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Avoca horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Avoca, with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 17 October 2026

Race 7 — Avoca Caravan Park (Bm56) 1860m · jumps 5:22 pm AEDT

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM56,BM56 HCP,Benchmark 56
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Jackand (5)

3.10

Most career wins

Semper Fortis and Whistler Girl

6 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 9Bell's Bighouse

Offmidfield

  • 7Mannerheim
  • 5Jackand

Midfield

  • 2Last Raider
  • 4La Reel Deal

Offpace

  • 8Semper Fortis
  • 1Baby Rider
  • 6Rebel's Idol
  • 10Princess Sakiko

Leader

  • 11Whistler Girl

  • Baby Rider · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 65% better than Career Avg.

  • Last Raider · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 51% lower than Career Avg.

  • La Reel Deal · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jackand · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 85%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Baby RiderJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Ms H Burns562kg4 10 9 11 744: 4-2-4Baby Rider win34.00Baby Rider place4.80

Career

44: 4-2-4

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    10: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    8: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    7: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    7: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    32: 4-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 7Mildura1900m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD412.05L
  2. 11Swan Hill1600m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD310.15L
  3. 9Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.8L
  4. 10Warrnambool1700m11 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD38.1L
  5. 4Burrumbeet1800m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.6L
  6. 5Nhill1650m26 Dec 2025 · BM84 HCP · GOOD32.8L
  7. 7Warrnambool2000m30 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT67.3L
  8. 8Dunkeld1800m15 Nov 2025 · DUNKELD CUP · SOFT63.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 65% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Was a long way from the action in 1900m 3yo+ (Bm62) at Mildura. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Started at $51.00 and folded up in the straight when 7th last run at Mildura. Needs significant improvement.

RP

Beaten 12l in seventh last week at Mildura upped to this distance; one win to his name was achieved a fair way back; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Started at 50/1 and looked outclassed when 7th last time at Mildura.

2Last RaiderJ: Jade Smith·T: D W Whitworth362kg2 5 3 8 816: 2-2-6Last Raider win20.00Last Raider place3.90

Career

16: 2-2-6

Rating · IRD

95

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Stawell

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2460m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 2400m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    12: 2-2-3

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-2

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 8Stawell2000m17 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD48.25L
  2. 8Sandown2400m4 June 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD415.6L
  3. 3Morphettville2009m3 May 2025 · BM66 HCP · GOOD43.5L
  4. 5Bendigo2400m30 Oct 2024 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD43.4L
  5. 2Hamilton2200m12 Oct 2024 · Handicap · GOOD42.5L
  6. 1Coleraine2250m27 Sept 2024 · 0 - 58 · GOOD4-2.5
  7. 3Bendigo2200m25 July 2024 · BenchMark 58 · HEAVY84.75L
  8. 3Ballarat2600m30 June 2024 · BenchMark 58 · SOFT72.5L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 51% lower than Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 38%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 51% in L100 rides

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (26-weeks). Can play a role fresh in this company.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a break of 26 weeks. At $17.00 moderate showing when 8th last run at Stawell. The large claim from Jade Smith helps. Represents significant value.

RP

Finished eighth, beaten 8l, over 1m2f at Stawell (handicap) dropped back in distance six months ago; back from an absence here; others are preferred.

RSIS

First run back from a break of 26 weeks. Started at 16/1 and lacklustre showing when 8th last start at Stawell. Jade Smith provides some weight relief. Respected competitor.

3Mike's HopeScratched11––––

Career

7: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    4: 1-1-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 2Swan Hill1600m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.75L
  2. 9Bendigo1600m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.3L
  3. 3Pakenham Synthetic1600m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC0.5L
  4. 6Sandown1400m2 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT75.2L
  5. 1Mildura1400m17 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8
  6. 4Sandown1600m4 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L
  7. 3Cranbourne1400m10 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.7L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Came home with a wet sail to grab second 3yo+ (Bm62) at Swan Hill at odds of $6.50. Distance increase suits. Highly rated despite the weight.

ILB

Did well to run 2nd last start at Swan Hill. Looking sharp on the track this campaign.

RP

Good effort when close up at Swan Hill over 1m (handicap) 25 days ago; should go close with so many of these having something to prove.

RSIS

Finished strongly when 2nd last time at Swan Hill. Exhibiting good form since coming back from a break.

