Rafael Jodar comes into this ATP First Round clash firing on all cylinders with five straight victories under his belt. He takes on Thanasi Kokkinakis on Wed, 2 Sept, 7:00 am AEST. If you are hunting for sharp tennis betting tips, the statistical contrast between these two right-handers jumps off the page right away.

Who Takes the Win?

The numbers say Rafael Jodar is in outstanding touch this season, carrying a 36-14 YTD record (72% win percentage) and holding current rank 13. He enters off five consecutive wins, most recently topping Jiri Lehecka on Sun, 9 Aug. Kokkinakis is sitting at current rank 417 with a 2-3 YTD record, coming off a last-start defeat to Nuno Borges on Fri, 14 Aug.

With no previous head-to-head encounters between them, Jodar's pristine recent form gets a big tick. On the match-winner market, Jodar is priced as the 1.07 favourite, while Kokkinakis sits at 8.7.

MarketsOdds correct as at 1:53 am AEST. Odds can change.

Odds subject to change. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set Handicap Edge

Looking at the line market, Jodar is set at -2.5 sets at 1.75, while Kokkinakis gets a +2.5 set handicap at 2.05.

Given Jodar's flawless five-match winning streak compared to Kokkinakis dropping three of his last four outings overall, Jodar taking this in straight sets rates a real chance.

SetsOdds correct as at 1:53 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipRafael Jodar -2.51.75Thanasi Kokkinakis +2.52.05
Big tickOur tip: Rafael Jodar -2.5. Jodar has won five straight matches overall and rates a real chance to cover the -2.5 set line in straight sets.

Tipped at $1.75 (1:53 am AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Rafael Jodarlast 5

−1.5 cover rate40%2/5
+1.5 cover rate80%4/5
Straight-sets wins40%2/5

Thanasi Kokkinakislast 4

−1.5 cover rate25%1/4
+1.5 cover rate100%4/4
Straight-sets wins25%1/4
40%−1.5 cover % (form)25%

Total Games Breakdown

The total games mark is set at 31.5 games, with the Over at 1.85 and Under at 1.95.

With Jodar dominating recent outings and Kokkinakis struggling for match wins this season, a direct contest could easily keep the total game score underneath that 31.5 line.

GamesOdds correct as at 1:53 am AEST. Odds can change.
Over 31.51.85Our tipUnder 31.51.95
Solid tickOur tip: Under 31.5. Jodar's recent dominant form suggests a swift match, keeping total games under 31.5.

Tipped at $1.95 (1:53 am AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Match total games

Average games from recent scorelines · marker shows live line 31.5.

Rafael Jodar matches (n=5)avg 25.2vs 31.5
2139
Thanasi Kokkinakis matches (n=4)avg 34.3vs 31.5
2139

Hit rate vs 31.5

Rafael Jodarn=5
Over 40%Under 60%
Thanasi Kokkinakisn=4
Over 50%Under 50%
13.6Avg games won (form)17.3