Cranbourne (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 3:57 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Cranbourne (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 6 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 6 NovCranbourne (VIC)Change

Race 3 — RSL Poppy Appeal Mdn Plate 1400m · jumps Fri 6 Nov, 7:15 pm AEDT

Race preview

The Rsl Poppy Appeal Mdn Plate runs at Cranbourne over 1400m on a Good 4 track in overcast conditions at 7:15 pm AEDT. This is a three-year-old maiden for set weights. The win market has Action Point shortest, followed by Civic Square, Blue And Gold, and Wollemi. Action Point gets a chance at 1400m after finding the step up beyond him on debut at Seymour over 1200m, where he finished eighth in soft going. The form suggests he rates a real chance second-up with a race under his belt and an extra 200 metres to work with.

Civic Square sits next in the market and the numbers jump off the page here. The gelding is rated 100 (IRD) and was a Cranbourne jump-out winner on 26 October, a strong indicator on this track. He's handled soft going and his last two starts show him contending but only battling late at Geelong over 1247m. From barrier 6, Daniel Stackhouse aboard, the form suggests Civic Square has more to offer at set weights and will improve sharply third-up. Blue And Gold, third in the market at barrier 3 under Logan Bates, has early speed that rates an advantage on this circuit. His record is mixed—ninth at Seymour and fifth at Geelong—but the trainer is firing hard at 30% POT in the last 100 runners, a big tick.

Wollemi is a newcomer by Maurice out of the Redoute's Choice mare Lake Marion, drawn in gate 1. He's posted 1st and 2nd at his latest jump-outs and his pedigree carries early ability. Celine Gaudray is in the saddle and has outperformed her career average by 16% in the last 100 rides, a positive marker. Teen Torque leads from barrier 8 but sits further down the order and faces headwinds with his jockey Luke Nolen running 50% below career average.

Race notes

3Y MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
GOOD4
Overcast
7 runners

Shortest win price

Action Point (1)

2.40

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

1Action Point

Offmidfield

4Blue And Gold
9Swift Action

Offpace

3Around The Marx

Firststart

7Wollemi

Leader

5Civic Square
10Teen Torque

Action Point · Positive
Map Suits
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Around The Marx · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Blue And Gold · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 30% POT in L100 Runners
Civic Square · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 7%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Action PointJ: Michael Dee·T: G M Begg558kg81: 0-0-0$2.40$1.36

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT57.4L

Insights

Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

Found the debut assignment beyond him at Seymour after easing in betting 11 Oct. Took benefit from that. Looks suited going to 1400m. Room to improve.

ILB

Jumped at $11.00 and ran 8th last start at Seymour but was a debutant last start. Has good finishing speed. Could feature here.

Never posed a significant threat on his debut at Seymour over 6f at 10-1 26 days ago; definite chance if giving a more streetwise showing.

RSIS

Started at 10/1 and ran 8th last start at Seymour but having second career run. Shows good finishing pace.

2ActivatingScratched7––––

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1415m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Sale1415m13 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD414.7L
6Pakenham Synthetic1400m10 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC6.1L

Insights

Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Let-up (54-days). Ex T Busuttin & N Young in Victoria. Dropped out to last and never sighted at Sale at his second race start. Prefer to see.

ILB

Let up. Folded up in the straight when 10th last time at Sale. First start for a new trainer.

Finished last of ten at Sale two months ago; first start for new stable; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Back from a let up. Lost ground in the run home when 10th last start at Sale. Change in trainer.

3Around The MarxJ: Jake Noonan·T: David & Coral Feek458kg5 3 5 54: 0-0-1$21.00$5.50

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Tatura1100m29 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD49.15L
5Cranbourne1000m27 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT62.1L
3Pakenham1100m29 Jan 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD41.8L
5Pakenham1000m9 Jan 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD34.9L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened after returning. Never in the call at Tatura off long spell. Jump-out win since. Looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

Odds of $21.00 and advanced late into 5th last run at Tatura. Will find this tough.

Beaten 9l in fifth over 5½f at Tatura (maiden) five weeks ago; some promise; closest he has come to winning after four starts was a third; stepping up in trip and he can be taken on.

RSIS

Odds of 20/1 and inched into 5th last run at Tatura.