4La Reel DealJ: Jack Martin·T: Mitchell Freedman761.5kg7 5 10 5 15: 1-0-0La Reel Deal win14.00La Reel Deal place3.60

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murtoa

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Camperdown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Coleraine1600m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-2.25
  2. 5Murtoa1600m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.6L
  3. 10Geelong1700m31 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT79.5L
  4. 5Ballarat Synthetic1400m14 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.1L
  5. 7Camperdown1600m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD36.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Hauled them in effortlessly at Coleraine at $13. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Bold effort when winning last time at Coleraine. Tough ask.

RP

Off the mark at the fifth time of asking at Coleraine over 1m (maiden) when successful by just over 2l last month; has arguably shown improved form the last twice; he shouldn't be far away given that not many of these impressed last time out.

RSIS

Reeled them in when winning last run at Coleraine.

5JackandJ: Darryl Horner·T: P Kearney1061kg2 3 4 3 747: 5-8-11Jackand win3.10Jackand place1.38

Career

47: 5-8-11

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-2

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Track Ararat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Benalla

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1312m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1340m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    26: 2-3-7

  • Going Heavy

    6: 1-3-1

  • Going Soft

    14: 2-2-3

Last starts

  1. 7Geelong1447m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.41L
  2. 3Warrnambool1700m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY87L
  3. 4Geelong1730m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY85.9L
  4. 3Geelong1700m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT71.3L
  5. 2Geelong1760m10 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY80.3L
  6. 2Geelong1733m19 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY90.5L
  7. 14Swan Hill1600m7 June 2026 · 0 - 62 · SOFT535.2L
  8. 9Geelong1400m22 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT54.01L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 85%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Ridden back, battled home without threatening at Geelong. Hard to make a case beyond the minors.

ILB

Lacked competitiveness when 7th last time at Geelong but stepping down to a lower level. Darryl Horner and Patrick Kearney have shared plenty of success together. Displays good closing speed. Has some claims.

RP

Not beaten too far when seventh of nine over 7f at Geelong (handicap) last Wednesday; he can be taken on.

RSIS

Underwhelming when 7th last run at Geelong but has been racing in stronger company. Darryl Horner and Patrick Kearney have achieved a lot of success as a team. Watch the betting.

6Rebel's IdolJ: Campbell Rawiller·T: Ms J Duncan161kg10 11 5 1 86: 1-0-0Rebel's Idol win8.00Rebel's Idol place2.60

Career

6: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Horsham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mildura

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murtoa

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Tatura1600m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.8L
  2. 1Murtoa1600m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-4
  3. 5Mildura1400m8 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.2L
  4. 11Swan Hill1300m16 Mar 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.8L
  5. 10Swan Hill1200m7 June 2024 · Maiden · GOOD417.25L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 1%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 82%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 80%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 27%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Sent out $31 when unable to threaten in rain affected going at Tatura. First try at 1860m. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Was $31.00 and faded away to finish 8th last run at Tatura but gets the perfect alley. Prefer in a much weaker race.

RP

Not disgraced when eighth over 1m at Tatura (handicap) six weeks ago; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; this only his second handicap outing; stamina to prove at this trip so others more likely.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and folded up in the straight when 8th last start at Tatura but drawn well.

7MannerheimJ: Tom Madden·T: Jamie Edwards260.5kg7 6 14 9 732: 4-1-6Mannerheim win7.00Mannerheim place2.40

Career

32: 4-1-6

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 3-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Coleraine

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1650m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    15: 2-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    12: 2-1-2

Last starts

  1. 7Coleraine2250m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD35.62L
  2. 9Geelong1700m11 Sept 2026 · BM62 · GOOD45.9L
  3. 14Geelong1730m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY815.7L
  4. 6Sandown1500m29 July 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY105.9L
  5. 7Geelong1243m10 July 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY811.3L
  6. 3Sunshine Coast2200m26 Dec 2025 · BM68 · SOFT51.5L
  7. 9Doomben2070m12 Dec 2025 · BM68 · SOFT54.4L
  8. 8Doomben2020m29 Nov 2025 · BM70 · SOFT65.6L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $6.50 when unable to threaten at Coleraine over longer assignment. Coming back in distance. Looks up against it.

ILB

Was $6.50 and struggled with the pace when 7th last time at Coleraine but drawn nicely. Possesses good finishing speed. Not without a chance.

RP

Was seventh of 12, beaten 6l, over 1m3f at Coleraine (handicap) 22 days ago; others more appealing.

