying more weight than last time. Producing consistent results this campaign. Watch for a sign in the market.

Showing consistent form; good effort when close up at Dunkeld over 1m1f (handicap) yesterday; was entered at Dunkeld Saturday.

RSIS

Was strong to the line when winning by a margin of 3 1/4L last time at Wycheproof but going up in weight. Expected to be flashing home. Not at all out of this race.

7Second FixJ: Jack Hill·T: Holly Mckechnie558kg6 1 8 8 221: 3-4-3$10.00$3.30

Career

21: 3-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
8: 1-3-2
Distance 1300m
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 3-4-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Naracoorte1430m1 Nov 2026 · BM66 · GOOD41.99L
8Horsham1100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.17L
8Stawell1600m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.5L
1Swan Hill1600m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.1
6Ballarat1400m22 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD47.1L
14Morphettville1600m31 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD411.7L
3Murray Bridge1400m10 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD42.6L
6Warrnambool1400m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD31.4L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 45% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Jack Hill 51% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Jack Hill winning at 30% POT in last 100 rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent back from wide gate and let rip late at Naracoorte second-up. Stripping fitter, each way claims.

ILB

Finished with intent when 2nd last run at Naracoorte but testing ability against stronger contenders. Likely to get back. Watch betting.

A respectable runner-up of nine over 7f at Naracoorte (handicap) 14 days ago.

RSIS

Did well to run 2nd beaten by 2L last run at Naracoorte but matched against a stronger field. Likely to settle back in the field.

8Town PlannerJ: Jack Martin·T: Patrick Payne157kg7 6 7 6 11: 1-0-0$3.40$1.60

Career

1: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Swan Hill1600m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.5
6Colac1200m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.3L
7Tatura1100m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)9.9L
6Traralgon1100m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.5L
7Caulfield Heath1000m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.7L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jack Martin 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

The medium of heavy support and duly saluted at Swan Hill on career debut. Rates highly.

ILB

Picked up nicely to win last run at Swan Hill and was on debut last time. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Strong claims in this.

Won a maiden at Swan Hill on his debut at 5-4 19 days ago; much respected.

RSIS

Picked up late to win last run at Swan Hill and having second career run. Should muster plenty of early pace. Will appreciate a good stall. Must respect.

9ChantraJ: Alana Kelly·T: Mitchell Freedman1256kg4 1 4 5 1113: 2-0-3$10.00$3.30

Career

13: 2-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-1
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

11Bendigo1600m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.03L
5Ballarat1400m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.48L
4Warrnambool1200m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.25L
1Echuca1200m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT7-1.3
4Ararat1600m3 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT72.1L
6Caulfield Heath1600m9 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD45.1L
3Moe1600m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD40.7L
1Colac1610m6 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.4

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -22%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Sent out $26 when unable to threaten at Bendigo. New to Donald. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Started at $26.00 and didn't find the line when 11th last run at Bendigo. Has the speed to overcome the wide alley. Best to watch and see.

11th of 12 at Bendigo last month; passed over as this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Started at 25/1 and tailed off to finish 11th last start at Bendigo. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.

10StepifyJ: Cian Macredmond·T: P A Preusker354.5kg8 1 53: 1-0-0$26.00$4.80

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Penola
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

5Echuca1400m3 Nov 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT52.35L
1Penola1400m16 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.38
8Ballarat1200m30 Apr 2026 · 2YF MDN-SW · GOOD316.9L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 68%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 67% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Made late rally from the back at Echuca second-up. All the better, could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Was $21.00 and inched into 5th last run at Echuca but up against tougher competition. Likely to get back in the run. Gets some weight taken off. Very unlikely to shake these.

Respectable effort in defeat (beaten 2½l) over 7f at Echuca (handicap) 12 days ago; not had much racing - fourth outing here; running in a handicap for just the second time.

RSIS

Started 20/1 and inched into 5th last run at Echuca but taking on stronger opponents. Does take a while to get into stride. Gets some weight taken off.

11Designs Of EightJ: Tom Madden·T: Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell754kg2 4 3 8 421: 2-3-1$8.00$2.75

Career

21: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-0
Track Terang
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1230m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1306m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1

Last starts

4Warrnambool1400m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.21L
8Morphettville1522m10 Oct 2026 · 0-64 · GOOD34.02L
3Hamilton1600m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT64L
4Ballarat Synthetic1400m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.1L
2Ballarat Synthetic1400m11 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC1L
4Stawell1600m18 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY98.9L
4Terang1600m12 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY108L
2Ararat1306m30 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD31.8L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Quietly handled in back half, shaken up and finished full of running at Warrnambool. Rough show.

ILB

Odds of $17.00 and improved when 4th last time at Warrnambool. Limited possibility.

Far from disgraced (beaten just over 1l) over 7f at Warrnambool (handicap) last month; this looks a fair heat so looks risky.

RSIS

Started 16/1 and overtook some late when 4th last start at Warrnambool.

12Solar MistJ: Sarah Mcdonough·T: C V Kelly1054kg10 5 8 5 751: 5-4-6$51.00$8.00

Career

51: 5-4-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 2-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1620m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
31: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-2

Last starts

7Mildura1400m3 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.63L
5Swan Hill1600m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD42.31L
8Bendigo1600m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.24L
5Mildura1400m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.52L
10Swan Hill1600m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.9L
4Murtoa1600m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.5L
4Warracknabeal1600m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT62.3L
14Mildura1400m18 July 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD48.4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Con Kelly striking at just 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 184%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 15%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Ran on okay without troubling at Mildura. Likely to find these tougher.

ILB

At $9.00 mediocre attempt when 7th last time at Mildura but will benefit with the weight drop. Competing at a higher level of competition. Others much better.

Respectable effort (beaten 1½l) at Mildura over 7f (handicap) two weeks ago; been generally quiet since successful in a handicap at Ballarat in July; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so easy to oppose.

RSIS

Started at 8/1 and basic showing when 7th last run at Mildura but suited by the weight drop. Competing in a higher grade.

Odds correct as at Sun 15 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races