Townsville (QLD) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 4:01 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Townsville (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 25 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 25 OctTownsville (QLD)Change

Race 7 — Mick Harris 50Th (Bm65) 1609m · jumps Sun 25 Oct, 4:44 pm AEDT

Race preview

Townsville's track is soft today with overcast skies for the 1609-metre Mick Harris 50th at 4:44 pm AEDT. This is a benchmark 65 handicap and the win market is ordered: Intruder shortest, then Ask Me Mate, Beta Better, and Khals rounding out the top four. Intruder has the rails draw in barrier one and is set to lead from the speedMap. Ask Me Mate rates third favourite despite sitting in barrier eight with an offpace run assigned. Beta Better sits just outside the top four in the market despite winning last time out at Bowen, while Khals, backed up after a tough run here at 1400 metres, sits fourth favourite.

Intruder looks a serious player on the form and the setup. The gelding strode forward off a wide gate last time to just miss at Townsville over 1400 metres, and now drawn for an easy lead from barrier one. The IRD rating sits at 94, and the form file flags a quick backup with a recent trial win at this track. Mitch Goring and Ms J Hassett's combo are losing ground in the market lately, but this draw and early position angle jumps off the page. Ask Me Mate brings the best recent jockey form to the race—Anthony Allen is running 26 per cent above his career average in the last 100 rides. The horse is rated 100 on the IRD and kept coming here at 1400 metres last start, only beaten by a stronger finisher. Rates among the better chances from barrier eight.

Beta Better won at Bowen last time and is switching up in distance to the mile. The form suggests she is racing well after several runs this campaign and warrants attention at a fair price. Garinion Righ holds a strong track record at Townsville with four wins here, though the speed data hints at slower early splits in recent runs. For those seeking a rougher angle, Betta Al showed the fastest finishing sectional last time and comes with genuine staying appeal from barrier ten if the pace sets up soft.

Race notes

BM65,BM65 HCP,Benchmark 65
SOFT5
Overcast
10 runners

Shortest win price

Ask Me Mate (5)

3.60

Most career wins

Nippa's Nightcap

6-6-7 from 49 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

9Khals

Offmidfield

8Betta Al

Midfield

10Zeamaize
11Whirlwind
13Twin Turbo

Offpace

3Nippa's Nightcap
5Ask Me Mate

Onpace

6Beta Better
4Garinion Righ

Leader

2Intruder

Intruder · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Nippa's Nightcap · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 27% lower than Career Avg.
Garinion Righ · Negative
Slow Early LS
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ask Me Mate · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Brave AgendaScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Started $9.50 when sent forward and narrowly prevailed (Bm65). Has speed. Right in the mix again.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Finished with purpose when winning last start at the track.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Finished with purpose when winning last start here.

2IntruderJ: Mitch Goring·T: Ms J Hassett160kg1 3 1 1 238: 3-6-5$3.70$1.45

Career

38: 3-6-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-1-1
Track Ipswich
2: 2-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 0-2-0
Track Canterbury
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
9: 0-2-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 2-2-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
16: 1-4-2

Last starts

2Townsville1400m18 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD40.04L
1Townsville850m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-3.7
1Townsville850m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.8
3Townsville1609m30 Aug 2026 · BM65 · SOFT51L
1Townsville1609m18 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD4-1.01
5Townsville1609m1 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD41.1L
2Cairns1400m23 July 2026 · CL2 · SOFT70.2L
3Townsville1300m5 July 2026 · BM60 · GOOD41.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 35%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 30% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Strode forward off wide gate, fought on bravely to just miss this venue for new stable. Drawn for an easy lead. Looks a serious player.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Right in contention last run at the track and will try to take advantage of the barrier. Should muster plenty of early speed. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

Producing consistent form; a winner over C&D; missed out by a nose over 7f here (handicap, had Ask Me Mate and Khals behind) on first run for current trainer a week ago.

RSIS

On a short back up. Narrowly beaten last start around here and will try to take advantage of the draw. Has early pace and positions nicely. Commands respect.

