A spot in the quarter-finals is on the line when world No. 5 Mirra Andreeva meets world No. 25 Anastasia Potapova in Fourth round action on Tue, 8 Sept, 4:00 am AEST.

The number that jumps off the page right away is Andreeva's sparkling 77% win rate in 2026, backing up a 43-13 season record with three titles already in the trophy cabinet. For punters tracking value across the tournament, quality tennis tips lean heavily into form trends, and Andreeva has been setting a standard few can match this year.

Who Will Win? Head to Head Breakdown

Looking at the match-winner market, Andreeva enters as the 1.15 head-to-head favourite, while Potapova sits as the 5.50 outsider.

The head-to-head stats give a massive tick to Andreeva, who holds a 3-1 career record over Potapova. After Potapova won their first clash back in October 2022, Andreeva has swept three straight meetings — winning in July 2023, August 2025, and most recently in April 2026.

Current form lines also show a clear contrast. Andreeva has taken four wins from her last five starts overall and is coming off a victory over Nikola Bartunkova on Sun, 6 Sept. On the flip side, Potapova holds a 26-16 season record (62% win rate) and comes into this match following a last-start loss to Elina Svitolina on Fri, 7 Aug. The numbers say Andreeva commands a firm advantage in this matchup.

Head to HeadOdds correct as at 12:13 am AEST. Odds can change.
Big tickOur tip: Mirra Andreeva. Andreeva holds a dominant 43-13 season record (77% win rate) and leads the head-to-head record 3-1 against Potapova.

Tipped at $1.15 (6:13 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

31

Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova

Hard1-1
Clay1-0
Grass1-0
100%1st set → match win % (H2H)50%
50%Deciding set win % (H2H)50%
62%1st serve points won %61%
47%Return points won %45%

Set Line Angle

On the handicap board, the set line is set at -1.5 sets for Andreeva at 1.50, with Potapova listed at +1.5 sets paying 2.55.

Andreeva's career record of 131-54 (71% win rate) highlights her ability to maintain pressure from the opening serve. With three of her last four victories coming without dropping a set, backing Andreeva to wrap this up in straight sets rates a real chance against an opponent she has beaten in three consecutive head-to-head clashes.

SetsOdds correct as at 12:13 am AEST. Odds can change.
Solid tickOur tip: Mirra Andreeva -1.5. Andreeva has won four of her last five starts overall and defeated Potapova in their most recent meeting in April 2026.

Tipped at $1.50 (6:13 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Mirra Andreevalast 5

−1.5 cover rate80%4/5
+1.5 cover rate100%5/5
Straight-sets wins80%4/5

Anastasia Potapovalast 5

−1.5 cover rate40%2/5
+1.5 cover rate60%3/5
Straight-sets wins40%2/5
80%−1.5 cover % (form)40%
H2H −1.5 cover (Mirra Andreeva)50%2/4