A marquee Original Six clash hits Scotiabank Arena on Fri, 23 Oct, 10:00 am AEDT as the Toronto Maple Leafs host the New York Rangers. The numbers say this matchup packs plenty of quality, with two of the league's most effective penalty kill units going head-to-head.
Toronto enters sitting 15th on the ladder with a 4-4-2 record, while New York holds down 3rd spot at 7-3-1. With both teams grabbing impressive wins in their last start, this Friday morning showdown promises high-tempo hockey.
Who Will Win?
The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this contest after finding form, netting two consecutive victories. Their last start was a dominant 6–2 win against the Columbus Blue Jackets on Wed, 21 Oct, which followed a 3–1 triumph over the San Jose Sharks at home. Auston Matthews leads the charge for Toronto with 7 goals and 9 assists, while Toronto's power play sits at an impressive 28.57%. However, their defense has conceded 3.2 goals per game across their 10 matches this season.
The New York Rangers present a formidable test. They are coming off a convincing 5–2 win against the Anaheim Ducks on Tue, 20 Oct. Alexis Lafrenière leads the Rangers' attack with 7 goals and 6 assists, while Adam Fox has pulled the strings with 10 assists. The biggest stat that jumps off the page for New York is their elite defense, allowing just 2.18 goals per game on the season with a 0.915 team save percentage.
Before locking in your plays, check out our nhl predictions to gauge where the value sits. On the board, Toronto holds head-to-head favouritism at 1.85, with New York Rangers priced at 1.95.
Tipped at $1.95 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
Head-to-head context
Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.
Leading scorers
Season goals and assists.
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | G-A |
|---|---|
| Auston MatthewsC | 12G 17A |
| William NylanderRW | 11G 11A |
| Jack RoslovicC | 9G 11A |
New York Rangers
| Player | G-A |
|---|---|
| Adam FoxD | 2G 20A |
| Alexis LafrenièreLW | 9G 11A |
| Mika ZibanejadC | 5G 13A |
Puck Line Analysis
The line market has Toronto laying -1.5 goals at 2.80, while New York gets +1.5 at 1.40.
Across their last 5 overall games, Toronto has scored an average of 3.6 goals while giving up 3.4, recording an average win margin of 3 goals in their victories. On the flip side, New York boasts a 3.3-goal average win margin in their last 5 overall fixtures while restricting opponents to 2.6 goals per game.
Given New York's stingy backline and strong overall 7-3-1 record, taking the Rangers on the +1.5 start gets a big tick.
Tipped at $1.40 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
Line cover (form)
Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.
Toronto Maple Leafs+1.5last 5
New York Rangers-1.5last 5
Season goal difference per game, set against this match's puck line. The marker is the margin that covers.
Total Goals Line
The total goals market is set at 6.5 goals, with the Over at 1.90 and the Under at 1.83.
Toronto's last 5 overall games have averaged 7.0 combined goals, backed by a 96.88% penalty kill percentage that gives opposition power plays very little joy. New York's penalty kill is almost as sharp at 94.12%, while their season average of 2.18 goals conceded per game highlights how difficult they are to breach.
With both teams featuring elite penalty killing units, Under 6.5 total goals rates a real chance.
Tipped at $1.83 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
Total goals
Combined score from recent completed games · marker shows live line 6.5.
Hit rate vs 6.5
Season scoring rates per game. Marker is the live total of 6.5.