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Northam (WA) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Northam (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 29 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 29 OctNortham (WA)Change

Race 2 — ATC MB Hcp (C1) 1400m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Northam for Race 2, the Atc Mb Hcp (C1) over 1400m on a Good 4 track with fine weather. The win market order has Flying In The Wind sitting right at the top of the betting ring, closely followed by Mr Mellon, Final Call, The Lucky Chip, and Major Magnus rounding out the early quote. The numbers say this 1400m test on the quick Northam surface will be set up with speed from the front, with Final Call and Mr Mellon listed as leaders ready to dictate terms early on.

The form behind those shorter prices jumps off the page for the market leader Flying In The Wind, prepared by A G Durrant and steered by William Pike from barrier two. Key rider William Pike arrives sitting 33% above market expected in last 100 rides, and this runner showed plenty of ticker on debut at Bunbury before making headway at Ascot. Mr Mellon also rates a real chance coming out of barrier three for D R Harrison and Paul Harvey, having given a good sight at Belmont Park and fought hard at Ascot over this trip.

Looking further down the field, runners like The Lucky Chip from barrier five bring an interesting angle after unleashing a driving charge late over this course and distance last start, clocking the fastest overall finishing sectionals. Meanwhile, Major Magnus starts from barrier one as a backmarker for B P Graham with Jarrad Noske in the saddle, whose recent riding metrics show positive form. Grab a ticket, mate, and let us see how this Northam card unfolds!

Race notes

  • 3UP CL1 HCP 50+,3yo+,CL1,Class 1
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 5 runners

Shortest win price

Flying In The Wind (6)

1.40

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 1Major Magnus

Offmidfield

  • 6Flying In The Wind

Midfield

  • 7The Lucky Chip

Leader

  • 2Final Call
  • 5Mr Mellon

  • Major Magnus · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides

  • Final Call · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.

  • Mr Mellon · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Flying In The Wind · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Major MagnusJ: Jarrad Noske·T: B P Graham160kg6 3 2 1 1017: 1-2-2$34.00$4.60

Career

17: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Northam

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2200m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2238m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 1-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 10Northam2200m23 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 50+ HCP · GOOD49.38L
  2. 1Bunbury2013m17 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD4-0.06
  3. 2Northam2200m3 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.2L
  4. 3Pinjarra2013m20 Aug 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD42.7L
  5. 6Bunbury1690m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · SOFT56L
  6. 10Pinjarra1600m16 July 2026 · 2UP MDN SW · HEAVY86.9L
  7. 9Belmont1700m8 July 2026 · 2UP SW MDN · SOFT52.4L
  8. 6Pinjarra1600m24 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD43L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -23%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Failed to threaten this track over longer test. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Was $9.00 and well beaten when 10th last run around here but will appreciate a good draw. Might have to make up considerable ground. Back to a shorter trip. Very unlikely to shake these.

RP

Tenth of 12 over 1m3f here (handicap) last month; improved form the last twice; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Was 8/1 and clearly outclassed when 10th last time at the track but can save some energy from the stall. Expected to settle towards the rear. Down in trip.

2Final CallJ: Joey Azzopardi·T: Ms D Riordan458.5kg7 6 7 7 612: 1-1-4$12.00$3.00

Career

12: 1-1-4

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Northam

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2013m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 1-1-4

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Lark Hill1050m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.3L
  2. 7Bunbury2013m28 June 2026 · 3UP 54+ HCP · SOFT78.2L
  3. 7Belmont2100m6 June 2026 · 3UP GRAD HCP 57+ · GOOD44.7L
  4. 6Pinjarra1600m21 May 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD44.6L
  5. 7Ascot1600m6 May 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP 50+ · GOOD43.5L
  6. 2Pinjarra2000m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP RTG 54+ HCP · GOOD40.3L
  7. 5Ascot1800m17 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD42L
  8. 1Ascot1800m10 Dec 2025 · 3UP SW MDN HCP · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Donna Riordan striking at just 6%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (17-weeks). Since trialled at Lark Hill. Placed only other time here. Could pop up at fair odds.

ILB

Back from a break. Started at $12.00 and ran 7th last time at Bunbury and back to a shorter distance. Should jump out and bowl along. Looks hopeful.

RP

Beaten 8l over 1m2f at Bunbury (handicap) four months ago; returning from a layoff here; shown he can be competitive fairly recently and one to take seriously.

RSIS

Fresh from a break. Started 11/1 and came in 7th last time at Bunbury and will be down in distance. Should muster plenty of early pace.

3HamadryadScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

20

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Got the wobbles late after leading this venue. Can go forward. Well into preparation now, can fill the minors here.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Odds of $14.00 and didn't threaten when 9th last start here.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Odds of 13/1 and faded away to finish 9th last time at this track.

