Swan Hill (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 3:57 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Swan Hill (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 27 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 27 OctSwan Hill (VIC)Change

Race 2 — Jarrod Arentz Electrical & Solar Solutions Mdn Plate 1200m · jumps Tue 27 Oct, 2:00 pm AEDT

Race preview

Swan Hill's maiden plate at 1200m on a soft track is led by Magna Sententia, who impressed at Hamilton first-up and sits shortest in the win market. Carnevale and Celtic Spy follow in the order. The form book shows a couple of runners who've already had a run in this class, with others coming first-up or debuting. The track is holding firm on a fine day, and conditions match what we've seen from the short-priced brigade lately.

Magna Sententia jumps off the page after his encouraging Hamilton debut, finishing second by less than a length on the same soft going. The form comment rates him a key contender if he gets the breaks. Carnevale has had three runs and shows a circuit third at Seymour just last time out—also on soft ground at 1200m—with the form line suggesting he was no match but kept on. The trainer's stable is ticking over at 31 per cent, a solid tick. Celtic Spy maps ideally from barrier two as the leader and sits ahead on the market, fresh after 22 weeks. His rating of 100 tops the field, and the comment expects a prominent showing in this softer grade after metro racing last campaign. Both rates a real chance.

King Koruna shapes as a real contender second-up, having boxed on late at Mildura after being sent forward. He maps well at this track and sits at a rating of 98. Rentier drops back to suitable class and pairs with Celtic Spy as a leader in the speed column. My Boy Arnie is worth keeping in the frame with Cory Parish riding, the partnership showing recent form outperforming expectations by a margin, though the backmarker spot from barrier one will make it tough to get into it from the start.

Race notes

3Y MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
SOFT5
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Magna Sententia (6)

2.65

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

7My Boy Arnie

Offmidfield

6Magna Sententia

Offpace

5King Koruna

Onpace

2Carnevale

Firststart

11Unclaimed
12Magna Peak

Leader

3Celtic Spy
10Rentier

Carnevale · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Celtic Spy · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races
King Koruna · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Magna Sententia · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Boots OffScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

4Tatura850m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.3L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Dam won three races. Won a recent Wodonga jumpout and has the benefit of decent alley.

ILB

First start at the races 3yo by Dirty Work for Craig Weeding and has drawn the rails. Betting is the best guide.

Stable has had debut winner recently; related to multiple race winner Invertational (5f-7f); can make his presence felt with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

3yo by Dirty Work having first race appearance for trainer Craig Weeding and drawn nicely.

2CarnevaleJ: Eoin Walsh·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes658kg4 7 2 33: 0-0-1$3.20$1.26

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-1
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT55L
2Caulfield Heath800m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.5L
7Caulfield1200m30 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · HEAVY85.5L
4Flemington1000m4 Nov 2025 · 2yo · SOFT54.1L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

No match but kept on for a distant third in the 3yo Mdn Plate at Seymour first run back. Better for the outing. Only for the minors here.

ILB

Produced an eye catching run when 3rd beaten by 5L last run at Seymour. Has plenty of early speed. Good chance of taking this out.

Shade disappointing to finish third when second favourite at Seymour two weeks ago.

RSIS

Ran home into 3rd last run at Seymour. Will be positive in the run early. Good chance in this.

3Celtic SpyJ: Linda Meech·T: G Waterhouse & A Bott258kg5 3 2 3 123: 0-0-1$4.40$1.36

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

12Warwick Farm1100m20 May 2026 · 2yo · HEAVY810.8L
3Warwick Farm1000m6 May 2026 · 2Y C&G MDN-SW · GOOD41L
2Canterbury900m10 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.8L
3Randwick745m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)1.3L
5Wyong1100m10 Dec 2025 · 2yo · GOOD47L
1Randwick740m7 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial-1.2

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (22-weeks). In the minors at Warwick Farm first-up last campaign. Raced in metro company last prep. Expecting a prominent showing fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up and was outmuscled when 3rd beaten by 1L first up last preparation at Warwick Farm. Shows good early pace. Can find a nice position from the draw. Stamps its reason for consideration.

Without a win in three attempts although has finished third; finished towards the rear of 14 at Warwick Farm in May in a handicap; layoff to overcome; others more appealing.

RSIS

Resuming and was found wanting late when 3rd resuming last preparation at Warwick Farm. Has shown early pace in races to date. Has a positive draw. Solid chance.

4GanglandScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 14%

Comments

AAP

Let-up (79-days). Put up a sound performance at Ballarat Synthetic on debut. Since won a jumpout in good style. Keep safe.

ILB

Back from a break. Started $1.55 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last run Ballarat Synthetic but was on debut last time.

Failed to run to market expectations at the first time of asking at Ballarat at 8-15 in August; could improve although needs to.

RSIS

Fresh today. Was 4/7 and weakened to finish 6th last run Ballarat Synthetic but was on debut last time.