4Blue And GoldJ: Logan Bates·T: Ms C Alderson358kg3 5 93: 0-0-1$7.50$3.20

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT59.65L
5Geelong1100m11 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.2L
3Caulfield1200m21 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD42.2L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 30% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Never sighted at Seymour when second-up. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Ran 9th last time at Seymour. Has the potential to improve sharply. Always seems to find the line well. Winning chance.

Some promise; closest he has come to winning after three starts was a third; finished ninth, beaten a fair way at Seymour over 6f (maiden, not far behind Action Point) last month; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Ran 9th last time at Seymour. Giving another chance here. Can go through the gears. Should give this a shake.

5Civic SquareJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: G Eurell658kg5 62: 0-0-0$3.10$1.70

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1247m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Geelong1247m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.03L
5Sandown1200m15 July 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY92.7L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -56% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kept tabs on leaders but only battled late in soft going at Geelong. Cranbourne jump-out winner 26/10. Looks a serious player.

ILB

Started at $4.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last start at Geelong. May see an upturn in form. Will be positive in the run early. Expect support.

Not disgraced when sixth over 6f at Geelong (maiden) last month.

RSIS

Odds of 3/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last start at Geelong. Has the ability to turn things around. Has plenty of early pace. Should go well.

6Poetic PassageScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

$150k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare who won three races. 6th & 2nd and latest jump-outs. Educated here. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

First race appearance 3yo by Xtravagant for Trent Busuttin And Natalie Young. Betting as a guide.

Yard can ready a debutant; makes first racecourse appearance; clear chance with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Trent Busuttin And Natalie Young 3yo by Xtravagant having first start.

7WollemiJ: Celine Gaudray·T: M Price & M Kent Jnr158kg–$6.00$2.65

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Celine Gaudray in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 18%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

Newcomer by Maurice and out of the Redoute's Choice mare Lake Marion. 1st & 2nd at latest jump-outs. Nice gate. Looks a nice race to kick off in.

ILB

Debutant 3yo by Maurice for trainer Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) and drawn well. Jockey Celine Gaudray rates highly. Respect the betting.

Stable gets plenty of debutant winners; already gelded; hard to dismiss.

RSIS

Maurice 3yo on debut for trainer Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) and has minimal work to do from the draw. Jockey Celine Gaudray is in form.

8I'm A BelieverScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Damien Thornton in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 20%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). 3yo filly making debut. Out of a Redoute's Choice mare Lake Marion. 5th & 2nd at her latest jump-outs. Draw could be an issue but market watch advised.

ILB

Initial race appearance 3yo by Noverre for trainer Danny O'brien. Watch betting.

RSIS

3yo by Noverre racing as a debutant for trainer Danny O'brien.

9Swift ActionJ: Jackson Radley·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes256kg9 62: 0-0-0$26.00$6.50

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1203m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Kyneton1203m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · SOFT53.46L
9Kilmore1100m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48L

Insights

Hot Trainer
Positive
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes in good form, out performing market 41%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Fair performance without threatening at Kyneton at second appearance at $81. Better for those runs under the belt and open to improvement.

ILB

Was $81.00 and came in 6th last run at Kyneton but has a good draw. Likely to get back in the run. Few more classier types in this race.

Fair effort when beaten 3½l, finishing sixth of 12 over 6f at Kyneton (maiden) last month; others more persuasive.

RSIS

Was 80/1 and came in 6th last time at Kyneton but drawn nicely. Might have to make up considerable ground.

10Teen TorqueJ: Luke Nolen·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman856kg9 6 9 4 35: 0-0-1$9.00$3.60

Career

5: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1479m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Kyneton1479m20 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD32.75L
4Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3.85L
9Bendigo1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.75L
6Donald1200m2 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD32.7L
9Pakenham1100m9 Apr 2026 · 2YF MDN-SW · SOFT56L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Luke Nolen current POT is 50% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 55%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 61% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 56% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

Comments

AAP

At the helm, outpointed late but slogged away for the minor spoils 3yo Mdn Plate at Kyneton. Leads, handy. Right in this.

ILB

Honest run on the speed before fading to finish 3rd last start at Kyneton. Should muster plenty of early toe. Facing a difficult task.

Improved form the last twice; a respectable third of eight over 7½f at Kyneton (maiden) last month; Luke Nolen a good booking.

RSIS

Showed strength on the pace initially before fading at the end 3rd last start at Kyneton. Shows good early pace.

Odds correct as at Fri 6 Nov, 7:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Fri 2 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races