RSIS

Was 11/2 and didn't threaten when 7th last start at Coleraine but can find a nice position from the draw. Has a nice turn of foot. Respect the betting.

8Semper FortisJ: Dylan Dunn·T: Symon Wilde660.5kg11 9 6 11 1040: 6-7-1Semper Fortis win10.00Semper Fortis place2.90

Career

40: 6-7-1

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    9: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    7: 1-2-0

  • Third-up

    6: 1-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Track Gosford

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2130m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 2-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    7: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    17: 3-3-0

Last starts

  1. 10Coleraine2250m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD311.37L
  2. 11Warrnambool2350m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY812.6L
  3. 6Warrnambool2000m20 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY109.3L
  4. 9Geelong1700m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT75.1L
  5. 11Kembla Grange2400m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM68 HCP · SOFT615.2L
  6. 6Canterbury1900m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT67L
  7. 4Canberra2000m20 Feb 2026 · CANB CUP PREV · GOOD41.7L
  8. 5Randwick1600m7 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.7L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 38% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn 57% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn winning at 32% POT in last 100 rides

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never landed a blow at Coleraine over longer assignment. Drops to shorter trip. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Was $8.00 and looked outclassed when 10th last start at Coleraine. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Tenth of 12 at Coleraine over 1m3f (handicap) last month; this is his grade; strong claims.

RSIS

Started 7/1 and struggled with the pace when 10th last start at Coleraine. Keep safe.

9Bell's BighouseJ: Sarah Field·T: J Rowe460kg8 2 1 4 1040: 5-2-6Bell's Bighouse win7.00Bell's Bighouse place2.40

Career

40: 5-2-6

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    5: 2-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Casterton

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2200m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1405m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    19: 1-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    5: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 10Ballarat1600m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD43.22L
  2. 4Hamilton1600m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT65L
  3. 1Echuca1400m30 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT7-0.3
  4. 2Murtoa1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.5L
  5. 8Ballarat Synthetic1100m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC8.5L
  6. 4Stawell2000m13 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD43.1L
  7. 3Mount Gambier2050m28 Nov 2025 · BM62 · SOFT55.2L
  8. 7Penshurst2000m22 Nov 2025 · BM78 HCP · GOOD311.3L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 280%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Beyond midfield, under pump turn and plugged home at Ballarat. Smoky place prospect at best.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Was $81.00 and lacked competitiveness when 10th last start at Ballarat but challenged by less formidable competitors. Likely to get back in the field. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

She meets the required standard ability wise; not beaten too far when tenth of 11 at Ballarat over 1m (handicap) last Friday.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Odds of 80/1 and lacked competitiveness when 10th last time at Ballarat but matched against lesser competition. Likely to settle back in the field. Watch for a sign in the market.

10Princess SakikoJ: Jack Hill·T: Shane Jackson858.5kg3 5 4 6 59: 1-2-1Princess Sakiko win5.00Princess Sakiko place1.95

Career

9: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Terang

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1700m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Warrnambool1700m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.45L
  2. 6Warrnambool1700m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY88.7L
  3. 4Ballarat Synthetic1500m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC4.8L
  4. 5Sale1400m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT65.2L
  5. 3Ballarat Synthetic1200m12 July 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC4.4L
  6. 1Terang1600m2 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.2
  7. 2Terang1600m16 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.8L
  8. 2Kilmore1450m23 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT70.1L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 25% POT in their L100 Races

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fair performance without threatening at Warrnambool at $17. Worth a look.

ILB

Started $17.00 and advanced late into 5th last start at Warrnambool and going down in class. Will be fighting out the finish.

RP

Has struggled to factor since winning a maiden at Terang on New Year's Day; not disgraced when fifth of 11 over 1m½f at Warrnambool (handicap) last month; passed over.

RSIS

Started at 16/1 and improved late to finish 5th last time at Warrnambool and stepping down to a lower level. Should put in a decent effort.

