UpYaGo logo

Leinster horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Leinster, with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 17 October 2026

Race 5 — Alliance Airlines Leinster Sprint (Bm64+) 1400m · jumps 6:28 pm AEDT

Race notes

  • 3UP 64+ HCP,3yo+,BenchMark 64+,LEIN SPR 64+
  • GOOD
  • Fine
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Climb On Top (1)

2.20

Most career wins

Lacevinsky

11-12-8 from 73 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 4Cheeky Charlotte

Offmidfield

  • 8Who's Your Mama

Midfield

  • 5Our Kiwi Princess

Offpace

  • 2Lacevinsky
  • 3Repeater

Onpace

  • 7Smart Return
  • 6Shasfa

Leader

  • 1Climb On Top

  • Climb On Top · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Lacevinsky · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Kate Pateman current POT is 33% below Career Avg.

  • Repeater · Positive

    Key Rider

    Tara Atherden 27% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cheeky Charlotte · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Climb On TopJ: Ebony Johnson·T: P R Bamford764.5kg1 3 4 1 135: 9-1-5Climb On Top win2.20Climb On Top place1.18

Career

35: 9-1-5

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 3-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 2-0-2

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    16: 2-0-1

  • Track Derby

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    15: 2-1-3

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-2

  • Going Good

    27: 8-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Moora1190m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 64+ · GOOD-1.43
  2. 1Broome1300m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP 64+ · GOOD-1
  3. 4Derby1120m18 July 2026 · 3UP RTG 68+ · GOOD2.4L
  4. 3Broome1200m11 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 70+ HCP · GOOD5.8L
  5. 1Broome1100m23 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 70+ HCP · GOOD4-0.3
  6. 7Belmont1000m28 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.1L
  7. 11Ascot1600m24 Jan 2026 · 2UP 1MW HCP 60+ · GOOD45.1L
  8. 8Ascot1400m17 Jan 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY HCP · GOOD44.2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 74%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 51%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 24% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • In Form

    Positive

    Racing in top form recently

Comments

AAP

Tough as teak. Shouldered 60.5kg to victory at Broome. Really gutsy performance on the speed at Moora. Dialled in and stays under strong notice.

ILB

Picked up late to win last start at Moora. Keeping a perfect win record the last 2 runs. Should muster plenty of early speed. Highly respected.

RP

Landed a narrow success in a handicap at Moora 14 days ago; has managed nine wins from 35 career runs and on a hat-trick; respected.

RSIS

Dashed home to win last start at Moora. Unbeaten last 2 attempts. Should be going forward early. Jockey Ebony Johnson and trainer Peter Bamford are a formidable team. Will attract plenty of interest.

2LacevinskyJ: Kate Pateman·T: Jacquelyn Scott661kg8 7 1 9 873: 11-12-8Lacevinsky win17.00Lacevinsky place3.50

Career

73: 11-12-8

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    10: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    9: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    9: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    8: 0-3-1

  • Track Belmont

    9: 0-0-1

  • Track Carnarvon

    12: 2-4-1

  • Track Pinjarra

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1240m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1400m

    15: 4-4-2

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    58: 9-11-7

  • Going Soft

    15: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 8Geraldton1400m11 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD3.25L
  2. 9Mingenew1200m26 Sept 2026 · 2UP RTG 62+ · GOOD312.65L
  3. 1Junction1400m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD-2.5
  4. 7Carnarvon1400m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD45L
  5. 8Carnarvon1000m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP 64+ HCP · GOOD5.7L
  6. 5Carnarvon1400m31 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 68+ HCP · GOOD10.4L
  7. 4Carnarvon1200m19 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 64+ · GOOD1.6L
  8. 1Carnarvon1000m26 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD-1

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Kate Pateman current POT is 33% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Experienced campaigner. Failed to threaten at Geraldton over this trip when drifting in the betting. At best, a place hope.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Gave away some ground when 8th last time at Geraldton. Place claims.

RP

Finished just behind Smart Return when eighth (Geraldton) on Sunday; useful at this level.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Was well beaten when 8th last time at Geraldton.