4Kat FiveScratched4––––

Career

9: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Pinjarra

    7: 1-0-1

  • Track Ascot

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    9: 1-0-2

Last starts

  1. 3Lark Hill1050m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.9L
  2. 4Lark Hill930m5 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.7L
  3. 4Pinjarra1500m27 Apr 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD42.6L
  4. 3Pinjarra1400m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD40.6L
  5. 1Pinjarra1400m5 Mar 2026 · 3Y SW MDN · GOOD4-0.5
  6. 3Belmont1200m18 Feb 2026 · 3Y SW MDN · GOOD41.9L
  7. 8Belmont1000m19 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial2.7L
  8. 6Pinjarra1600m21 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD44.9L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

Comments

AAP

Resuming (26-weeks). Held form well last time in. Brought on with two trial hitouts. One for exotics fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Resumes from a spell of 26 weeks. Odds of $7.50 and came in 4th last time at Pinjarra.

RP

Running consistently; creditable fourth over 7½f at Pinjarra (handicap) six months ago; returning from a layoff here.

RSIS

Resumes from a break of 26 weeks. Odds of 13/2 and finished 4th last start at Pinjarra.

5Mr MellonJ: Paul Harvey·T: D R Harrison358kg1 2 1 4 53: 1-0-0$3.40$1.26

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Ascot1400m14 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.07L
  2. 4Belmont1400m26 Sept 2026 · 3Y SWP PLATE · GOOD41.3L
  3. 1Belmont1200m9 Sept 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD4-1.8
  4. 2Lark Hill950m24 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.1L
  5. 1Lark Hill950m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1.2
  6. 10Lark Hill400m9 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)11.5L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Metro winner. Gave good sight at Belmont Park 26 Sep. Picked off late at Ascot over this trip. Commands respect here.

ILB

Was $2.45 and came in 5th last time at Ascot. Expected to rebound. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Holds a major chance.

RP

Lightly raced with this just his fourth appearance; ran a bit below expectations (sent off 7-5) when fifth at Ascot two weeks ago; runs for only the second time in a handicap; his best form stacks up so likely to be thereabouts.

RSIS

Started at 6/4 and finished 5th last time at Ascot. Giving another go here. Should be going forward early. Will not be far away.

6Flying In The WindJ: William Pike·T: A G Durrant256kg2 3 1 1 52: 1-0-0$1.40$1.02

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bunbury

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Ascot1400m17 Oct 2026 · 3Y SWP · GOOD43.86L
  2. 1Bunbury1200m7 Oct 2026 · 3UP SW MDN · GOOD4-1.8
  3. 1Lark Hill950m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
  4. 3Lark Hill950m15 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.3L
  5. 2Lark Hill1050m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.6L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    William Pike 33% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    William Pike in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 33%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Good debut at Bunbury 7 Oct. Made some headway without troubling at Ascot at second appearance. Gets all the favours from ace draw. Profiles strongly here.

ILB

Odds of $5.50 and ran past a few when 5th last start at Ascot and facing a weaker grade. Jockey William Pike is in form and has a positive draw. Rated to win.

RP

Lightly raced with this just her third appearance; not beaten that far in a conditions race (Ascot) two weeks ago; holds major claims as shown she can win fairly recently.

RSIS

Odds of 9/2 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last start at Ascot and facing weaker opposition. William Pike adds value and has a good draw. Will take a stack of beating.

7The Lucky ChipJ: Jason Li·T: Brett Pope554kg7 6 11 6 331: 1-3-3$16.00$3.60

Career

31: 1-3-3

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Track Belmont

    10: 0-2-0

  • Track Northam

    4: 0-1-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 0-1-2

  • Distance 1400m

    16: 0-3-3

  • Distance 1500m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    19: 0-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Northam1400m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP 50+ · GOOD43.21L
  2. 6Bunbury1200m17 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD43.89L
  3. 11Belmont1400m1 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 HCP 50+ · HEAVY85.4L
  4. 6Belmont1300m17 June 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · SOFT62.3L
  5. 7Pinjarra1500m27 Apr 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD46.1L
  6. 5Pinjarra1200m8 Apr 2026 · 2UP CLASS 1 50+ HCP · GOOD44.2L
  7. 5Lark Hill950m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.7L
  8. 7Ascot1500m15 Oct 2025 · 3UP CL1 HCP 50+ · GOOD41.9L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 46% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

Comments

AAP

Last, unleashed driving charge late this course over this trip. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Was amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last start around here. Jason Li provides some weight relief. Place hope.

RP

Ran well to finish third at 25-1 three weeks ago; low strike-rate of 1-31.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last time at this venue. Large claim helps.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 25 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Thu 15 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sun 4 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Wed 23 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Sun 13 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
  • Thu 3 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races