11Whistler GirlJ: Carleen Hefel·T: Aaron Peterson958kg3 4 3 1 853: 6-2-5Whistler Girl win9.00Whistler Girl place2.75

Career

53: 6-2-5

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    7: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Penola

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track St Arnaud

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1204m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    13: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    31: 5-1-4

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Mount Gambier1550m7 Oct 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD45.21L
  2. 1Coleraine1800m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD3-2.25
  3. 3Donald1620m12 Sept 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD41.8L
  4. 4Casterton1400m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT55.1L
  5. 3Ballarat Synthetic1500m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC4L
  6. 6Ballarat Synthetic1500m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SYNTHETIC6.8L
  7. 11Bendigo1600m30 July 2026 · 2UP BM66 HCP · SOFT610L
  8. 5Ballarat Synthetic1400m30 June 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.2L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Coleraine winner two back. Sent out $15 when unable to threaten at Mt Gambier. Can bounce back in this.

ILB

At $15.00 came in 8th last time at Mount Gambier. Has the necessary speed to mitigate the wide draw. Considering others.

RP

Beaten just over 5l over 7½f at Mt Gambier (handicap) last Wednesday; useful at this level.

RSIS

Started 14/1 and came in 8th last start at Mount Gambier. The wide draw shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.

12Treasury PlaceScratched12––––

Career

33: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    6: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Camperdown

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1760m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    14: 1-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    5: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 5Coleraine1800m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD35.16L
  2. 9Warrnambool1700m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY814.2L
  3. 2Warrnambool2000m23 July 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY101.5L
  4. 8Geelong1760m10 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY87.2L
  5. 1Donald1620m20 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY9-0.8
  6. 10Ararat1300m9 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT710L
  7. 10Hamilton1600m7 Nov 2025 · 0 - 56 · SOFT612.6L
  8. 9Ballarat1400m6 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT66.2L

Insights

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went home just tamely at Coleraine at $7.50. New to Avoca. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Started $7.50 and couldn't maintain the pace throughout when 5th last run at Coleraine. Gets back and needs luck.

RP

Held at Coleraine three weeks ago by Whistler Girl over 1m1f (handicap) when beaten just over 5l (fifth of 12); this is his grade.

RSIS

Started at 13/2 and peaked on the run when 5th last time at Coleraine. Likely to get back in the run.

13SerinScratched14––––

Career

23: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1306m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1356m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Manangatang1550m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.9L
  2. 7Coleraine1600m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.87L
  3. 8Naracoorte1430m28 Aug 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY910.7L
  4. 10Hamilton1400m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY1014.5L
  5. 6Ballarat Synthetic2100m4 Aug 2025 · BM64 HCP · SYNTHETIC9.6L
  6. 7Warrnambool1700m24 July 2025 · 2UP BM64 HCP · HEAVY97L
  7. 4Ballarat Synthetic1400m4 July 2025 · 2UP BM58 HCP · SYNTHETIC5.8L
  8. 9Terang1400m15 June 2025 · 0 - 58 · HEAVY814.85L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Winless since 23 Jul 2024. Warming into it late at Manangatang. Looks up against it.

ILB

Backing up quickly. At $6.00 hit the line well when 5th last time at Manangatang.

RP

Not disgraced in fifth at Manangatang over 7½f (handicap) a week ago; he meets the required standard ability wise.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. At 5/1 kept chasing when 5th last time at Manangatang.

14A Blue StarScratched3––––

Career

39: 1-3-2

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Warrnambool

    5: 0-0-0

  • Track Murtoa

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track St Arnaud

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1850m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2250m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 1-1-1

  • Going Synthetic

    6: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    16: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 10Warrnambool1400m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY917.71L
  2. 10Warrnambool1400m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.68L
  3. 4Ballarat Synthetic1500m18 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.2L
  4. 3Casterton1400m9 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT73.3L
  5. 12Coleraine2250m19 July 2026 · BM56 HWGT · SOFT547.5L
  6. 3Ballarat Synthetic2100m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.5L
  7. 9Ballarat Synthetic2200m21 June 2026 · BM56 · SYNTHETIC11.4L
  8. 10Warrnambool2000m14 June 2026 · BM56 HWGT · HEAVY1016.7L

Insights

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

Comments

AAP

Last win was 11 May 2023. No threat as a $91 chance in 3yo+ (Bm62) at Warrnambool. First time around Avoca. Not fancied.

ILB

Tailed off to finish 10th last run at Warrnambool on a heavy surface but has been racing in stronger company. Facing a rise in trip.

RP

He can be competitive at this level; last of ten over 7f at Warrnambool (handicap) 16 days ago.

RSIS

Gave away some ground when 10th last start at Warrnambool on a heavy rated track but back in an easier grade. Facing an increased distance.

Odds correct as at 10:52 am AEDT. Odds can change.