Two Western Conference rivals collide at American Airlines Center on Fri 13 Nov, 12:00 pm AEDT, and the numbers jump off the page! Dallas Stars head into this Central Division matchup sitting 13th overall with a 10-5-2 record, while Winnipeg Jets ride into town placed 18th at 8-8-3. If you are following our nhl predictions, this clash brings contrasting strengths: Dallas boasts an elite 89.66% penalty kill, whereas Winnipeg comes in hot off four wins across their last five overall starts.

Dallas holds the home-ice advantage, but Winnipeg has built serious momentum recently. With key offensive threats firing on both sides, this Friday showdown has all the ingredients for a cracker.

Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets: Head to Head Analysis

Dallas rates a real chance back on home ice coming off a 4-3 victory against the San Jose Sharks on Sun, 8 Nov. Across their last five overall matches, Dallas has bagged three wins, averaging 2.82 goals for per game on the season compared to Winnipeg's 2.79 goals for per game. Mikko Rantanen leads the Stars with 9 goals and 12 assists, supported by Jason Robertson with 9 goals and 10 assists. Dallas holds an overall save percentage of 0.900 and a strong 51.1% Corsi rating, alongside a lethal 27.5% power play unit.

Winnipeg steps onto the ice full of confidence, coming off a 4-2 home victory against the New Jersey Devils on Wed, 11 Nov. The Jets have won four of their last five overall games—scoring 3.8 goals per game in that span with an overall average winning margin of 2 goals. Kyle Connor has been outstanding with 15 goals and 6 assists, while Mark Scheifele has racked up 15 assists. However, Winnipeg's overall goals against per game sits at 3.42 with a 73.68% penalty kill rate. In their last head-to-head meeting in Oct 2026, Dallas edged out a 3-2 victory. Dallas sits as the 1.55 favourite in head-to-head betting, while Winnipeg pays 2.35.

Win (Inc. OT)
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Our tipDallas Stars$1.55Winnipeg Jets$2.35
Solid tickOur tip: Dallas Stars. Dallas boasts a superior 89.66% penalty kill rate and a 2.29 goals-against average, giving them the defensive edge on home ice.

Tipped at $1.55 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

2.83Season avg goals for3.05
2.61Season avg goals against3.4
56%Season win rate45%
3.2Last 5 avg goals for3.8
60%Last-five win rate80%
61.1%Points percentage52.5%
26.2%Power play24.2%
88.5%Penalty kill74.6%
88.8%Save percentage88%

Leading scorers

Season goals and assists.

Dallas Stars

PlayerG-A
Mikko RantanenRW9G 12A
Jason RobertsonLW9G 11A
Roope HintzLW8G 9A

Winnipeg Jets

PlayerG-A
Kyle ConnorLW16G 8A
Mark ScheifeleC6G 16A
Cole PerfettiC7G 11A

Puck Line Preview: Dallas Stars -1.5 vs Winnipeg Jets +1.5

The line is set at -1.5 goals for Dallas at 2.35, while Winnipeg gets a +1.5 goal start at 1.55. Dallas has recorded an average winning margin of 1.3 goals across their last five overall games, while their last three home games show an average win margin of 1.5 goals. The numbers say Dallas keeps games tight, making a multi-goal margin a tough ask against in-form opposition.

Winnipeg's overall five-game sample features an average winning margin of 2 goals when they collect a win, but their season defense has conceded 3.42 goals per game compared to Dallas's tight 2.29 goals against per game. Given Winnipeg's recent form with four wins in five starts, taking Winnipeg +1.5 with the start gets a big tick at 1.55.

Puck Line
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Dallas Stars -1.5$2.45Our tipWinnipeg Jets +1.5$1.50
Solid tickOur tip: Winnipeg Jets +1.5. Winnipeg enters having won four of their last five overall games, making the +1.5 start look attractive.

Tipped at $1.55 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Line cover (form)

Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.

Dallas Stars-1.5last 5

Cover rate20%1/5
Avg margin (0)avg 0vs 1.5
-45.5

Winnipeg Jets+1.5last 5

Cover rate80%4/5
20%Cover % (form)80%
H2H cover (Dallas Stars -1.5)0%0/1

Season goal difference per game, set against this match's puck line. The marker is the margin that covers.

Dallas Starsavg 0.2vs 1.5
-1.93
Winnipeg Jetsavg -0.4vs -1.5
-1.93
0.2Goal diff / game-0.4
0.2Expected goal diff / game-0.4
51.3%5-on-5 shot share48.7%

Total Goals Preview: Over / Under 5.5 Goals

The total goals line sits at 5.5 goals, with the Over at 1.80 and Under at 1.95. Looking at the five-game overall stats, Winnipeg has averaged 3.8 goals for and 3.6 goals against per game, consistently pushing their fixtures into high-scoring territory.

Dallas averages 3.2 goals for and 3.2 goals against across their last five overall matches. Their previous head-to-head encounter produced 5 goals in a 3-2 Dallas win. However, Winnipeg's season overall expected goals against sits at 43.9 with a 0.879 save percentage, suggesting plenty of scoring chances on offer. Over 5.5 goals rates a real chance at 1.80.

Total Goals
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Our tipOver 5.5$1.80Under 5.5$1.95
Solid tickOur tip: Over 5.5. Winnipeg's last five overall games have averaged 3.8 goals scored and 3.6 goals allowed, pointing toward a high-scoring contest.

Tipped at $1.80 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Total goals

Combined score from recent completed games · marker shows live line 5.5.

Dallas Stars games (n=5)avg 6.4vs 5.5
111.4
Winnipeg Jets games (n=5)avg 7.4vs 5.5
111.4
H2H meetings (n=1)avg 5vs 5.5
111.4

Hit rate vs 5.5

Dallas Starsn=5
Over 60%Under 40%
Winnipeg Jetsn=5
Over 100%Under 0%
H2Hn=1
Over 0%Under 100%
3.2Avg goals for (form)3.8

Season scoring rates per game. Marker is the live total of 5.5.

Both attacksavg 5.9vs 5.5
2.57.7
Dallas Stars attack vs Winnipeg Jets defenceavg 6.2vs 5.5
2.57.7
Winnipeg Jets attack vs Dallas Stars defenceavg 5.7vs 5.5
2.57.7
Expected goals combinedavg 4vs 5.5
2.57.7
26.5Shots for / game27.6
2.83Season goals for / game3.05