The stat that jumps off the page for this Sunday arvo clash at Honda Center is Anaheim's high-flying special teams: the Anaheim Ducks bring a lethal 36.76% power play conversion rate into their matchup against the New York Islanders on Sun 15 Nov, 2:00 pm AEDT. If you are hunting for the top nhl tips ahead of puck drop, this cross-conference battle offers plenty of key numbers to break down.
Anaheim sit 3rd in the Pacific Division on 21 points with a 10-8-1 record, while the Islanders travel West holding 20 points and an 8-6-4 record in 5th spot in the Metropolitan Division.
Who Will Win? Head-to-Head Breakdown
The numbers say Anaheim's attack has been potent this season, scoring 3.74 goals per game. Leading scorers Leo Carlsson (6G, 20A), Cutter Gauthier (16G, 7A), and Beckett Sennecke (10G, 13A) are driving that offense. However, the Ducks are coming off a 2–4 loss to the Nashville Predators on home ice, which ended a positive patch of momentum. Meanwhile, the Islanders come into this outing coming off a 5–2 win over the Los Angeles Kings, propelled by key contributors Bo Horvat (8G, 10A), Matthew Schaefer (6G, 12A), and Brayden Schenn (6G, 10A).
Across their last five games overall, the Ducks have posted an impressive 4.4 goals for per game while conceding 3.4. The Islanders have averaged 2.8 goals for and 3.8 against over their past five starts. While New York grabbed a 3–2 win in their last head-to-head clash back in October 2026, Anaheim's massive power play advantage gives them a big tick to rates a real chance on home ice.
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Head-to-head context
Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.
Leading scorers
Season goals and assists.
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | G-A |
|---|---|
| Leo CarlssonC | 6G 20A |
| Cutter GauthierLW | 16G 7A |
| Beckett SenneckeF | 10G 13A |
New York Islanders
| Player | G-A |
|---|---|
| Bo HorvatC | 8G 10A |
| Matthew SchaeferD | 6G 12A |
| Brayden SchennC | 6G 10A |
Puck Line Analysis
In the puck line market, Anaheim are laying -1.5 goals while New York receive a +1.5 start. The Islanders boast an outstanding 85.71% penalty kill rate and a 0.901 save percentage overall this season, giving them the defensive grit to keep games close on the road.
With Anaheim holding an average winning margin of 1.8 goals across their last five games and New York's penalty kill capable of limiting power-play damage, taking the Islanders with the +1.5 cushion rates a real chance to keep this contest within one goal.
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Total Goals Pick: Over or Under 6.5?
The total goals mark sits at 6.5 goals for Sunday's showdown. The numbers jump off the page when looking at Anaheim's recent match totals — their past five overall outings have produced an average of 7.8 combined goals per game, backed by Cutter Gauthier's 16 goals so far this season.
While New York's overall season defense concedes 2.89 goals per game, their last five overall starts have averaged 6.6 total goals. With Anaheim consistently driving high-scoring games, taking Over 6.5 total goals looks like a strong option.
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Total goals
Combined score from recent completed games · marker shows live line 6.5.
Hit rate vs 6.5
Season scoring rates per game. Marker is the live total of 6.5.