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Avoca horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Avoca, with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 17 October 2026

Race 5 — Carlton Draught (Bm56) 1300m · jumps 3:58 pm AEDT

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM56,BM56 HCP,Benchmark 56
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Chapados (10)

2.40

Most career wins

Costae and Break The Taboo

2 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 5Brave Summit

Midfield

  • 13Drover's Yarn

Offpace

  • 4Costae
  • 7Break The Taboo
  • 10Chapados
  • 6You Said What
  • 12French Love

Leader

  • 9Mislight
  • Costae · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 65% in Last 100 Rides

  • Brave Summit · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • You Said What · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.

  • Break The Taboo · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are winning 25% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1SheanadhScratched8––––

Career

5: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tatura

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1406m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Tatura1100m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.5L
  2. 1Wodonga1100m1 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-0.8
  3. 8Terang1406m20 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.4L
  4. 7Cranbourne1200m30 Jan 2026 · 3YF BM64 · GOOD37.6L
  5. 1Mornington1200m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1

Insights

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

Comments

AAP

Off pace, worked her way into the minors without threatening winner at Tatura 29 Sep. One for exotics.

ILB

Came on strongly to finish 3rd last run at Tatura and putting a tidy record together. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts this campaign.

RP

Third, beaten 3½l, over 5½f at Tatura (handicap) 18 days ago; clear chance.

RSIS

Did well to run into 3rd beaten by 3 1/2L last start at Tatura and promising career start. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts in recent runs.

2BoulderooScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Up In Weight

    Negative

    Goes up 4kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay in soft going at Bendigo over this distance. Has a tricky draw and lumped with 61kg. First time around Avoca. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Was getting tired late when 4th last run at Bendigo and competing at a lower class. Going up in weight.

RP

Stepped up on his last two starts; not disgraced when fourth (Bendigo) two weeks ago; running in a handicap for just the second time; this looks a fair heat so can be taken on.

RSIS

Was found wanting late when 4th last run at Bendigo and has been racing in stronger company. Rises in weight.

3ManchegoScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Triumphant on speed display at Echuca second-up. On pacer. Shapes as a major player again.

ILB

Flew home to win last start at Echuca and getting better in recent performances. Has not missed the money this preparation in 2 attempts.

RSIS

Rounded them up to win last run at Echuca and getting better in recent performances. Has not missed the placings of late in 2 attempts.

4CostaeJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Ms H Burns560.5kg9 12 4 10 711: 2-1-1Costae win15.00Costae place3.10

Career

11: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1343m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    7: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Mildura1200m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.12L
  2. 10Ballarat1400m20 Nov 2025 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · GOOD37.4L
  3. 4Mornington1200m23 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT53.35L
  4. 12Caulfield1400m10 May 2025 · 3Y F BM70 HCP · GOOD48.1L
  5. 9Flemington1400m25 Apr 2025 · 3Y FILLIES BM70 HCP · GOOD44.9L
  6. 7Geelong1343m1 Apr 2025 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD47.4L
  7. 9Riccarton Park1600m16 Nov 2024 · 3YOF SW · SOFT723.5L
  8. 1Ellerslie1400m5 Nov 2024 · 3YO SW+P · SOFT5-0.8

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 65% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Rider found a forward spot at Mildura but she put in a very lacklustre finish for new trainer. Better conditioned. Not out of this.

ILB

Struggled with the pace when 7th last start at Mildura. Can show a better performance this time. Good chance of taking this out.

RP

Generally been out of sorts of late and quite a while since she tasted success; no impression when seventh of 12 at Mildura over 6f (handicap) on first outing for new trainer 11 days ago; this is competitive and one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Didn't attack the line when 7th last time at Mildura. Happy to overlook that run. Forward showing expected.

5Brave SummitJ: Jake Duffy·T: Craig Weeding460kg3 4 12: 1-0-0Brave Summit win6.50Brave Summit place1.90

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Cootamundra

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Corowa

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Cootamundra1100m4 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD4-0.34
  2. 4Corowa900m14 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.8L
  3. 3Wagga1000m8 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Craig Weeding in good form, out performing market 25%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 30% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Posted a hard fought win in the Mdn at Cootamundra at second outing. Added journey should assist. Might go on with it now.

ILB

Strong effort to the line to win last start at Cootamundra. Has very good closing speed. Winning potential.

