Third-round action at the ATP level kicks off on Wed, 19 Aug, 3:00 am AEST, and this match-up brings plenty of energy. World No. 79 Jaime Faria comes into this contest buzzing after four straight wins, while Aussie Adam Walton, ranked 98th, is riding a two-match winning run of his own. If you are looking for smart tennis tips, this first-ever head-to-head battle gives us plenty of stats to sink our teeth into.

Who Wins The Head To Head?

The numbers say Jaime Faria has the form edge right now. The Portuguese prospect boasts an 11-8 YTD record and jumps off the page with a four-match winning streak, coming off a strong victory over Ben Shelton on Mon, 17 Aug. Prior to that, he took care of Jenson Brooksby, Yibing Wu, and Nikoloz Basilashvili. Faria currently sits at 760 points on the ladder with a career record of 16 wins and 22 losses.

On the other side, Aussie Adam Walton comes in off a win against Ignacio Buse on Mon, 17 Aug, making it back-to-back victories following his win over Nicolas Mejia on Sat, 15 Aug. Walton is sitting 97th on the ladder with 654 points, holding an 8-14 record this year. With a 0-0 head-to-head history between these two, Faria enters as the 1.68 favourite on the head-to-head board, while Walton is priced at 2.20.

Head to Head
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Big tickOur tip: Jaime Faria. Faria is riding a four-match winning streak and holds the ranking edge as World No. 79.

Tipped at $1.68 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

0–2

Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul

Hard0-1
Grass0-1
0%1st set → match win % (H2H)100%
0%Deciding set win % (H2H)100%
71%1st serve points won %78%
28%Return points won %39%

Set Handicap: Looking At The Line

The set handicap line sits at -1.5 sets for Faria (+1.5 sets for Walton). Faria laying 1.5 sets is paying 2.60, while Walton getting the start is at 1.45. Faria's dominant recent run includes convincing performances across his last four victories, making the set line an intriguing angle.

Walton has shown fight by winning his last two starts, but his overall YTD record of 8-14 indicates he can be vulnerable against higher-ranked opponents. For those backing Faria's momentum, getting the Portuguese star to cover rates a real chance if he maintains the level shown in his recent outings.

Sets
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Light tickOur tip: Jaime Faria -1.5. Faria's red-hot form rates a real chance to see him seal another victory in straight sets.

Tipped at $2.60 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Alejandro Tabilolast 5

−1.5 cover rate40%2/5
+1.5 cover rate60%3/5
Straight-sets wins0%0/5

Tommy Paullast 5

−1.5 cover rate40%2/5
+1.5 cover rate80%4/5
Straight-sets wins0%0/5
40%−1.5 cover % (form)40%
H2H −1.5 cover (Alejandro Tabilo)0%0/2

Total Games Market

The total games line is set at 23.5 games, with Over priced at 1.95 and Under at 1.85. Both players have been getting through matches efficiently of late. Faria's most recent outing finished under that line in his win over Shelton, while Walton's victory against Buse also produced a short game count.

With both competitors coming off straight-set victories in their last start, backing Under 23.5 games gets a big tick for those expecting a direct, lower-game contest in this third-round encounter.

Games
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Solid tickOur tip: Under 23.5. Both players are coming off clean wins in their last start, making a low game total an attractive angle.

Tipped at $1.85 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Match total games

Average games from recent scorelines · marker shows live line 22.5.

Alejandro Tabilo matches (n=5)avg 32vs 22.5
1840
Tommy Paul matches (n=5)avg 36.2vs 22.5
1840
H2H meetings (n=2)avg 26.5vs 22.5
1840

Hit rate vs 22.5

Alejandro Tabilon=5
Over 80%Under 20%
Tommy Pauln=5
Over 100%Under 0%
H2Hn=2
Over 50%Under 50%
15.4Avg games won (form)19.6