A 38.46% power play unit jumps off the page when looking at Utah Mammoth's season statistics. That special teams efficiency gives the home side a major weapon ahead of Sunday's action at Delta Center on 25 Oct at 12:00 pm AEDT. Both teams enter this contest locked on 14 points, making this a crucial inter-conference battle.

Utah Mammoth sit 10th on the ladder with a 7-4-0 record, while Tampa Bay Lightning hold 8th spot at 7-2-0. If you are looking for top nhl tips and analysis, the stats highlight two potent attacking units looking to bounce back after recent setbacks.

Who takes the win at Delta Center?

The numbers say Utah Mammoth possess plenty of fire-power, averaging 3.73 goals per game this season. Leading scorers Clayton Keller (4G 10A), Nick Schmaltz (7G 6A), and Mikhail Sergachev (3G 10A) have driven an offense that boasts a 57.8% Corsi rating. However, Utah's last start ended in a 3-5 loss away to the Seattle Kraken on 23 Oct, making a defensive reset essential.

Tampa Bay Lightning bring their own elite performers to Salt Lake City. Nikita Kucherov leads their charts with 4G and 9A, alongside Brandon Hagel (7G 5A) and Jake Guentzel (4G 5A). Tampa Bay averages 3.44 goals per game and holds a strong 0.894 save percentage, though they also suffered a loss in their last outing, falling 3-6 to the Colorado Avalanche on 24 Oct.

In head-to-head match betting, Utah Mammoth are priced at 1.70 to get the job done on home ice, with Tampa Bay Lightning positioned as 2.15 match-winner underdogs.

Win (Inc. OT)
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Solid tickOur tip: Utah Mammoth. Utah's 38.46% power play and 57.8% Corsi rating give them a strong statistical edge on home ice at Delta Center.

Tipped at $1.70 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

3.3Season avg goals for3.89
3.4Season avg goals against2.95
50%Season win rate68%
2.2Last 5 avg goals for4.4
0%Last-five win rate80%
55%Points percentage73.7%
34.3%Power play21.2%
70.8%Penalty kill71.7%
86.7%Save percentage88.3%

Leading scorers

Season goals and assists.

Utah Mammoth

PlayerG-A
Clayton KellerC5G 20A
Logan CooleyC11G 10A
Nick SchmaltzC9G 11A

Tampa Bay Lightning

PlayerG-A
Nikita KucherovRW8G 20A
Brandon HagelLW13G 11A
Jake GuentzelC11G 13A

Puck Line breakdown

On the Puck Line, Utah Mammoth enter as -1.5 favorites at 2.60, while Tampa Bay Lightning are listed at +1.5 with odds of 1.45.

Across their last five overall fixtures, Utah has scored an average of 3.8 goals while conceding 4.2. In their three home games during that stretch, Utah scored 4.0 goals per game but allowed 4.7 against. Given Tampa Bay's tighter season average of 2.56 goals conceded per game, taking the Lightning with a start on the puck line offers solid appeal.

Puck Line
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Solid tickOur tip: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5. Tampa Bay concedes only 2.56 goals per game on the season, giving them the defensive structure to stay within the spread.

Tipped at $1.45 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Line cover (form)

Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.

Utah Mammoth-1.5last 5

Cover rate0%0/5
Avg margin (-1.6)avg -1.6vs 1.5
-5.66

Tampa Bay Lightning+1.5last 5

Cover rate100%5/5
0%Cover % (form)100%

Season goal difference per game, set against this match's puck line. The marker is the margin that covers.

Utah Mammothavg -0.1vs 1.5
-1.63
Tampa Bay Lightningavg 0.9vs -1.5
-1.63
-0.1Goal diff / game0.9
0.5Expected goal diff / game0.4
54.8%5-on-5 shot share55%

Total Goals analysis

The total goals mark is set at 6.5, with the Over at 1.90 and the Under at 1.83.

Both teams feature in high-scoring contests. Utah's last five overall outings have averaged 8.0 combined goals per game, while Tampa Bay's last five overall have produced 7.0 combined goals per game. With Utah boasting a electric power play and Tampa Bay carrying proven top-line scorers, backing Over 6.5 total goals rates a real chance.

Total Goals
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Big tickOur tip: Over 6.5. Utah averages 3.8 goals for and 4.2 against over their last five games, creating high-scoring match environments ideal for Over 6.5 goals.

Tipped at $1.90 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Total goals

Combined score from recent completed games · marker shows live line 6.5.

Utah Mammoth games (n=5)avg 6vs 6.5
210.8
Tampa Bay Lightning games (n=5)avg 6.8vs 6.5
210.8

Hit rate vs 6.5

Utah Mammothn=5
Over 40%Under 60%
Tampa Bay Lightningn=5
Over 60%Under 40%
2.2Avg goals for (form)4.4

Season scoring rates per game. Marker is the live total of 6.5.

Both attacksavg 7.2vs 6.5
3.28.8
Utah Mammoth attack vs Tampa Bay Lightning defenceavg 6.3vs 6.5
3.28.8
Tampa Bay Lightning attack vs Utah Mammoth defenceavg 7.3vs 6.5
3.28.8
Expected goals combinedavg 4.7vs 6.5
3.28.8
29.2Shots for / game29.4
3.3Season goals for / game3.89