RP

Got the job done in a handicap by a neck (Cootamundra) when opening her account at the second time of asking 13 days ago; this only her second handicap outing; should go close.

RSIS

Ran on strongly to win last run at Cootamundra. Always seems to find the line well. Good tough competitor that can be supported.

6You Said WhatJ: Eoin Walsh·T: Claire Patterson659kg10 2 3 5 112: 1-2-3You Said What win8.50You Said What place2.30

Career

12: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Moe

    2: 0-1-1

  • Track Warracknabeal

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1205m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1214m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-2

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Donald1350m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.5
  2. 5Wangaratta1400m23 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT72.5L
  3. 3Echuca1400m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY91.3L
  4. 2Wodonga1400m27 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY80.3L
  5. 10Echuca1412m23 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT710.2L
  6. 3Moe1214m12 May 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT70.6L
  7. 2Moe1200m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43L
  8. 3Wangaratta1590m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY93.9L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 35 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Strong win from just off the leaders at Donald. Has claims for a repeat.

ILB

Stormed home to win last run at Donald. Racing consistently this preparation. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Has found improvement of late; came out on top by 1½l when off the mark (Donald) in a maiden last month.

RSIS

Picked up late to win last time at Donald. Exhibiting good form since resuming from a break. Has some claims.

7Break The TabooJ: Jack Hill·T: Shane Jackson858.5kg1 3 4 4 914: 2-2-4Break The Taboo win4.00Break The Taboo place1.36

Career

14: 2-2-4

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Mount Gambier

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1425m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 2-0-4

Last starts

  1. 9Warrnambool1400m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY814L
  2. 4Swan Hill1300m28 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT51.5L
  3. 4Hamilton1200m12 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY1010.5L
  4. 3Seymour1425m21 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT62.5L
  5. 1Ararat1300m9 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT7-4
  6. 2Terang1600m19 Apr 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY82.5L
  7. 3Warrnambool1400m26 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT65.8L
  8. 3Terang1206m17 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT61.3L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are winning 25% POT in their L100 Races

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (44-days). Finished a long way from the action 3yo+ (Bm62) at Warrnambool. Advantaged if soft. Can show more here.

ILB

Back from a let up. At $6.00 gave away some ground when 9th last run at Warrnambool on a heavy surface. Looking for an improved run. Forward showing expected.

RP

Was held in ninth at Warrnambool over 7f (handicap) last month; makes limited appeal as has a lot on her plate here.

RSIS

Freshened for this. Odds of 5/1 and folded up in the straight when 9th last start at Warrnambool on a heavy surface. Should improve. Expect a forward showing.

8FluxScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Long time since last saluted. Failed to threaten at Kilmore after easing in betting. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Jumped at $14.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last time at Kilmore.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Started 13/1 and didn't find the line when 8th last run at Kilmore.

9MislightJ: Melissa Julius·T: Ms R Frost358.5kg1 8 8 2 613: 1-3-0Mislight win4.40Mislight place1.40

Career

13: 1-3-0

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Sandown

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1530m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-2-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Geelong1547m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT79L
  2. 2Seymour1400m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT70.4L
  3. 8Sale1000m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT614.4L
  4. 8Sandown1600m8 Jan 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD45.4L
  5. 1Geelong1530m12 Dec 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-2.8
  6. 9Pakenham1600m14 Nov 2025 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · SOFT753.8L
  7. 2Mornington1600m2 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD0.2L
  8. 9Pakenham1200m17 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT57.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Melissa Julius 34% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 397%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (50-days). Just missed at Seymour 7 Aug. Every chance but compounded in rain affected going at Geelong. Among the dangers.

ILB

Let up. Started $14.00 and faded away to finish 6th last time at Geelong but facing a weaker group of contenders. Shows good early pace. Watch betting.

RP

Found life tough when 9l back in sixth over 7½f at Geelong (handicap) 50 days ago; this looks a fair heat so others make more appeal.

RSIS

Freshened up. At 13/1 gave away some ground when 6th last start at Geelong but challenged by weaker competitors. Likely to be well placed early. Can't leave out of your calculations.

10ChapadosJ: Dylan Dunn·T: Dominic Sutton157.5kg7 1 4 12 85: 1-0-0Chapados win2.40Chapados place1.22

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Geelong1247m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.86L
  2. 12Flemington1100m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo · GOOD312.2L
  3. 4Caulfield1200m11 Apr 2026 · 2Y LISTED SWP · SOFT78.6L
  4. 1Pakenham1100m19 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.2
  5. 7Flemington1000m7 Mar 2026 · 2yo · GOOD33.5L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 38% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn 57% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 1281%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 57%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $16 when unable to threaten on a soft deck at Geelong second-up. Good draw. Worth a look.

