It is an early morning showdown in Detroit as the Red Wings host the St Louis Blues at Little Caesars Arena this Sunday, 1 Nov at 4:00 am AEDT. The hosts enter this fixture with momentum after securing a thrilling 4–3 victory on the road against the Edmonton Oilers last start. Meanwhile, St Louis head into town searching for answers after dropping back-to-back games without scoring a single goal.

If you are searching for value on the board ahead of puck drop, our breakdown and top nhl picks highlight where the key edges lie.

Who Will Win?

The numbers say Detroit hold a clear advantage in recent scoring output heading into this contest. The Red Wings sit 19th on the ladder with a 5-4-3 season record and possess a solid 54.7 Corsi percentage that demonstrates their ability to control shot volume. Across their last five starts, Detroit's attack has produced 3.4 goals per game. Alex DeBrincat leads their point charts with 6 goals and 7 assists, with strong output coming from Lucas Raymond (3G, 8A) and Viktor Arvidsson (5G, 5A).

St Louis sit 25th on the ladder with a 5-6-1 record and have hit a lean patch in front of net. The Blues have averaged just 2.0 goals per game over their last five starts and come off a 0–2 home loss to the Montreal Canadiens on 28 October. While Mason McTavish (6G, 4A), Dylan Holloway (3G, 7A) and Jimmy Snuggerud (6G, 2A) lead their attack, and their penalty kill remains robust at 84.38%, their recent scoring slump jumps off the page.

With home advantage at Little Caesars Arena and greater attacking potency across recent outings, the Red Wings rate a real chance to claim the victory on the head-to-head market.

Win (Inc. OT)
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Big tickOur tip: Detroit Red Wings. Detroit are averaging 3.4 goals per game over their past five starts and come off a win over Edmonton, whereas St Louis have gone scoreless across their past two games.

Tipped at $1.80 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

2.65Season avg goals for2.79
3.1Season avg goals against2.89
35%Season win rate47%
1.8Last 5 avg goals for2
0%Last-five win rate40%
42.5%Points percentage52.6%
20.6%Power play20%
70.5%Penalty kill86%
88.1%Save percentage90%

Leading scorers

Season goals and assists.

Detroit Red Wings

PlayerG-A
Lucas RaymondLW7G 12A
Alex DeBrincatRW7G 9A
Viktor ArvidssonLW8G 7A

St Louis Blues

PlayerG-A
Jimmy SnuggerudRW10G 4A
Robert ThomasC3G 11A
Philip BrobergD4G 9A