We have got a massive ATP second-round match locked in for Mon, 17 Aug, 4:05 am AEST as Marco Trungelliti takes on Daniil Medvedev. The contrast in current form jumps off the page ahead of this clash, making it an exciting match to unpack for punters looking for sharp tennis predictions.

With both players aiming to make a statement in this tournament, the numbers point to a fascinating battle between momentum and high-level ranking class.

Head To Head: Who Wins The Contest?

In the head-to-head market, Daniil Medvedev opens as the 1.15 favourite, while Marco Trungelliti is listed at 5.50. The numbers say Medvedev possesses a distinct pedigree advantage, holding a current rank of 7 in the world alongside a 30-13 record this season (70% win rate) and 450 career victories.

However, recent form presents an intriguing backdrop. Trungelliti enters this contest riding a three-match winning streak, coming off a win against Hamad Medjedovic on Sat, 15 Aug. On the other side, Medvedev is coming off a loss against Botic Van De Zandschulp on Thu, 6 Aug and has dropped his last three overall starts. With a 0-0 head-to-head record, Medvedev's top-tier class gives him the match-winner edge, but Trungelliti's streak keeps him competitive.

Head to HeadOdds correct as at 3:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Vit Kopriva1.65Our tipJia Hu2.25
Big tickOur tip: Daniil Medvedev. Medvedev's world rank of 7 and 70% win percentage this season give him the quality edge to secure the win.

Tipped at $1.15 (2:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

0–0

Vit Kopriva vs Jia Hu

Set Handicap Breakdown

In the line market, the set handicap is set at 1.5 sets, with Trungelliti (+1.5 sets) priced at 2.45 and Medvedev (-1.5 sets) at 1.50.

Given Trungelliti has won three of his last five overall matches while Medvedev has slumped across his past three outings, taking Trungelliti with the +1.5 set start rates a real chance to deliver value if the world rank 91 can snatch a set.

SetsOdds correct as at 3:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipVit Kopriva -1.52.25Jia Hu +1.51.65
Solid tickOur tip: Marco Trungelliti +1.5. Trungelliti is on a three-match win streak and rates a real chance to claim at least one set.

Tipped at $2.45 (2:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Vit Koprivalast 5

−1.5 cover rate20%1/5
+1.5 cover rate20%1/5
Straight-sets wins20%1/5

Jia Hulast 3

−1.5 cover rate0%0/3
+1.5 cover rate33%1/3
Straight-sets wins0%0/3
20%−1.5 cover % (form)0%

Total Games Expectation

The total games line sits at 20.5 games, with both the over and under offered at 1.90.

With Trungelliti playing with high confidence on his three-match winning streak and Medvedev determined to reverse his recent fortunes, a competitive contest passing 20.5 total games gets a big tick.

GamesOdds correct as at 3:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipOver 42.51.85Under 42.51.95
Solid tickOur tip: Over 20.5. Trungelliti's strong touch combined with Medvedev's need to reset suggests a tight battle clearing 20.5 games.

Tipped at $1.90 (2:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Match total games

Average games from recent scorelines · marker shows live line 42.5.

Vit Kopriva matches (n=5)avg 21.6vs 42.5
1740
Jia Hu matches (n=3)avg 23.3vs 42.5
1740

Hit rate vs 42.5

Vit Koprivan=5
Over 0%Under 100%
Jia Hun=3
Over 0%Under 100%
8.8Avg games won (form)8.7