Top-six showdown locked in! World No. 5 Daniil Medvedev and world No. 6 Flavio Cobolli square off in ATP Round Robin action on Tuesday, 17 November at 6:30 am AEDT. If you are following expert tennis predictions ahead of this blockbusting fixture, the numbers say we are in for a classic encounter between two top-tier competitors.

Head To Head & Match Winner Edge

Daniil Medvedev's record this season jumps off the page, compiling a 52-20 win-loss mark (72% win percentage) alongside three titles to bring his career total to 25. Flavio Cobolli has also enjoyed a strong campaign with a 36-24 YTD record and one title. Both players head into this contest coming off a loss on 5 November in their most recent start, but Medvedev holds the overall head-to-head advantage at 2-1.

Crucially, Medvedev is 2-0 against Cobolli on hard courts, winning their 2024 clashes before Cobolli won their clash on clay in April 2026. On the head-to-head board, Medvedev sits as the 1.25 favourite while Cobolli is priced at 4. Given Medvedev's 472-200 career record, he rates a real chance to claim victory here.

Head to Head
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Our tipDaniil Medvedev$1.25Flavio Cobolli$4.00
Big tickOur tip: Daniil Medvedev. Medvedev boasts a 52-20 season record and holds a 2-0 hard-court head-to-head record against Cobolli.

Tipped at $1.25 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

2–1

Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli

Hard2-0
Clay0-1
100%1st set → match win % (H2H)100%
0%Deciding set win % (H2H)100%
79%1st serve points won %64%
44%Return points won %36%

Set Handicap Breakdown

In the set line market, Medvedev is set at -1.5 sets (1.09) while Cobolli gets a +1.5 set start (6.5). Medvedev has claimed three victories across his last five overall outings, showcasing his ability to close out matches decisively.

With Medvedev owning a perfect hard-court head-to-head record over Cobolli, backing him to cover the set handicap gets a big tick based on the statistical profile.

Sets
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Our tipDaniil Medvedev +1.5$1.09Flavio Cobolli -1.5$6.50
Solid tickOur tip: Daniil Medvedev +1.5. The numbers say Medvedev's 72% win rate this season gives him a strong edge to take this match in straight sets.

Tipped at $1.09 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Daniil Medvedevlast 5

−1.5 cover rate40%2/5
+1.5 cover rate60%3/5
Straight-sets wins40%2/5

Flavio Cobollilast 4

−1.5 cover rate25%1/4
+1.5 cover rate100%4/4
Straight-sets wins25%1/4
40%−1.5 cover % (form)25%
H2H −1.5 cover (Daniil Medvedev)67%2/3