First-round action is here! Jesper De Jong takes on Francesco Passaro this Wednesday, 2 Sept, with first serve scheduled for 6:00 am AEST. If you are hunting for sharp tennis tips ahead of the opening round, the stat feed provides plenty to digest.

Both players arrive seeking a turnaround after last-start losses. With a spot in the next round on the line, this clash brings plenty of intrigue right out of the gates.

Who Wins The Head To Head?

The ranking numbers jump off the page straight away. Jesper De Jong enters this match holding a current rank of 100 with 618 ranking points, while Francesco Passaro sits at world rank 207.

Both contenders are coming off a loss in their most recent outings. De Jong was defeated by Adam Walton on 25 Aug, while Passaro fell to Nicolas Kicker on 14 Aug. However, De Jong holds the upper hand in their head-to-head history, having defeated Passaro in their single previous clash back in May 2025.

That past head-to-head success on the board gives De Jong a big tick as the favourite in the head-to-head market.

Head to Head
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Our tipAlex Molcan$2.35Arthur Rinderknech$1.60
Solid tickOur tip: Jesper De Jong. De Jong possesses the higher world ranking of 100 and defeated Passaro in their only previous head-to-head encounter.

Tipped at $1.71 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

0–2

Alex Molcan vs Arthur Rinderknech

Indoor0-2
0%1st set → match win % (H2H)100%
0%Deciding set win % (H2H)0%
58%1st serve points won %73%
31%Return points won %46%

Set Handicap Angle

The line market sits at -1.5 sets for De Jong as the home favourite, giving Passaro a +1.5 set buffer. Looking at recent overall form, De Jong scored two straight wins at home in August against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Dane Sweeny before his recent away trips.

Passaro registered a home victory over Oriol Roca Batalla in August prior to his last start. Passaro getting a +1.5 set start rates a real chance if he can push the higher-ranked Dutchman hard across early sets.

Sets
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Alex Molcan +1.5$1.50Our tipArthur Rinderknech -1.5$2.45
Solid tickOur tip: Francesco Passaro +1.5. Passaro receiving a +1.5 set head start provides solid coverage in what promises to be a tight opening-round contest.

Tipped at $1.60 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Alex Molcanlast 3

−1.5 cover rate33%1/3
+1.5 cover rate67%2/3
Straight-sets wins33%1/3

Arthur Rinderknechlast 5

−1.5 cover rate40%2/5
+1.5 cover rate60%3/5
Straight-sets wins20%1/5
33%−1.5 cover % (form)40%
H2H −1.5 cover (Alex Molcan)0%0/2

Total Games Breakdown

The total games line is set at 39.5 games for this match. Their previous encounter in May 2025 was a marathon battle that featured multiple tight sets.

Given the competitive nature of their sole previous matchup and both players looking to re-establish form, another extended battle could easily be on the cards. Backing Over 39.5 games makes plenty of sense based on how their past clash unfolded.

Games
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Our tipOver 22.5$1.80Under 22.5$2.00
Light tickOur tip: Over 39.5. Their May 2025 meeting was a grueling multi-set marathon, pointing toward another high-game count.

Tipped at $1.90 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Match total games

Average games from recent scorelines · marker shows live line 22.5.

Alex Molcan matches (n=3)avg 19.3vs 22.5
1536
Arthur Rinderknech matches (n=5)avg 31.6vs 22.5
1536
H2H meetings (n=2)avg 21.5vs 22.5
1536

Hit rate vs 22.5

Alex Molcann=3
Over 33%Under 67%
Arthur Rinderknechn=5
Over 80%Under 20%
H2Hn=2
Over 50%Under 50%
10Avg games won (form)16