What a matchup we have locked in for 7:00 am AEDT on Sunday, 15 November. World No. 3 Mirra Andreeva takes on World No. 5 Jessica Pegula in a blockbuster WTA semi-final.

Both players have put together massive seasons. Andreeva carries a 52-16 record this year with three YTD titles, while Pegula boasts a 52-15 mark with two titles of her own. With a spot in the final on the line, this contest jumps off the page as a must-watch.

Who Will Win?

Andreeva enters this battle full of momentum. She is coming off a victory over Aryna Sabalenka on Thursday, 12 November, extending her winning run to three matches after earlier wins against Elina Svitolina and TBD. The numbers say Andreeva is locked in, holding four wins from her last five outings overall alongside a 76% YTD win percentage.

Pegula is no slouch either, coming off a win against Linda Noskova on Friday, 13 November, which followed a victory over Marta Kostyuk. That makes it back-to-back wins for the American, though she has two wins across her past five starts. With no previous head-to-head history between these two stars, Andreeva gets a big tick on the head-to-head market as favourite.

For punters looking for quality tennis tips ahead of Sunday morning, Andreeva's blistering recent form gives her the edge.

Head to Head
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Our tipMirra Andreeva$1.35Jessica Pegula$3.00
Big tickOur tip: Mirra Andreeva. Andreeva brings a 76% YTD win rate and comes off three straight wins, including a victory over Aryna Sabalenka.

Tipped at $1.45 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

0–0

Mirra Andreeva vs Jessica Pegula

100%1st set → match win % (form)67%

Set Handicap Breakdown

The set handicap places Andreeva at -1.5 sets, while Pegula gets the +1.5 sets start.

Andreeva has been clinical of late, closing out her last three overall victories in straight sets. Her ability to seize control early has been a key theme. On the flip side, Pegula needed three sets to navigate past Noskova in her last start. If Andreeva brings that same ruthless edge, covering the -1.5 set handicap rates a real chance.

Sets
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Our tipMirra Andreeva -1.5$1.91Jessica Pegula +1.5$1.80
Solid tickOur tip: Mirra Andreeva -1.5. Andreeva has secured three consecutive straight-set victories in her recent matches.

Tipped at $2.20 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Mirra Andreevalast 5

−1.5 cover rate80%4/5
+1.5 cover rate80%4/5
Straight-sets wins80%4/5

Jessica Pegulalast 5

−1.5 cover rate20%1/5
+1.5 cover rate80%4/5
Straight-sets wins20%1/5
80%−1.5 cover % (form)20%

Total Games Outlook

The total games line is set at 21.5 games for this clash.

With Pegula holding a 78% YTD win rate and 12 career titles, she has the experience to push the World No. 3 all the way. Pegula's most recent outing went the full three-set distance, highlighting her grit in tight contests. If both players hold serve comfortably in the opening exchanges, Over 21.5 games rates a strong look.

Games
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Our tipOver 21.5$1.90Under 21.5$1.83
Solid tickOur tip: Over 21.5. Pegula boasts a 78% YTD win percentage and comes off a tough three-set win, pointing towards a tightly contested match.

Tipped at $1.75 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Match total games

Average games from recent scorelines · marker shows live line 21.5.

Mirra Andreeva matches (n=5)avg 17vs 21.5
1332
Jessica Pegula matches (n=5)avg 27.2vs 21.5
1332

Hit rate vs 21.5

Mirra Andreevan=5
Over 20%Under 80%
Jessica Pegulan=5
Over 60%Under 40%
11.4Avg games won (form)13.2