3Nippa's NightcapJ: Lacey Morrison·T: Sharlee Hoffman560kg1 4 5 6 1049: 6-6-7$12.00$3.30

Career

49: 6-6-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 0-2-0
Second-up
6: 0-0-0
Third-up
6: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
6: 1-0-1
Track Gold Coast
3: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
7: 1-1-1
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 2-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
5: 1-1-0
Going Good
24: 2-4-5
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
16: 3-2-2

Last starts

10Cairns1250m11 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD46.98L
6Atherton1400m19 Sept 2026 · HCP4.34L
5Mareeba1800m5 Sept 2026 · BM684.7L
4Innisfail1800m15 Aug 2026 · HCP4.8L
1Townsville1609m1 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD4-0.5
2Cairns1450m23 July 2026 · BM60 · SOFT70.2L
4Innisfail2000m20 June 2026 · BM655.4L
4Atherton1830m13 June 2026 · BM654L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 27% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Sent out $31 when never got into the race at Cairns. Has to lift considerably.

ILB

At $31.00 faded to finish 10th last start at Cairns but returning to a rise in trip. Will need to elevate.

Brings winning C&D form to the table; has struggled to factor since winning a handicap at Townsville in August; finished last of ten over 6f at Cairns (handicap) two weeks ago; others appeal more as this could be a hot race.

RSIS

At 30/1 was well beaten when 10th last start at Cairns but going back up in trip.

4Garinion RighJ: Aidan Holt·T: Georgie Holt459.5kg4 1 11 3 318: 5-1-3$6.50$2.25

Career

18: 5-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Ewan
1: 0-0-1
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1817m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 4-1-0

Last starts

3Bowen1810m10 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD41.2L
3Ewan1750m25 Sept 2026 · BM70 · GOOD4L
11Townsville1400m8 Sept 2026 · BM60 · GOOD47.1L
1Townsville1200m30 Aug 2026 · CL4 · SOFT5-0.2
4Townsville850m10 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.8L
11Sunshine Coast1600m24 May 2026 · BM62 · SOFT712.6L
3Beaudesert1650m25 Apr 2026 · BM65 · HEAVY83.1L
6Gatton1400m10 Apr 2026 · BM70 · GOOD46.4L

Insights

Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Form At Track
Positive
4 time winner here at Townsville
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fought bravely to the wire in the (Bm65) at Bowen. Coming back in distance. Others with more appeal.

ILB

In the money when 3rd last start at Bowen. Racing consistently this campaign. This will pose a challenge.

Finishing third was a good effort two weeks ago over 1m1f at Bowen (handicap), behind the reopposing Beta Better; a C&D winner; running consistently; much respected.

RSIS

Ran well when 3rd last run at Bowen. Looking sharp on the track lately.

5Ask Me MateJ: Anthony Allen·T: William Kenning859kg4 1 6 4 322: 4-3-5$3.60$1.50

Career

22: 4-3-5

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Mackay
1: 0-1-0
Track Rockhampton
16: 4-2-4
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1200m
8: 1-2-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
10: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
11: 3-2-3

Last starts

3Townsville1400m18 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD40.48L
4Townsville1200m4 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD42.11L
6Ewan1200m25 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3.64L
1Townsville850m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-4.4
4Rockhampton1400m13 Aug 2026 · CL5 · GOOD42.9L
3Rockhampton1400m31 July 2026 · BM65 · GOOD42.7L
4Rockhampton1200m11 July 2026 · BM70 · SOFT50.7L
3Rockhampton1300m19 June 2026 · BM70 · SOFT51.2L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Anthony Allen 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 364%
Key Jockey
Positive
Anthony Allen winning at 12% POT in last 100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Reasonably consistent. Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong this course. Rates among the better chances.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Close to claiming the win last time here and getting better in recent performances. Suited against these.

Good effort when close up over 7f here (handicap) last Sunday - split Intruder and Khals; not been able to get his head in front lately so not easy to fancy.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Missed by a narrow margin last run around here and form has been improving over recent runs. Should go very close.

6Beta BetterJ: Chris Whiteley·T: Belynda Kliese358kg7 10 1 2 125: 4-3-1$6.00$2.15

Career

25: 4-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1605m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Going Good
18: 3-3-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Bowen1810m10 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD4-0.04
2Townsville1609m4 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD40.16L
1Townsville1609m18 Sept 2026 · BM55 · SOFT5-2.05
10Townsville1609m30 Aug 2026 · BM65 · SOFT54.9L
7Townsville1609m18 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD43.33L
2Townsville850m10 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.2L
6Mackay2000m25 July 2026 · BM58 · GOOD424.47L
2Townsville1609m5 July 2026 · CL3 · GOOD40.1L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form

Comments

AAP

Been racing well. Showed plenty of fight winning (Bm65) at Bowen. Switching to 1609m. A few runs under her belt this campaign, warrants attention.

