Shortest win price
Emma Twigg (3)
3.60
One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Arawa Park (NZ), with capture times on every price.
Arawa Park hosts the Social Racing Socialites Syndicate race over 1215 metres on a soft track rated 7 with showers forecast, jumping at 12:06 pm AEDT. Emma Twigg leads the market, with Sant Maurici and Oberon next shortest. The pace will be set by Oberon and Luminance on the front, while Emma Twigg, Sant Maurici, Le Jacques Cartier and Ridgeview Vicky sit onpace. It shapes as a tactical affair in soft ground, and the numbers say the leader or onpace runners hold an edge.
Emma Twigg rates a real chance at the top. She attacked the line when second at Matamata last run over 1050 metres, and the data shows she clocked the fastest last 200 metres in that race. Her trainer Mark Walker and Sam Bergerson are working above market expectation. The write-up flags her as an honest performer with a tidy record, and she's 1 win from 2 starts on soft going. Sant Maurici jumps from barrier 1, a gift in this field. She won first-up last preparation at Waverley and has the platform to find a soft run here. Samantha Collett is riding hot form, posting 54 per cent better strike rate than career average. Oberon, from barrier 3, should come to hand quickly after a 4th-place effort at Te Rapa when odds-on. Jack Taplin's jockey form is running 8 per cent ahead of career average.
Le Jacques Cartier has blinkers off this start after finishing 9th at Ellerslie when backed to $11 at that odds. Blinkers were on; without them, he sits onpace from barrier 5. The comment flags he should go very close. State Secret won first-up last preparation and is well drawn from gate 2, though limited form data backs the case. The speedGroups reveal a stacked onpace division, so tempo will be fierce early. That figures to suit horses with a strong turn of foot or ones that can sit safe and pounce late.
Shortest win price
Emma Twigg (3)
3.60
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Oberon · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 8% better than Career Avg.
Le Jacques Cartier · Positive
Blinkers Off
Blinkers coming off this start
Emma Twigg · Positive
Turn Of Foot
Had the fastest L200m sectionals last start
Sant Maurici · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 54% better than Career Avg.
Career
13: 2-0-2
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Te Aroha
1: 1-0-0
Track Ellerslie
3: 0-0-0
Track Rotorua
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-2
Going Soft
6: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 8% better than Career Avg.
ILB
Odds of $12.00 and ran 4th last time at Te Rapa. Should come to hand quickly. Definitely worth considering.
RSIS
Started 11/1 and finished 4th last run at Te Rapa. Should muster plenty of early toe. Should go very close.
Career
7: 1-0-3
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-2
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Te Rapa
3: 0-0-2
Track Ellerslie
2: 0-0-0
Track Pukekohe
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-0-2
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-2
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
ILB
Was $11.00 and looked outclassed when 9th last run at Ellerslie. Should go very close.
RSIS
Was 10/1 and well beaten when 9th last start at Ellerslie. Good chance of taking this out.
Career
5: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Matamata
1: 0-1-0
Track Otaki
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1150m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0
Turn Of Foot
Positive
Had the fastest L200m sectionals last start
Form Trainer
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectation
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
ILB
Attacked the line when 2nd last run at Matamata and honest performer putting a tidy record together. 1 win from 2 starts have been on soft going. Has definite claims.
RSIS
Attacked the line when 2nd beaten by just over 2 1/2L last run at Matamata and good career start. Racing in stronger company. Expecting a solid performance.
Career
2: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Waverley
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 54% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
ILB
First up from a break of 26 weeks and bold effort when winning first up last preparation at Waverley. Will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Will go close.
RSIS
Resuming and charged home to win resuming last preparation at Waverley. Can save some energy from the stall. Facing a stronger group of contenders. Definite winning chance.
Career
5: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-0
Track Waverley
2: 1-1-0
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
ILB
First up from a 26 week break. Was eating up the ground late to win last start at Waverley and showing improvement in recent outings.
RSIS
Resumes after a break of 26 weeks. Dashed home to win last run at Waverley and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Up in grade.
Career
22: 2-3-2
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-1-0
Track Matamata
3: 1-1-1
Track Tauranga
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1400m
11: 1-2-2
Distance 970m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
14: 2-3-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-2
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Turn Of Foot
Positive
Had the fastest L200m sectionals last start
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 20% lower than Career Avg.
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
ILB
Nice effort when finishing 3rd last run at Matamata but racing in stronger company. Likely to get back. Prefer in something a lot easier.
RSIS
Flashed home late into 3rd last run at Matamata but up against a higher level of opposition. Likely to settle back in the field.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
ILB
Started at $5.50 and ran 6th last time at Taupo and competing at a higher class.
RSIS
Started at 9/2 and finished 6th last run at Taupo and rising in grade.
Career
25: 1-5-2
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ruakaka
1: 0-0-0
Track Rotorua
2: 0-0-1
Track Wanganui
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
16: 1-5-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
ILB
Started $7.50 and came in 4th last run at Waverley and facing a stronger grade. Likely to be well placed early. The large claim from Tom Wigram helps. Respect the betting.
RSIS
Started at 13/2 and came in 4th last run at Waverley and up against a more competitive field. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
22: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Tauranga
1: 0-0-0
Track Te Aroha
5: 0-0-0
Track Ellerslie
1: 0-0-0
Distance 970m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
4: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
7: 2-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Gavin Opie striking at just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
ILB
Started at $26.00 and was making up some late ground when 4th last start at Matamata but racing against tougher rivals. Gets back and needs luck. Difficult to warm to at present.
RSIS
Started 25/1 and showed some merit late when 4th last run at Matamata but facing stiffer opposition. Might be ridden for luck.
Career
37: 2-4-6
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-2-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Avondale
1: 0-0-1
Track Ellerslie
3: 0-0-0
Track Cambridge Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1215m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 970m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
18: 2-2-4
Going Soft
12: 0-1-2
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
ILB
Started at $41.00 and gave away some ground when 8th last start at Te Rapa. May find these too slick.
RSIS
Started at 40/1 and faded to finish 8th last start at Te Rapa.
Career
2: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hastings
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawera
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
ILB
Started $12.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last time at Hastings but will try to take advantage of the alley. Competitive type.
RSIS
Started at 11/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last run at Hastings on a heavy track but will try to take advantage of the stall. Solid prospects.
Career
5: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Trentham
2: 0-0-0
Track Pukekohe
1: 1-0-0
Track Wanganui
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
ILB
Back from a break of 26 weeks. Started $17.00 and tailed off to finish 10th last run at Otaki. Has plenty of early speed.
RSIS
Resuming after a 26 week break. Started 16/1 and folded up in the straight when 10th last start at Otaki. Won't be far away during the run.