Big clash locked in for Mon, 28 Sept, 9:00 pm AEST as Hubert Hurkacz meets Denis Shapovalov in this round 1/2 ATP battle. The numbers say this matchup jumps off the page when you dive into their history on tour. If you are looking for accurate tennis predictions ahead of this action, we have got you sorted with all the key stats and angles.

Head to Head: Hurkacz Holds the Dominant Edge

Hubert Hurkacz enters this contest ranked 46th with a 247-170 career record (59% win rate) and a 20-17 win-loss record this season. He is coming off a last-start victory against Damir Dzumhur on September 1. On the other side of the net, Denis Shapovalov is world No. 50, holding a 252-212 career record and 19-18 season record, also coming off a win over Miomir Kecmanovic on August 31.

The head-to-head trend gives Hurkacz a big tick. In six career meetings between the pair, Hurkacz holds a 5-1 head-to-head record over Shapovalov, including four wins from five clashes on hard courts. Hurkacz has claimed victory in their last three meetings, most recently winning their June 2024 encounter. Hurkacz rates a real chance to assert his dominance again and sits as the favourite on the board.

Head to HeadOdds correct as at 11:14 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipHubert Hurkacz1.68Denis Shapovalov2.20
Big tickOur tip: Hubert Hurkacz. Hurkacz holds a commanding 5-1 career head-to-head record against Shapovalov, including four wins from five meetings on hard courts.

Tipped at $1.68 (6:14 am AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

5–1

Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov

Hard4-1
Clay1-0
100%1st set → match win % (H2H)100%
100%Deciding set win % (H2H)0%
74%1st serve points won %74%
36%Return points won %33%

Set Handicap Line

The line market sits at -1.5 sets for Hurkacz. That means backing Hurkacz on the handicap requires him to secure a straight-sets win, while Shapovalov with the +1.5 set start covers if he wins at least one set.

Looking at their broader record, Hurkacz has won five of their six meetings overall. However, Shapovalov has registered four wins from his last five overall starts on tour, showing he has the fight to stay competitive across sets.

MarketsOdds correct as at 11:14 am AEST. Odds can change.

Odds subject to change. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Total Games Market

The market for total match games is set at 24.5 games. Both players come into this contest after multi-set battles in their previous starts on tour.

Their past head-to-head meetings have often featured tight scorelines, including a grueling five-set match in January 2023. Given both players carry solid serve stats and competitive season records, there is plenty to suggest this match could be another extended battle pushing past the total games mark.

GamesOdds correct as at 11:14 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipOver 24.51.90Under 24.51.90
Solid tickOur tip: Over 24.5. Both players are coming off extended matches and their head-to-head history features closely contested sets.

Tipped at $1.90 (6:14 am AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Match total games

Average games from recent scorelines · marker shows live line 24.5.

Hubert Hurkacz matches (n=5)avg 30.8vs 24.5
2035
Denis Shapovalov matches (n=5)avg 28.8vs 24.5
2035
H2H meetings (n=5)avg 29.6vs 24.5
2035

Hit rate vs 24.5

Hubert Hurkaczn=5
Over 60%Under 40%
Denis Shapovalovn=5
Over 60%Under 40%
H2Hn=5
Over 40%Under 60%
17Avg games won (form)16.4