5King KorunaJ: Declan Bates·T: C Maher358kg5 5 8 34: 0-0-1$7.00$1.95

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Mildura1200m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.65L
8Sale1206m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.2L
5Caulfield1100m9 May 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT75L
5Mornington1000m18 Apr 2026 · 2Y-SW · GOOD43.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent forward, outgunned late but boxed on at Mildura second-up. Can challenge again.

ILB

Was in the hunt for a long way when 3rd last start at Mildura. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.

Beaten into third when 13-8 (Mildura) 21 days ago.

RSIS

Applied plenty of pressure when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Mildura. Will be fighting out the finish.

6Magna SententiaJ: John Allen·T: Taige Weir758kg21: 0-1-0$2.65$1.22

Career

1: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Hamilton1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT50.75L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Highly encouraging debut performance at Hamilton 10 Oct. Experience a positive. Key contender if he gets the breaks.

ILB

Put in a competitive run when placing 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at Hamilton and having second race start. Shows very good closing speed. Serious contender.

Beaten narrowly first time out at Hamilton at 13-1 17 days ago; possibilities if replicating initial run.

RSIS

Finished with intent when 2nd last start at Hamilton and was a debutant last start. Will be motoring home late. Great chance.

7My Boy ArnieJ: Cory Parish·T: Ms J Wicks158kg14 6 83: 0-0-0$126.00$10.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Track Avoca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Avoca1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD317.6L
6Bendigo1000m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.7L
14Bendigo1100m25 June 2026 · 2yo · SOFT614.1L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Cory Parish 58% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Trainer
Positive
Janet Wicks in good form, out performing market 80%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 62% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Forwardly placed, retreated at Avoca second-up. Needs major improvement to figure.

ILB

Jumped at $21.00 and faded to finish 8th last time at Avoca but has the ideal draw. Likely to settle back in the field. Can't entertain a bet.

Finished last of eight at Avoca ten days ago; yet to manage better than sixth in his three races; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Odds of 20/1 and didn't attack the line when 8th last time at Avoca but drawn the rails. Prefers to settle towards the rear.

8OptimusScratched8––––

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Cranbourne1200m9 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD34.4L
8Sandown1400m25 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT59.3L
4Sandown1300m25 Feb 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT53L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 24% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dean Yendall 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Comfortably beaten at Cranbourne for new trainer. Building fitness. Sound claims.

ILB

Tailed off to finish 6th last run at Cranbourne.

Attempting to open his account at the fourth time of asking; out of the frame (beaten 4½l in sixth, Cranbourne) on debut for new trainer 18 days ago; others appeal more.

RSIS

Looked outclassed when 6th last run at Cranbourne.

9Pray For EleganceScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (20-weeks). Put up a tidy debut performance at Geelong at $2.60. Better for it. Trialled twice since, latest at Colac 22 Oct. Place preferred option fresh in this company.

ILB

First up from a spell. Started at $2.60 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last start at Geelong and was a debutant last start.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started at 8/5 and moved ahead of some to finish 5th last time at Geelong and having second race start.

10RentierJ: Fred W Kersley·T: L Smith458kg3 32: 0-0-2$14.00$3.00

Career

2: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1103m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Kyneton1103m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT53.25L
3Tatura1100m29 Sept 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.65L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Closed solidly but not quick enough at Kyneton 8 Oct. Sharper now, can make his presence felt.

ILB

Ran well when 3rd last run at Kyneton. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Has run into the money all attempts this preparation. Competitive type.

Ran a solid race finishing third over 5½f at Kyneton (maiden) three weeks ago.

RSIS

Tidy effort when 3rd last start at Kyneton. Shows good early pace. Has not missed the money recently in 2 attempts. Has a good chance.

11UnclaimedJ: Cian Macredmond·T: C Maher858kg–$34.00$4.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Cian Macredmond current POT is 37% below Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 54% in L100 rides
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

$90k purchase. Half-brother to G2 winner Tiz Invincible. Last of eight in latest jumpout. Watch betting.

ILB

Aclaim 3yo having first start for trainer Ciaron Maher. Watch early betting.

Trainer more than capable of readying a newcomer, especially over this sort of distance; already gelded; sibling of Royal Mule (7½f winner); shouldn't be far away.

RSIS

First appearance at the races 3yo by Aclaim for Ciaron Maher.

12Magna PeakJ: Lachlan King·T: Ben Brisbourne556kg–$13.00$2.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 57% better than Career Avg.
Key Jockey
Positive
Lachlan King winning at 43% POT in last 100 rides
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-1). $40k purchase. Out of a half-sister to Listed winner Epic Dragon. Has shown enough in jumpouts and trials to be competitive here.

ILB

Ben Brisbourne 3yo debutant by Magnus. Follow the money.

First start under rules for this three-year-old; can make a bold bid.

RSIS

Ben Brisbourne 3yo by Magnus having first race appearance.

Odds correct as at Tue 27 Oct, 2:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 22 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races