ILB

Was fighting out the finish when winning by a nose last start at Bowen. Could be in the mix.

Can boast winning form over this C&D; gained narrow success in a handicap at Bowen when accounting for two of these 15 days ago; should go well.

RSIS

Was fighting out the finish when winning last time at Bowen. Watch the betting.

7AirwavesScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row

Comments

AAP

Shooting for hat-trick. Shouldered 61kg to victory at Ewan. Showed plenty of fight to secure victory at Bowen. Hard fit, can again play a role if things pan out.

ILB

On a quick back up. Jumped at $10.00 and moderate showing when 7th last time at Mackay.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Odds of 9/1 and mediocre performance when 7th last start at Mackay.

8Betta AlJ: Wanderson D'Avila·T: A R Bailey1057.5kg6 1 8 10 137: 5-2-6$34.00$5.00

Career

37: 5-2-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-2
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gordonvale
2: 1-0-1
Track Cairns
16: 2-0-2
Track Townsville
17: 1-2-3
Distance 950m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 2-1-3
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
17: 1-1-2

Last starts

1Gordonvale1800m3 Oct 2026 · HCP-0.26
10Townsville1609m18 Sept 2026 · BM55 · SOFT57.55L
8Cairns1900m22 Aug 2026 · AMAT CUP BM74 · SOFT69L
1Innisfail1500m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 60-0.7
6Cairns1450m23 July 2026 · BM60 · SOFT74L
7Townsville1609m5 July 2026 · CL3 · GOOD41.9L
2Townsville1400m22 June 2026 · BM55 · GOOD41L
3Townsville1400m16 June 2026 · 0 - 55 · GOOD41.2L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 50% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Knuckled down really well for a narrow win at Gordonvale. Looks up against it.

ILB

Fought on gamely when winning by a head last start at Gordonvale and up against a less competitive field. Likely to settle back in the field. Minor claims.

Has winning track form; caused an upset when winning handicap at 8-1 (Gordonvale) 22 days ago; has to be considered.

RSIS

Really dug deep when winning by a head last start at Gordonvale and facing less formidable opponents. Might have to make up considerable ground.

9KhalsJ: Ryan Wiggins·T: S Massingham257.5kg3 9 9 1 814: 2-0-3$8.00$2.50

Career

14: 2-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
6: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1250m
4: 1-0-2
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-2

Last starts

8Townsville1400m18 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD45.13L
1Townsville1609m4 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD4-0.16
9Townsville1400m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1-SW · SOFT53.1L
9Cairns1250m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.6L
3Cairns1250m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP CLASS 1 SW · SOFT62.8L
9Townsville1200m14 July 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.6L
4Laura Qld1200m27 June 2026 · BM6016.1L
6Cairns1500m23 Aug 2025 · 4yo · GOOD46.3L

Insights

Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Sent out $8 when never got into the race this venue. Remote place hope at best.

ILB

On a quick back up. Odds of $8.00 and ordinary performance when 8th last start at the track. Jockey Ryan Wiggins is in top form for this stable. Very capable of taking this out.

Brings winning C&D form to the table; was held in eighth over 7f here (handicap) dropped back in distance last week; he can be taken on given the strong opposition here.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started 7/1 and lacklustre showing when 8th last start here. Ryan Wiggins and Stephen Massingham are usually competitive together. Capable of winning this.

10ZeamaizeJ: Chris Mc Iver·T: Michael Mclellan956kg4 6 4 9 517: 1-3-2$14.00$3.60

Career

17: 1-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
3: 1-0-1
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Track Toowoomba
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1609m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-2-2
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0

Last starts

5Townsville1609m4 Oct 2026 · BM60 · GOOD42.93L
9Townsville1200m18 Sept 2026 · BM60 · SOFT55.09L
4Townsville850m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.1L
6Toowoomba1625m3 July 2026 · CL1 · GOOD45.5L
4Gatton1400m27 June 2026 · BM60 · GOOD42L
6Doomben1650m17 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.9L
4Gatton1400m3 June 2026 · BM65 · SOFT51.4L
8Toowoomba1300m2 May 2026 · CL1 · SOFT511.1L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Jumped in distance when ran on okay without troubling this track. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Started $5.50 and improved when 5th last start at the track. Interesting gear change of winkers off first time. Respect the betting.