ILB

Started $16.00 and didn't find the line when 8th last start at Geelong. Has the potential to improve sharply and stepping down to a lower level. Drawn well. Good winning chance.

RP

First-time blinkers no help at Geelong over 6f (handicap) when beaten 6l last week; unexposed in handicaps with this her second start in this company; capable of making an impact if finding her best form.

RSIS

Odds of 15/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last start at Geelong. May see an upturn in form and will find this grade more suitable. Will be in the finish.

11GarfieldScratched7––––

Career

17: 1-3-3

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Bordertown

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1017m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-1-3

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    6: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 11Ballarat Synthetic1400m18 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.7L
  2. 11Ballarat Synthetic1500m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.1L
  3. 9Kilmore1612m15 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT610.8L
  4. 3Kilmore1600m18 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.5L
  5. 3Warracknabeal1600m4 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.05L
  6. 5Ballarat1500m20 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD38.2L
  7. 3Kyneton1459m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD41.8L
  8. 7Ballarat1600m6 Oct 2025 · 0 - 62 · SOFT612L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 45% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 42%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (60-days). Well back and never a factor at Ballarat Synthetic. First time around Avoca. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Weakened to finish 11th last start Ballarat Synthetic but going down in grade.

RP

He can be competitive at this level; finished last of 11 over 7f at Ballarat (handicap) two months ago.

RSIS

Was well beaten when 11th last time Ballarat Synthetic but goes down in class.

12French LoveJ: Carleen Hefel·T: Ms A Blackburn755.5kg9 12 14 10 722: 1-4-3French Love win20.00French Love place3.60

Career

22: 1-4-3

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Donald

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Bordertown

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Manangatang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1175m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    17: 1-3-3

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.41L
  2. 10Coleraine1000m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD39.96L
  3. 14Ararat1300m9 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT738.5L
  4. 12Donald1000m2 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD38.7L
  5. 9Penola1400m16 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD47.3L
  6. 7Stawell1300m4 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.7L
  7. 2Horsham1400m21 Dec 2025 · BM56 · SOFT71.3L
  8. 1Bordertown1300m14 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-HCP · GOOD3-2.6

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 51% Profit on Turnover

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Sent out $51 when never got into the race at Manangatang second-up. First time around Avoca. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Was $51.00 and disappointing outing when 7th last run at Manangatang. Tested here.

RP

No impression when seventh of ten over 6f at Manangatang (handicap) last week; can be a player at this level.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Was 50/1 and below expectations when 7th last time at Manangatang.

13Drover's YarnJ: Sarah Robbins·T: Bryan Dowsett255kg8 9 11 8 855: 1-3-3Drover's Yarn win126.00Drover's Yarn place11.00

Career

55: 1-3-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    13: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    11: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    8: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Dalby

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Naracoorte

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1240m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1308m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    10: 0-2-1

  • Going Good

    28: 0-2-3

  • Going Heavy

    9: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    16: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Murtoa1200m25 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT721L
  2. 8Ballarat Synthetic1200m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.35L
  3. 11Bordertown1550m14 Nov 2025 · 0-54 · GOOD14.31L
  4. 9Jerilderie1400m27 Sept 2025 · BM509.1L
  5. 8Casterton1200m31 Aug 2025 · 0 - 58 · SOFT75.9L
  6. 12Horsham1400m22 Dec 2024 · 0 - 58 · GOOD310.88L
  7. 11Naracoorte1430m29 Nov 2024 · 0 - 54 · SOFT611.4L
  8. 6Warrnambool1400m18 June 2023 · 0 - 58 · HEAVY1010.85L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Bryan Dowsett striking at just 1%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 31%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Resuming (12-weeks). Largely struggled in his post maiden runs. Likely to need this run. Looks vulnerable fresh.

ILB

First up after a break. Started $151.00 and fairly underwhelming when 8th last time at Murtoa but has a positive alley. Cannot be tipped.

RP

Finished tailed off over 6f at Murtoa (handicap) three months ago.

RSIS

Fresh today. At 150/1 well beaten when 8th last run at Murtoa but gets a favourable stall.

Odds correct as at 10:52 am AEDT. Odds can change.