Big NHL action coming up at KeyBank Center on Mon 9 Nov, 7:30 am AEDT as the Buffalo Sabres roll out against the Vegas Golden Knights! The Sabres are sitting 20th on the ladder with a 7-5-3 record (17 points), but their recent form jumps off the page with four wins from their last five starts. Meanwhile, fifth-placed Vegas pack plenty of punch with an 11-5-2 record and 24 points.
If you are hunting for expert nhl picks, the numbers say this clash has high energy written all over it. Both teams are coming off solid victories and looking to build serious momentum.
Who Will Win?
Vegas come into this trip sitting 5th in the league, boasting a sharp 27.78% power play percentage and a strong 0.894 save percentage across their 18 games. They are coming off a 2-1 road victory against the Detroit Red Wings on Friday, 6 November, making it two wins on the trot away from home following a 3-2 win against Pittsburgh. Jack Eichel leads the way for Vegas with 7 goals and 16 assists, alongside Mark Stone with 10 goals and 9 assists.
Buffalo cannot be taken lightly on their home ice, coming off a convincing 5-2 victory over the Columbus Blue Jackets on Saturday, 7 November. Over their last five overall games, the Sabres have potted 3.6 goals per game while conceding 2.4, driven by leading scorer Tage Thompson (10G, 8A). However, their season penalty kill sits at 69.81% compared to the Golden Knights' 75%. Vegas rates a real chance as favourites on the board, while Buffalo offer genuine intrigue on home ice.
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Head-to-head context
Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.
Leading scorers
Season goals and assists.
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | G-A |
|---|---|
| Tage ThompsonC | 12G 9A |
| Jack QuinnRW | 9G 10A |
| Owen PowerD | 3G 12A |
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | G-A |
|---|---|
| Jack EichelC | 9G 17A |
| Mitch MarnerRW | 3G 20A |
| Mark StoneRW | 10G 10A |
Puck Line Angle
The puck line sets Buffalo Sabres at +1.5 goals. The Sabres have kept things extremely competitive, posting an average winning margin of 1.8 goals and an average loss margin of just 1.0 goal across their last five games. Buffalo’s 52.4% Corsi percentage shows they can control possession and hang tight against quality opposition.
Vegas hold an average winning margin of 1.7 goals over their last five, but with Buffalo scoring 3.6 goals per game in that span, getting a 1.5 goal start on the home side gets a big tick.
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Line cover (form)
Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.
Buffalo Sabres+1.5last 5
Vegas Golden Knights-1.5last 5
Season goal difference per game, set against this match's puck line. The marker is the margin that covers.
Total Goals Market
The total line is set at 6.5 goals for this contest. Over their last five games overall, Vegas have averaged 2.6 goals for and 2.4 goals against per game, combining for an average match total of 5.0 goals. Buffalo's last five games averaged 3.6 goals for and 2.4 against per game.
Looking at season averages, Vegas score 3.28 goals per game while allowing 2.72, whereas Buffalo average 2.93 goals for and 3.33 goals against. Both teams have surrendered just 2.4 goals per game across their recent five-game sample, making the Under 6.5 line look very attractive.
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Total goals
Combined score from recent completed games · marker shows live line 6.5.
Hit rate vs 6.5
Season scoring rates per game. Marker is the live total of 6.5.