Not disgraced when fifth three weeks ago upped to this trip; has struggled to factor since winning a maiden at Eagle Farm in January; not hard to turn elsewhere as this is competitive.

RSIS

Started 9/2 and pushed past some when 5th last run at the track. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces off first time. Betting is the best guide.

11WhirlwindJ: Ashley Butler·T: Matthew Mcguire755kg10 11 9 4 419: 3-0-2$26.00$4.40

Career

19: 3-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mackay
1: 0-0-0
Track Townsville
8: 1-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1609m
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-0-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0

Last starts

4Bowen1470m10 Oct 2026 · BM55 · GOOD42.37L
4Ewan1600m26 Sept 2026 · CL43.55L
9Townsville1609m18 Sept 2026 · BM55 · SOFT57.09L
11Townsville1200m30 Aug 2026 · CL4 · SOFT57.7L
10Cairns1450m23 July 2026 · BM60 · SOFT79.2L
13Townsville1300m5 July 2026 · BM60 · GOOD46.5L
5Townsville1200m22 June 2026 · BM65 · GOOD42.2L
4Townsville1609m15 Mar 2026 · BM65 · HEAVY81.5L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Ashley Butler 29% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Dry Spell
Negative
Recent form uninspiring
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced at Bowen. Strikes a harder race.

ILB

Came in 4th last start at Bowen but will benefit with the weight drop. Struggling this campaign. Entitled to be a big price.

Finished fourth beaten 2½l over 7½f at Bowen (handicap) 15 days ago; this is her level and string of consistent efforts of late; latest effort was encouraging so could go close.

RSIS

Ran 4th last run at Bowen but will appreciate the drop in weight. Struggling in recent runs with no placings from 7 starts.

12Manhattan'sScratched1––––

Career

35: 3-6-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
7: 1-1-0
Second-up
6: 0-1-1
Third-up
6: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
6: 1-1-1
Track Newcastle
6: 1-1-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1360m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
19: 2-3-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
11: 1-2-1

Last starts

2Cairns1450m11 Oct 2026 · CL4 · GOOD41.22L
7Gordonvale1360m3 Oct 2026 · BM654.55L
7Townsville1400m8 Sept 2026 · BM60 · GOOD45.28L
6Cairns1450m22 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 70 · SOFT62.8L
4Innisfail1100m15 Aug 2026 · BM652.9L
2Cairns1500m4 Apr 2026 · BM65 · HEAVY103.1L
3Townsville1400m31 Mar 2026 · BM65 · GOOD43.9L
6Cairns1250m12 Mar 2026 · BM65 · HEAVY85.8L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Fred Wieland striking at just 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 39%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs

Comments

AAP

Sound performance in small field at Cairns. Super fit from racing, one for exotics.

ILB

Rattled home nicely into 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Cairns and drawn the rails.

Good effort when just over 1l second over 7f at Cairns (handicap) 14 days ago.

RSIS

Ran on strongly when 2nd last time at Cairns and drawn nicely.

13Twin TurboJ: Raul Silvera Olivera·T: D K Amos654kg6 5 4 6 833: 2-4-2$26.00$4.40

Career

33: 2-4-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
6: 1-0-0
Track Townsville
5: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 2-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 0-1-0

Last starts

8Bowen1810m10 Oct 2026 · BM65 · GOOD44.2L
6Ewan1600m26 Sept 2026 · CL412.71L
4Townsville1609m18 Sept 2026 · BM55 · SOFT52.97L
5Townsville1609m30 Aug 2026 · BM65 · SOFT52.4L
6Mackay1800m20 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD45.4L
5Townsville2000m8 Aug 2026 · BM65 · GOOD41.5L
11Townsville1609m1 Aug 2026 · BM60 · GOOD44.8L
6Mackay1560m17 July 2026 · BM60 · GOOD41.8L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 174%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Winless since 17 Jul 2024. Went home tamely at Bowen at $12. Remains unplaced from 5 starts here. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Was $18.00 and not in contention when 8th last time at Bowen. Hard to see this being good enough.

A long time since his last win; was behind Beta Better at Bowen two weeks ago when not beaten far upped to 1m1f; a few rivals look in good form so others more appealing.

RSIS

Was 17/1 and appeared lacklustre when 8th last run at Bowen.

Odds correct as at Sun 25 Oct, 4:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Fri 18 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Tue 8 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races