3RepeaterJ: Tara Atherden·T: P R Bamford559.5kg8 8 8 1 823: 5-2-1Repeater win4.20Repeater place1.45

Career

23: 5-2-1

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Belmont

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Northam

    6: 0-2-0

  • Track Pinjarra

    5: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    9: 4-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    6: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    15: 2-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Leonora1600m10 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 64+ · GOOD22.61L
  2. 1Mingenew1400m26 Sept 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD-1.75
  3. 8Bunbury1400m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL5 58+ HCP · SOFT55.6L
  4. 8Pinjarra1300m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL5 59+ HCP · GOOD43.7L
  5. 8Bunbury1200m28 June 2026 · 2UP CL5 60+ HCP · SOFT74.8L
  6. 8Northam1000m18 June 2026 · 2UP CL5 60+ HCP · GOOD46.5L
  7. 1Lark Hill1050m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.3
  8. 10Ascot1200m21 Feb 2026 · 2UP 1MW SPEC COND 60+ HCP · GOOD48.7L

Insights

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Tara Atherden 27% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 51%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 24% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 21%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Shouldered 61.5kg to victory at Mingenew. Failed to threaten at Leonora. Can bounce back into contention.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Started at $6.00 and looked outclassed when 8th last time at Leonora. Happy to overlook that run. Large claim helps. Commands respect.

RP

Last of eight over 1m at Leonora (handicap) last Saturday; has managed five wins from 23 career runs; don't write him off; a winner two starts ago so has to be taken seriously.

RSIS

On a short back up. Odds of 5/1 and folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Leonora. Should improve from the last run. Can feature in this event.

4Cheeky CharlotteJ: Jason Li·T: Jacquelyn Scott855kg13 8 10 12 629: 4-2-4Cheeky Charlotte win26.00Cheeky Charlotte place3.90

Career

29: 4-2-4

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Geraldton

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Ascot

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Belmont

    5: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    16: 2-2-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1113m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    26: 3-2-4

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Carnarvon1000m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD6.2L
  2. 12Carnarvon1200m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD414.4L
  3. 10Carnarvon1000m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP 64+ HCP · GOOD7.6L
  4. 8Carnarvon1000m19 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD10.3L
  5. 13Carnarvon1400m10 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 50+ HCP · GOOD15.6L
  6. 3Carnarvon1000m26 June 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD2.4L
  7. 8Carnarvon1000m19 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.7L
  8. 9Geraldton1200m19 Feb 2026 · 2UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD34.3L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Last win was 17 Aug 2025. Unable to make an impression at Landor. First time around Leinster. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Started $101.00 and finished 6th last run at Carnarvon but returning to a longer distance. Likely to get back in the field. Will benefit with the weight drop. Will struggle to compete in this race.

RP

Beaten 9l when fourth of five over 6f at Landor (conditions race) 12 days ago; others are preferred.

RSIS

At 100/1 finished 6th last time at Carnarvon but back to an increased distance. Likely to get back. Carrying less weight this time.

5Our Kiwi PrincessJ: Kyra Yuill·T: Malcolm Mackenzie455kg4 11 8 3 356: 8-9-9Our Kiwi Princess win6.00Our Kiwi Princess place1.90

Career

56: 8-9-9

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-3-0

  • Second-up

    6: 1-0-2

  • Third-up

    5: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Carnarvon

    8: 1-1-0

  • Track Port Hedland

    13: 3-3-2

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 1-3-0

  • Distance 1008m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    48: 8-7-8

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 3Leonora1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 64+ · GOOD0.34L
  2. 3Mingenew1200m26 Sept 2026 · 2UP RTG 62+ · GOOD33.58L
  3. 8Carnarvon1200m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD47.7L
  4. 11Carnarvon1200m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP 56+ HCP · GOOD8.2L
  5. 4Carnarvon1200m31 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD2.8L
  6. 5Carnarvon1200m19 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 64+ · GOOD3.3L
  7. 7Carnarvon1000m10 July 2026 · 2UP 64+ HCP · GOOD9.7L
  8. 6Carnarvon1200m30 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 64+ HCP · GOOD5.7L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -60% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 113%

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Experienced campaigner. Pressed on early and stuck on well at Leonora. Fit from racing, has some claims.

ILB

On a short back up. Close to a win last start at Leonora but up in weight. Kyra Yuill is a plus. Watch early betting.

RP

Third, not beaten that far (11-1) at Leonora over 6f (handicap) just ahead of Shasfa a week ago.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Just short of the win last time at Leonora but has to cope with a weight increase. Kyra Yuill rates highly aboard. One of the value chances in this race.

