What a contest we have lined up for Mon 16 Nov, 12:00 am AEDT as World No. 1 Alexander Zverev clashes with Spain's Rafael Jodar. Zverev comes in boasting a 65-18 YTD record with 2 titles this season, while Jodar sits at World No. 11 with a 45-19 record. If you are following expert tennis predictions, this matchup jumps off the page as a classic battle between tour pedigree and impressive season numbers.

Who Will Win?

The numbers say Alexander Zverev holds the class edge as the top-ranked player on tour, carrying a career win percentage of 71% with 592 career wins and 27 titles under his belt. However, both players are coming off a loss in their last start on Wed, 4 Nov — Zverev fell in three sets, while Jodar went down 3 4–6 6 to Casper Ruud. Prior to that result, Jodar had put together four consecutive wins, including victories over Alejandro Tabilo and Daniil Medvedev.

Head-to-head, Zverev holds a 1-0 advantage over Jodar after winning their June 2026 meeting. Zverev enters as the 1.45 head-to-head favourite, while Jodar is priced at 2.75 to claim the upset. Given Zverev's established top-flight consistency, he rates a real chance to take out the victory.

Head to Head
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Our tipAlexander Zverev$1.40Rafael Jodar$2.95
Solid tickOur tip: Alexander Zverev. World No. 1 Zverev holds a 65-18 YTD record and won the only previous head-to-head meeting between the pair.

Tipped at $1.45 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

1–0

Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar

Clay1-0
100%1st set → match win % (H2H)0%
0%Deciding set win % (H2H)0%
71%1st serve points won %55%
44%Return points won %31%

Set Line Angle

Looking at the sets line, Zverev lays -1.5 sets at 1.16 while Jodar gets a +1.5 set start at 5. Jodar's overall form gets a big tick, having won at least one set in four of his past five matches, including straight-set results over Alejandro Tabilo and Daniil Medvedev. Backing Jodar to cover the +1.5 set line rates a real chance for value against the tournament favourite.

Sets
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Alexander Zverev +1.5$1.16Our tipRafael Jodar -1.5$5.00
Light tickOur tip: Rafael Jodar -1.5. Jodar has won sets in 4 of his past 5 overall matches, making the +1.5 set handicap a strong value option.

Tipped at $5.00 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Alexander Zverevlast 5

−1.5 cover rate40%2/5
+1.5 cover rate80%4/5
Straight-sets wins40%2/5

Rafael Jodarlast 5

−1.5 cover rate40%2/5
+1.5 cover rate80%4/5
Straight-sets wins40%2/5
40%−1.5 cover % (form)40%
H2H −1.5 cover (Alexander Zverev)100%1/1