What a contest we have on our hands in this ATP Second Round battle! Czech star Jiri Lehecka clashes with Italian powerhouse Matteo Berrettini on Sun, 16 Aug, at 8:35 am AEST, and the stats jump off the page early. Lehecka arrives boasting a 63% win record in 2026 with 25 victories from 40 matches, while Berrettini carries 10 career titles and a high-grade 64% career winning record.

If you are hunting for value using our expert tennis tips, this matchup offers plenty of statistical angles to break down before ball toss. Both right-handers possess explosive games capable of dictating tempo from the back of the court.

Who Will Win?

The match-winner market sees World No. 14 Jiri Lehecka installed as the 1.58 favourite, with World No. 42 Matteo Berrettini sitting as the 2.40 underdog. These two enter with a 0-0 head-to-head record, creating a fresh battleground with no prior tour history to lean on.

Lehecka is coming off a loss against Rafael Jodar on 9 Aug, but his overall numbers say he has been remarkably consistent across 2026, building a 25-15 YTD record and touching a career-best rank of 12. On the other side, Berrettini is coming off a win against Titouan Droguet on 15 Aug.

While Berrettini's career win percentage of 64% (225-127) reflects his peak as a former World No. 6, Lehecka's higher current ranking and sharper 2026 form give him the nod on the head-to-head board.

Head to HeadOdds correct as at 8:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipJiri Lehecka1.48Matteo Berrettini2.67
Solid tickOur tip: Jiri Lehecka. Lehecka holds a strong 25-15 YTD record and a world ranking of 14, giving him the edge in current form.

Tipped at $1.58 (3:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

0–0

Jiri Lehecka vs Matteo Berrettini

67%1st set → match win % (form)100%
0%Deciding set win % (form)33%

Set Handicap Edge

The set handicap line places Lehecka at -1.5 sets. Backing Lehecka to close this out in straight sets pays 2.35, while securing Berrettini with a +1.5 set start is listed at 1.55.

Berrettini's serve and big-match experience make him a threat in any individual set. With 10 ATP titles in his cabinet and a fresh victory under his belt from his last start on 15 Aug, Berrettini getting +1.5 sets rates a real chance to cover by keeping sets competitive, even if Lehecka takes the match overall.

SetsOdds correct as at 8:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Jiri Lehecka -1.52.20Our tipMatteo Berrettini +1.51.60
Solid tickOur tip: Matteo Berrettini +1.5. Berrettini comes in off a last-start win and boasts 10 career titles to keep set margins close.

Tipped at $1.55 (3:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Jiri Leheckalast 5

−1.5 cover rate40%2/5
+1.5 cover rate60%3/5
Straight-sets wins40%2/5

Matteo Berrettinilast 5

−1.5 cover rate40%2/5
+1.5 cover rate100%5/5
Straight-sets wins0%0/5
40%−1.5 cover % (form)40%

Total Games Breakdown

The total games line is set at 23.5 games, with the Under priced as the 1.80 favourite and the Over available at 2.00.

A benchmark of 23.5 games sits right on the edge of a straight-sets win or a full three-set affair. With Lehecka winning 63% of his matches this year and looking to establish dominance early, the Under 23.5 games gets a big tick at 1.80 for a sharp, direct result.

GamesOdds correct as at 8:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Over 23.52.00Our tipUnder 23.51.80
Solid tickOur tip: Under 23.5. The 23.5 games benchmark favours a clean two-set victory for either competitor.

Tipped at $1.80 (3:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Match total games

Average games from recent scorelines · marker shows live line 23.5.

Jiri Lehecka matches (n=5)avg 25vs 23.5
1940
Matteo Berrettini matches (n=5)avg 39.6vs 23.5
1940

Hit rate vs 23.5

Jiri Leheckan=5
Over 40%Under 60%
Matteo Berrettinin=5
Over 100%Under 0%
12.8Avg games won (form)20