World No.2 Aryna Sabalenka squares off against No.6 Elina Svitolina in WTA Group Stage action on Saturday, 14 November at 8:30 am AEDT. The numbers say this one leans heavily in Sabalenka's favour — the Belarusian owns a 6–1 head-to-head record against the Ukrainian, including clean sweeps on hard courts (3–0) and indoors.

Sabalenka sits second on the WTA ladder with 6485 points and a 48–12 season record (80 per cent win rate). Svitolina is sixth on 5121 points with a 50–16 year-to-date mark (76 per cent). Both have won two titles this season, but Sabalenka's 24 career crowns dwarf Svitolina's 20, and the head-to-head history tells the story — six wins from seven meetings, with the most recent encounter in January 2026 going Sabalenka's way in straight sets.

Who will win?

Sabalenka is coming off a straight-sets loss to Mirra Andreeva on Thursday (12 November), a 0–6, 6–4 defeat. Her last five overall show two wins and three losses, including a tight three-setter against Karolina Muchova (7–6, 7–5) and two away stumbles in early October. Recent form isn't flawless, but the 6–1 career edge over Svitolina — including five straight wins — rates a big tick.

Svitolina arrives with momentum, having just taken down Muchova in three sets on Thursday (6–3, 6–2, 2–6). Her last five overall feature three wins and two losses, though the loss to Andreeva (0–6, 6–4) on Tuesday mirrors Sabalenka's recent setback. That one win against Sabalenka in the head-to-head came back in 2023 on clay; on hard courts, Svitolina has never beaten her.

The most recent meeting — January 2026 on hard court — was a clinical 6–2, 6–3 Sabalenka win. The five prior clashes all went the same way, with Sabalenka taking four of five in straight sets. When you add in the 3–0 hard-court record and the fact that the last indoor meeting (if any) is yet to be documented, the historical edge is decisive.

Head-to-head odds sit at 1.55 for Sabalenka and 2.35 for Svitolina. Despite the recent loss, the market backs the higher-ranked player with the dominant rivalry record.

Head to Head
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Big tickOur tip: Aryna Sabalenka. The 6–1 head-to-head record and perfect 3–0 hard-court mark against Svitolina are too strong to ignore, even after the loss to Andreeva.

Tipped at $1.55 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

6–1

Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina

Hard3-0
Clay3-1
100%1st set → match win % (H2H)50%
67%Deciding set win % (H2H)33%
67%1st serve points won %65%
45%Return points won %38%

Final call

Sabalenka's 6–1 head-to-head record and perfect 3–0 mark on hard courts against Svitolina are the standout angles here. While both players arrive off mixed recent form, the historical data and rankings edge point one way. Our tennis predictions lean towards the world No.2 to extend her winning streak in this matchup, though Svitolina's last-start win over Muchova keeps her in the conversation.

We're backing Sabalenka to get the job done on Saturday morning.