Two high-powered squads hit the ice at PPG Paints Arena when Pittsburgh Penguins play host to Vegas Golden Knights on Wed 4 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT. Both teams enter this non-conference battle looking to bounce back after dropping their respective last starts, setting up a high-stakes clash in Pennsylvania.

Vegas currently holds 6th spot on the broader league ladder with a 9-5-1 season record, while Pittsburgh resides in 25th position with a 5-7-2 mark. If you are looking for breakdown analysis and expert nhl picks, the stats across special teams efficiency, scoring samples, and recent venue performances jump off the page.

Who Will Win?

The numbers say Vegas Golden Knights hold the upper hand in overall standings and special teams execution. Vegas arrives with a dangerous 27.27% power play unit, powered by leading scorers Jack Eichel (7G, 13A), Mark Stone (9G, 8A), and Mitch Marner (2G, 13A). Across the entire season, the Golden Knights are putting up 3.47 goals per game. However, they are coming off a 5-2 defeat against New Jersey Devils in their last start on 31 October and have logged four losses in their last five outings overall, conceding 4.0 goals per game in that five-game stretch.

Pittsburgh Penguins are also coming off a loss in their most recent start, falling 5-4 on the road against Montreal Canadiens on 1 November. Despite sitting lower on the ladder, Pittsburgh's attack has produced 3.6 goals per game across their last five overall matches. Leading scorers Erik Karlsson (3G, 13A), Evgeni Malkin (6G, 5A), and Sidney Crosby (4G, 6A) have kept the offense ticking over, supported by a solid 52.9% Corsi share. Furthermore, Pittsburgh's penalty kill stands at an impressive 85.71%, giving them a big tick when opposing elite power plays.

When looking at venue form, Pittsburgh has collected two victories from their last three home fixtures at PPG Paints Arena, averaging 3.3 goals for and 2.0 goals against in that home sample. In their previous head-to-head battle in October 2026, Vegas earned a 6-2 result over Pittsburgh. On the head-to-head market board, Vegas Golden Knights are installed as the edge favourites at 1.85, with Pittsburgh Penguins close behind at 1.95. Given their stronger overall record and high-end power play unit, Vegas rates a real chance to seal the win on the road.

Win (Inc. OT)
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Solid tickOur tip: Vegas Golden Knights. Vegas holds a stronger 9-5-1 season record and possesses a top-tier 27.27% power play conversion rate.

Tipped at $1.85 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

3.11Season avg goals for3.4
3.47Season avg goals against2.65
37%Season win rate65%
3.2Last 5 avg goals for3
40%Last-five win rate60%
42.1%Points percentage70%
21.1%Power play27.9%
78.9%Penalty kill76.9%
87.7%Save percentage89.6%

Leading scorers

Season goals and assists.

Pittsburgh Penguins

PlayerG-A
Erik KarlssonD3G 16A
Evgeni MalkinC6G 11A
Thomas NovakC7G 7A

Vegas Golden Knights

PlayerG-A
Jack EichelC9G 17A
Mitch MarnerRW3G 20A
Mark StoneRW10G 10A