Shortest win price
Fratianno (2)
3.40
Welcome to Coonabarabran for the Coonabarabran Bakery Country Boosted Mdn Showcase Plate over the 900m dash on a good four track under overcast skies. The win market lines up with Fratianno sitting right at the top of the order, followed by Haveaniceday, Boioboi, and Mia Amore shaping up next in the early betting. With a sharp 900m trip ahead of this field, expect an absolute flyer of a contest right from the jump at 1:20 pm AEDT.
The numbers jump off the page for our market leader Fratianno, who brings plenty of exposed form with twenty-two starts under the belt and tackles this after a solid fourth at Port Macquarie over 1200m and a close third prior over 1004m. Luke Rolls jumps back in the saddle with strong recent momentum on his side, and dropping back in distance could be the right move to finally break through. Boioboi also warrants a closer look from barrier three with Wendy Peel steering, aiming to bounce back from a heavy track debut at Dubbo where things didn't quite click as favourite.
Digging deeper into the pack, Mia Amore brings early speed from barrier two after giving a great sight on debut with a solid fourth at Muswellbrook over 1000m, making that drop back in trip an interesting angle. Meanwhile, debutant Haveaniceday steps out for David J Smith after showing positive signs at the trials with a second and a third at Narromine, handing Jake Pracey-Holmes the steering job. Little Bubbles also maps to put up early pace which always plays as a handy weapon on this tight circuit, so watch for the speed horses to give a big kick when it counts.
Shortest win price
Fratianno (2)
3.40
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Boioboi · Negative
Trainer SR
Wendy Peel striking at just 11%
Fratianno · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 39% in Last 100 Rides
Nodefence · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 86%
Little Bubbles · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Wendy Peel striking at just 11%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Disappointing debut performance as fav at Dubbo 2 Oct. Better for it. Switching to 900m and improvement on the cards.
ILB
Started $2.05 and folded up in the straight when 8th last run at Dubbo. Capable of bouncing back and having second career run. Major chance.
RP
Finished just behind Nodefence three weeks ago when eighth at Dubbo over 5f; must now step up.
RSIS
Started 21/20 and tailed off to finish 8th last start at Dubbo on a heavy surface. Looking past the last run and having second race start. Will go close.
Career
22: 0-7-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-2-0
Second-up
3: 0-2-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
3: 0-1-1
Track Tamworth
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1004m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
11: 0-4-1
Going Good
11: 0-3-3
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 39% in Last 100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Luke Rolls winning at 27% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Primed to strike. Close up in sound performance Super Mdn at Port Macquarie over longer test. Coming back in distance. Commands serious attention.
ILB
Started $6.50 and kept chasing when 4th last start at Port Macquarie but will be dropping in distance. Should get going late. Running with confidence this campaign. Solid chance.
RP
Grade looks suitable and has taken a step forward the last twice; finished fourth 16 days ago albeit only beaten 1½l at Port Macquarie over 6f (maiden); latest effort was encouraging so could have a say.
RSIS
At 11/2 made up ground when 4th last start at Port Macquarie but will be dropping in distance. Will be motoring home late. Holds a major chance.
Career
22: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
6: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Narromine
4: 0-0-1
Distance 800m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 0-2-0
Going Soft
9: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 86%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 23% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Stuck to his guns to fill the minors when drifting in the betting at Narromine. Leads, handy. Switching to 900m. This looks more demanding.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Faded in the late stages of the race when 3rd last time at Narromine but dropping in distance. Trying to win after 20 runs. Unfortunately, it seems unlikely.
RP
Has shown some recent improvement; respectable effort to finish third, beaten 1l over 5½f at Narromine (maiden) a week ago; should figure as recent display was promising.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Worked hard to place 3rd beaten by 1L last time at Narromine but coming back in distance. Yet to break through after 20 runs.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Forbes
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1208m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Relinquished after showing pace at Forbes for new stable. Drops to shorter trip. Has plenty to find.
ILB
At $6.00 faded away to finish 7th last time at Forbes and down in distance.
RP
Lightly raced with this just his third appearance; last of seven over 6f at Forbes (maiden) two weeks ago on debut for this trainer; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Was 5/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last start at Forbes and back in trip.
Career
14: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Armidale
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
4: 0-0-0
Track Taree
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ex W T Wilkes in NSW. Sent out $10 when unable to threaten at Muswellbrook. Can make her presence felt.
ILB
Jumped at $10.00 and lost ground in the run home when 10th last run at Muswellbrook but has minimal work to do from the barrier. Watch the betting.
RP
Finished tenth of 12 over 5f at Muswellbrook (maiden) three weeks ago; yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at 14; representing new stable today; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Started at 9/1 and gave away some ground when 10th last run at Muswellbrook but gets the perfect stall. Should muster plenty of early toe.
Career
7: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-0-0
Track Gilgandra
1: 0-1-0
Track Grenfell
1: 0-1-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-2-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 40%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 33%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a short back-up. Failed to threaten at Orange at cricket score odds. Can't enthuse.
ILB
On a short back up. Jumped at $101.00 and faded to finish 9th last time at Orange. This is a tough race.
RP
Has found improvement of late but form has an uneven look to it; finished ninth, beaten a fair way at Orange a week ago in a handicap; others appeal more.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Started at 100/1 and weakened under pressure when 9th last run at Orange.
Career
3: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Track Nyngan
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -56% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 20%
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Second campaign (26-weeks). More mature now. Ex Brett Robb in NSW. Been supported at each run. Worth a look.
ILB
First up from a 26 week spell. Threw down a serious challenge last time at Nyngan. Has plenty of early speed. First race for a new trainer. Will be fighting out the finish.
RP
Career moving upwards; not had much racing - fourth outing here; just touched off at Nyngan in April; returns from an absence here; starts out for new stable.
RSIS
Fresh from a break of 26 weeks. Was agonizingly close last run at Nyngan. Displays good tactical pace. First start for a new trainer. Strong chance.
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (2:0-1-1). $8,000 purchase. Out of a winning mare. Encouraging performance in most recent barrier trial. J Pracey-Holmes on from trials. Look to market for a further guide.
ILB
First start at the races 3yo by Anders for trainer David J Smith. Placed in all barrier trials. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Makes first racecourse appearance; sole newcomer in the field; can make her presence felt with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
3yo first starter by Anders for trainer David J Smith. Has placed in all trials.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Gave a sight on debut at Muswellbrook at double-figure odds 5 Oct. Better for the run. Back to shorter trip here. Rates highly.
ILB
Started $21.00 and gave ground when 4th last time at Muswellbrook and was on debut last time. Should be going forward early. Questions at this level.
RP
Beaten 2l to finish fourth on debut (5f, Muswellbrook) at 20-1 three weeks ago; could improve from first run although a leap forward required to win this.
RSIS
Was 20/1 and faded away late when 4th last run at Muswellbrook and having second career run. Won't be far away during the run. Has a positive stall.