6ShasfaJ: Amy Jo Hayes·T: Ms C Godden155kg1 1 4 4 439: 5-3-6Shasfa win4.80Shasfa place1.60

Career

39: 5-3-6

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Bunbury

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Port Hedland

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Rockingham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1230m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1275m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    32: 5-3-6

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Leonora1200m10 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 64+ · GOOD1.36L
  2. 4Kununurra1350m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34L
  3. 4Broome1300m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ F&M HCP · GOOD6.7L
  4. 1Broome1435m24 July 2026 · 2UP RTG50+ HCP · GOOD-1.1
  5. 1Broome1300m11 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 50+ HCP · GOOD-1
  6. 5Broome1100m28 June 2026 · 2UP 50+ HCP · GOOD33.8L
  7. 10Broome1000m13 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD11.2L
  8. 8Broome1100m6 June 2026 · 2UP RTG50+ HCP · GOOD6.4L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 49%

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Out of the placings but still acquitted herself well at Leonora. Maps to get a sweet run. Fits well against this opposition.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Started $8.00 and ran 4th last run at Leonora but gets the perfect alley. Some hope in this event.

RP

Producing solid form figures; this is her level; fourth but only beaten 1½l over 6f at Leonora (handicap) a week ago when just behind Our Kiwi Princess; best of her form suggests ability; could go close.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Started 7/1 and ran 4th last run at Leonora but drawn by the rails.

7Smart ReturnJ: Sharni Webster·T: Jacquelyn Scott355kg6 7 4 10 730: 4-3-3Smart Return win14.00Smart Return place3.20

Career

30: 4-3-3

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 2-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Northam

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Donald

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1210m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    24: 4-2-3

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Geraldton1400m11 Oct 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD3.25L
  2. 10Geraldton1100m30 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 55+ HCP · GOOD2.5L
  3. 4Carnarvon1000m12 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.2L
  4. 7Junction1200m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD7.5L
  5. 6Carnarvon1200m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP 56+ HCP · GOOD2.8L
  6. 1Carnarvon1200m31 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD-1.3
  7. 8Belmont1000m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)18.3L
  8. 11Northam1300m9 July 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT2.05L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Sharni Webster 38% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Sharni Webster in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 38%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 49%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Backup

    Positive

    Racing again inside one week

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Ex G B Spowart in WA. On pace but folded up quickly at Geraldton over this trip. Well into preparation now, not out of this.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Jumped at $8.50 and didn't threaten when 7th last start at Geraldton. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Not threatening these.

RP

Came home seventh, beaten 7l, (Geraldton) a week ago; has struggled to factor since winning a handicap at Carnarvon in July; first start for new trainer; others more likely.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started 15/2 and tailed off to finish 7th last start at Geraldton. Expecting to settle positively. Racing for a new trainer.

8Who's Your MamaJ: Jessica Gray·T: R J Malpass255kg4 3 9 6 754: 6-12-8Who's Your Mama win12.00Who's Your Mama place2.80

Career

54: 6-12-8

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-0-3

  • Track Dongara

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Junction

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Laverton

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    12: 4-1-2

  • Distance 1406m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1700m

    3: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    48: 4-10-7

  • Going Soft

    6: 2-2-1

Last starts

  1. 7Mingenew1400m26 Sept 2026 · 2UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD4.25L
  2. 6Junction1900m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP 62+ · GOOD12L
  3. 9Carnarvon1750m30 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 67+ HCP · GOOD412.8L
  4. 3Carnarvon1600m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP 68+ HCP · GOOD9.1L
  5. 4Carnarvon1400m31 July 2026 · 2UP RTG 68+ HCP · GOOD8.4L
  6. 11Carnarvon1600m10 July 2026 · 2UP 56+ HCP · GOOD10.9L
  7. 5Carnarvon1600m26 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 64+ HCP · GOOD9.1L
  8. 3Carnarvon1400m19 June 2026 · 2UP RTG 64+ HCP · GOOD2.4L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Long Prep

    Negative

    Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Mingenew over this distance when firmed from $11 into $8.50. Experienced rider replaces apprentice. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Started at $8.50 and was well beaten when 7th last time at Mingenew but drawn nicely. Should get going late. Not at all out of this race.

RP

Could not manage better than seventh dropped down to this trip at Mingenew last month; she can be taken on.

RSIS

Started 15/2 and didn't threaten when 7th last run at Mingenew but can find a nice position from the draw. Will be motoring home late.

Odds correct as at 3:22 am AEDT. Odds can change.