The ATP Third Round serves up an exciting clash on Tuesday, 18 August at 7:00 am AEST as Rafael Jodar takes on Alejandro Tabilo. The numbers say Jodar is in outstanding touch, carrying a five-match winning streak into this encounter. Tabilo, on the other hand, aims to bounce back after a setback in his most recent start.

With both players locked at 1-1 in their career head-to-head encounters on hard courts, this matchup features plenty of intrigue. If you are searching for expert tennis tips ahead of Tuesday morning's action, the form guide jumps off the page for this big contest.

Head-to-Head Winner Analysis

Jodar enters this Third Round tie as the in-form competitor. The 11th-ranked Spaniard boasts a stellar 35-13 YTD record with a 73% win percentage this season. His form line is pristine, coming off five consecutive victories—most recently defeating Jiri Lehecka on Sunday, 9 August. On the head-to-head board, Jodar is installed as the 1.40 favourite.

Tabilo comes into the match ranked 29th with a 23-20 record for the year (53% win percentage). The Chilean left-hander is coming off a last-start loss on Thursday, 6 August, which halted a three-match winning run over Ben Shelton, Terence Atmane, and Tallon Griekspoor. Head-to-head history shows an even 1-1 split between the pair, with Jodar winning their most recent clash in August 2026. Tabilo is priced at 2.98 to claim victory.

Head to HeadOdds correct as at 7:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipRafael Jodar1.43Alejandro Tabilo2.85
Big tickOur tip: Rafael Jodar. Jodar enters this match riding a five-game winning streak and a dominant 73% YTD win percentage.

Tipped at $1.40 (7:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

1–1

Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo

Hard1-1
0%1st set → match win % (H2H)50%
100%Deciding set win % (H2H)0%
72%1st serve points won %81%
28%Return points won %34%

Set Handicap Edge

In the handicap market, the line sits at 1.5 sets. Jodar pays 2.10 on the Set Handicap at -1.5, while Tabilo is 1.70 with a +1.5 set start. Jodar's ability to close out matches cleanly during his five-match win streak gives the favourite a big tick to cover.

SetsOdds correct as at 7:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipRafael Jodar -1.52.15Alejandro Tabilo +1.51.65
Solid tickOur tip: Rafael Jodar -1.5. With five consecutive wins under his belt, Jodar rates a real chance to seal a straight-sets victory.

Tipped at $2.10 (7:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Rafael Jodarlast 5

−1.5 cover rate60%3/5
+1.5 cover rate80%4/5
Straight-sets wins60%3/5

Alejandro Tabilolast 5

−1.5 cover rate40%2/5
+1.5 cover rate80%4/5
Straight-sets wins40%2/5
60%−1.5 cover % (form)40%
H2H −1.5 cover (Rafael Jodar)0%0/2

Total Games Breakdown

The total market is set at 22.5 games, with Over 22.5 paying 1.95 and Under 22.5 at 1.85. Both previous meetings between these two went the distance or featured extended sets. Given their competitive head-to-head record, taking the Over rates a real chance for punters looking at total games.

GamesOdds correct as at 7:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipOver 22.51.85Under 22.51.95
Solid tickOur tip: Over 22.5. Past head-to-head clashes between Jodar and Tabilo have been tight, making the over a solid angle.

Tipped at $1.95 (7:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Match total games

Average games from recent scorelines · marker shows live line 22.5.

Rafael Jodar matches (n=5)avg 23.2vs 22.5
1830
Alejandro Tabilo matches (n=5)avg 25.8vs 22.5
1830
H2H meetings (n=2)avg 24vs 22.5
1830

Hit rate vs 22.5

Rafael Jodarn=5
Over 40%Under 60%
Alejandro Tabilon=5
Over 60%Under 40%
H2Hn=2
Over 50%Under 50%
13Avg games won (form)13.4