First round action in the ATP kicks off on Saturday, 15 August at 5:30 am AEST as France's Titouan Droguet faces Italy's Matteo Berrettini. If you are looking for reliable tennis predictions, this first-time meeting between two right-handers brings plenty of stat angles to chew on.

Droguet jumps off the page coming off a last-start win on Thursday, 13 August against Stefanos Sakellaridis (6 6–4 2). Meanwhile, former world No. 6 Berrettini brings 10 career titles into the contest, though he is looking to bounce back after a last-start defeat on Tuesday, 4 August.

Who takes out the head to head?

The head-to-head market sees Berrettini installed as the 1.74 favourite, with Droguet sitting at 2.10. Looking at current rankings, Berrettini holds the edge at world No. 40 (1,088 points) compared to Droguet's rank of 119 (532 points).

Formwise, Droguet has won three of his last five overall, including victories over Alexei Popyrin and Jaime Faria alongside his recent win over Sakellaridis. Berrettini's YTD record sits at 14-12, but he enters off three consecutive losses in his form line.

With a 0-0 head-to-head history, there is no past meeting data to draw from. Berrettini's 224 career wins and 10 ATP titles give him a vast advantage in big-match experience, while Droguet's 10-8 YTD record shows solid current momentum.

Head to HeadOdds correct as at 2:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Titouan Droguet2.10Our tipMatteo Berrettini1.74
Solid tickOur tip: Matteo Berrettini. Berrettini's class and 10 career titles give him the edge, even coming off a loss in his last outing.

Tipped at $1.74 (9:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

0–0

Titouan Droguet vs Matteo Berrettini

80%1st set → match win % (form)100%
50%Deciding set win % (form)0%

Set handicap angles

On the set handicap board, Droguet is getting a +1.5 sets start at 1.40, while Berrettini laying -1.5 sets sits at 2.80.

Droguet has won at least one set in four of his last five matches overall. Taking the French outsider to secure at least one set rates a real chance given his recent winning form.

SetsOdds correct as at 2:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipTitouan Droguet +1.51.40Matteo Berrettini -1.52.80
Solid tickOur tip: Titouan Droguet +1.5. Droguet comes off a win on 13 August and has taken sets consistently across his last five overall matches.

Tipped at $1.40 (9:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Titouan Droguetlast 5

−1.5 cover rate60%3/5
+1.5 cover rate100%5/5
Straight-sets wins60%3/5

Matteo Berrettinilast 4

−1.5 cover rate50%2/4
+1.5 cover rate100%4/4
Straight-sets wins0%0/4
60%−1.5 cover % (form)50%

Total games breakdown

The main total games mark is set at 23.5 games, with both Over and Under quoted at 1.90.

Both players have been involved in extended multi-set contests in recent starts, suggesting this opening round clash could go deep into a final set.

GamesOdds correct as at 2:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipOver 23.51.90Under 23.51.90
Light tickOur tip: Over 23.5. With Droguet in solid match touch and Berrettini bringing high-level capability, this contest has the makings of a long battle.

Tipped at $1.90 (9:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Match total games

Average games from recent scorelines · marker shows live line 23.5.

Titouan Droguet matches (n=5)avg 24vs 23.5
1940
Matteo Berrettini matches (n=4)avg 43vs 23.5
1940

Hit rate vs 23.5

Titouan Droguetn=5
Over 40%Under 60%
Matteo Berrettinin=4
Over 100%Under 0%
13.2Avg games won (form)21.3