The numbers say we are in for a absolute cracker when Rafael Jodar locks horns with Alexander Bublik this Saturday, 26 Sept at 4:00 am AEST. Jodar jumps off the page with a blistering 71% YTD win rate (37-15) compared to Bublik's 61% (28-18). If you are scanning the latest tennis tips ahead of this Robin round contest, Jodar's electric campaign gives him a big tick heading into their very first head-to-head clash.

Who Takes Out The Win? Jodar Holds The Stat Edge

Rafael Jodar comes into this matchup holding a current rank of 14, backed by a stellar 39-16 career record and one career title. He is coming off a draw against Thanasi Kokkinakis on Thu, 3 Sept, which capped off a formidable run after notched victories against Jiri Lehecka and Lorenzo Musetti in August. With a 71% winning mark this year, Jodar's overall consistency is hard to overlook.

Alexander Bublik sits at rank 21 with a 28-18 record in 2026 and 217 career wins to his credit. He enters this contest coming off a loss to Tommy Paul on Fri, 4 Sept, having previously secured wins over Adrian Mannarino and J.J. Wolf. With no past meetings between this pair (0-0 h2h record), Jodar heads into the match as the head-to-head favourite at 1.52, while Bublik rates a real chance as the underdog at 2.55.

Head to HeadOdds correct as at 12:14 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipRafael Jodar1.52Alexander Bublik2.55
Solid tickOur tip: Rafael Jodar. Jodar's dominant 71% YTD winning percentage and higher rank of 14 give him the statistical edge in his first meeting with Bublik.

Tipped at $1.52 (11:42 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

0–0

Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Bublik

75%1st set → match win % (form)100%
50%Deciding set win % (form)0%

Set Line Analysis: Can Bublik Push The Favourite?

The set handicap line is set at 1.5 sets for this match. Jodar to win in straight sets at -1.5 sets pays 2.20, while Bublik receiving +1.5 sets is listed at 1.60.

Given Bublik's deep experience—boasting 9 career titles and 217 career match wins—he has plenty of tools to snag at least one set. Backing Bublik at +1.5 sets offers solid insurance against a tough opponent.

SetsOdds correct as at 12:14 am AEST. Odds can change.
Rafael Jodar -1.52.20Our tipAlexander Bublik +1.51.60
Solid tickOur tip: Alexander Bublik +1.5. Bublik's 9 career titles and vast experience make him capable of claiming at least one set in this matchup.

Tipped at $1.60 (11:42 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Rafael Jodarlast 5

−1.5 cover rate40%2/5
+1.5 cover rate80%4/5
Straight-sets wins40%2/5

Alexander Bubliklast 5

−1.5 cover rate60%3/5
+1.5 cover rate80%4/5
Straight-sets wins40%2/5
40%−1.5 cover % (form)60%

Total Games: Expecting A Battle Past 20.5 Games

The total games line for this match stands at 20.5 games, with Over paying 1.85 and Under positioned at 1.95.

Both competitors feature explosive play styles and proven winning records this season. With 37 match wins for Jodar and 28 for Bublik this year, a tight multi-set tussle that pushes past 20.5 total games rates a real chance.

GamesOdds correct as at 12:14 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipOver 20.51.90Under 20.51.90
Solid tickOur tip: Over 20.5. With both players holding solid YTD win tallies, this contest has all the ingredients to go long and exceed 20.5 games.

Tipped at $1.85 (11:42 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Match total games

Average games from recent scorelines · marker shows live line 20.5.

Rafael Jodar matches (n=5)avg 23.4vs 20.5
1634
Alexander Bublik matches (n=5)avg 29.4vs 20.5
1634

Hit rate vs 20.5

Rafael Jodarn=5
Over 60%Under 40%
Alexander Bublikn=5
Over 80%Under 20%
12.2Avg games won (form)16.4