First round ATP action kicks off on Sat, 15 Aug, 4:15 am AEST as world number 94 Sho Shimabukuro takes on world number 72 Hubert Hurkacz. If you are looking for top tennis tips, this matchup offers a strong statistical contrast as both players step onto court aiming to bounce back from last-start losses.

Hurkacz brings significant tour experience into this match with 242 career victories under his belt, while Shimabukuro seeks to build momentum on the main tour.

Who Takes The Head To Head?

Hubert Hurkacz enters as the head-to-head favourite at 1.27, while Sho Shimabukuro is positioned at 3.81. The numbers jump off the page when looking at career records: Hurkacz holds 242 career wins and 9 titles, compared to Shimabukuro's 9 career wins.

Both players are coming off a loss in their most recent outings. Shimabukuro was defeated on Thu, 13 Aug by Jeff Wolf, bringing his overall last-five record to two wins and three losses. Hurkacz suffered a loss on Sat, 8 Aug against Botic Van De Zandschulp, but that result ended a solid run of four straight wins in his previous four overall starts.

With no head-to-head history between the pair (0-0), Hurkacz's overall record and higher ranking give him a notable edge on paper.

Head to HeadOdds correct as at 12:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Jie Cui3.64Our tipAdolfo Daniel Vallejo1.29
Big tickOur tip: Hubert Hurkacz. Hurkacz holds 242 career wins and four victories from his past five overall matches.

Tipped at $1.27 (9:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

0–0

Jie Cui vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

50%1st set → match win % (form)0%
0%Deciding set win % (form)50%

Set Handicap Analysis

The set handicap line is set at 1.5 sets, giving Sho Shimabukuro +1.5 sets and placing Hubert Hurkacz at -1.5 sets.

Hurkacz has won four of his past five overall matches, proving capable of controlling matches from start to finish. Shimabukuro has dropped three of his last five overall matches, making the -1.5 set line for Hurkacz a prominent angle if the favourite asserts his authority early.

SetsOdds correct as at 12:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Jie Cui +1.51.87Our tipAdolfo Daniel Vallejo -1.51.87
Solid tickOur tip: Hubert Hurkacz -1.5. With strong recent form prior to his last start, Hurkacz rates a real chance to get the job done in straight sets.

Tipped at $1.87 (9:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Jie Cuilast 5

−1.5 cover rate20%1/5
+1.5 cover rate60%3/5
Straight-sets wins20%1/5

Adolfo Daniel Vallejolast 4

−1.5 cover rate0%0/4
+1.5 cover rate50%2/4
Straight-sets wins0%0/4
20%−1.5 cover % (form)0%

Total Games Breakdown

The game line sits at 22.5 games with both Over 22.5 and Under 22.5 priced at 1.90.

Shimabukuro's most recent outing against Jeff Wolf was a long three-set battle, while Hurkacz's last start against Botic Van De Zandschulp also went to three sets. Given both players went the distance in their latest appearances, a tight contest hovering around the 22.5 games mark rates a real chance.

GamesOdds correct as at 12:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipOver 22.51.90Under 22.51.90
Solid tickOur tip: Over 22.5. Both players went to three sets in their most recent starts, pointing toward a competitive match length.

Tipped at $1.90 (9:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Match total games

Average games from recent scorelines · marker shows live line 22.5.

Jie Cui matches (n=5)avg 24.8vs 22.5
1833
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo matches (n=4)avg 28.5vs 22.5
1833

Hit rate vs 22.5

Jie Cuin=5
Over 60%Under 40%
Adolfo Daniel Vallejon=4
Over 75%Under 25%
11.4Avg games won (form)11.5