Scotiabank Arena hosts an explosive midweek clash when the Toronto Maple Leafs take on the Colorado Avalanche on Wednesday, 11 Nov at 11:00 am AEDT. The visiting Avalanche land in Toronto holding 10th spot on the league ladder with a 10-6-2 record, while the Maple Leafs sit 20th with an 8-8-2 mark. If you are hunting for expert nhl tips ahead of puck drop, the numbers throw up some massive callouts.

Who Will Win? Avalanche Head In With Form

The Avalanche jump off the page with their offensive power. Colorado is averaging 4 goals per game across the season and boasts a 53.9 Corsi percentage, led by Nathan MacKinnon with 10 goals and 20 assists. Coming off a dominant 4-0 shut-out victory over the Detroit Red Wings, Colorado has notched three wins from its last five starts overall while scoring 3.6 goals per game across that overall five-game block.

Toronto enters this one in a slump, dropping four of its past five starts overall. Its most recent result was a 0-4 home defeat to the New Jersey Devils on Monday, 9 Nov. In fact, the Maple Leafs have struggled on their own ice recently, dropping three straight at home while averaging just 1.3 goals per game and conceding 3.7 in that three-game home sample. While Toronto does boast a strong 28.57 power-play percentage and won the last head-to-head clash 6-3 in October 2026, Colorado's superior season record gives them a real edge.

On the board, Colorado Avalanche rate as the head-to-head favourites, with Toronto Maple Leafs as the underdog. Given Colorado's strong goalscoring pace and Toronto's recent home troubles, back the visitors to get the job done on the road.

Win (Inc. OT)
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Big tickOur tip: Colorado Avalanche. Colorado is coming off a 4-0 shutout win and averages 4 goals per game this season, while Toronto has dropped three consecutive home games averaging just 1.3 goals scored.

Tipped at $1.65 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

3.29Season avg goals for4.05
3.52Season avg goals against3.1
38%Season win rate55%
2Last 5 avg goals for3.2
20%Last-five win rate40%
42.9%Points percentage62.5%
27.1%Power play23.9%
85.5%Penalty kill80.3%
88%Save percentage88.7%

Leading scorers

Season goals and assists.

Toronto Maple Leafs

PlayerG-A
Auston MatthewsC12G 17A
William NylanderRW11G 11A
Jack RoslovicC9G 11A

Colorado Avalanche

PlayerG-A
Nathan MacKinnonC10G 20A
Martin NečasC10G 14A
Cale MakarD5G 18A