Cairns (QLD) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Cairns (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sunday 11 October 2026

Race 6 — Ladbrokes More On Tote Win Hcp (C4) 1450m · jumps 4:25 pm AEDT

Race notes

CL4,CL4 HCP,Class 4
GOOD4
Fine
7 runners

Shortest win price

Bancory Bay (3)

1.95

Most career wins

Innovates

4-5-4 from 24 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

6Manhattan's

Offmidfield

9Bombinate

Offpace

4Innovates

Onpace

8Aoom's Choice
3Bancory Bay

Leader

2Indefinite
10Egzakly

Indefinite · Positive
Early Splits
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Bancory Bay · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Innovates · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Manhattan's · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 9%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Arctic BearScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Just missed at Cairns 29 Aug. Last at turn, ran on late at Townsville. Since trialled at Townsville 6 Oct. Placed to effect here.

ILB

Started at $7.50 and closed off nicely when 5th last run at Townsville and up against a less competitive field. Bit of extra work to do with more weight.

RSIS

Started 13/2 and made up ground when 5th last time at Townsville and taking on easier opposition. Has to cope with a weight increase.

2IndefiniteJ: Adam Sewell·T: Bodine Bailey159.5kg6 2 1 2 521: 3-4-12.801.50

Career

21: 3-4-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Atherton
1: 0-0-0
Track Innisfail
1: 0-1-0
Track Cairns
6: 1-3-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
6: 1-1-0
Going Good
13: 2-2-0
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1
Going Unknown
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

5Atherton1400m19 Sept 2026 · HCP3.67L
2Cairns1450m28 Aug 2026 · CL3 · GOOD42.3L
1Cairns1400m23 July 2026 · CL2 · SOFT7-0.2
2Innisfail1200m20 June 2026 · BM602.7L
6Townsville1000m6 June 2026 · BM60 · GOOD33.8L
2Cairns1400m2 Nov 2025 · CL3 · GOOD42.4L
5Townsville1200m25 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.8L
5Cairns1500m12 Oct 2025 · CL3 · GOOD44.47L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Off pace, made limited headway at Atherton. Drawn to get a conservative run and big weights don't seem to worry him. Commands attention here.

ILB

At $3.20 came in 5th last run at Atherton. Happy to overlook that run and drawn beautifully. Has early speed and positions nicely. Rising in weight. Win bet the play.

A previous winner here; this is his grade; not beaten that far (Atherton) last month; capable if in the mood so likely to be involved.

RSIS

Started 11/5 and ran 5th last start at Atherton. Has the talent to rebound quickly and drawn nicely. Should muster plenty of early toe. Goes up in weight. Smart type.

3Bancory BayJ: Ryan Wiggins·T: S Massingham257.5kg4 4 6 3 525: 3-2-11.951.28

Career

25: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
4: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1514m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1540m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 1-2-1
Going Soft
5: 2-0-0

Last starts

5Townsville1400m4 Oct 2026 · CL6 · GOOD43.54L
3Ewan1200m25 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD2.09L
6Townsville1200m8 Sept 2026 · BM70 · GOOD42.5L
4Cairns1250m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42L
4Cairns1450m23 July 2026 · BM60 · SOFT72.3L
7Townsville1200m5 July 2026 · CL5 · GOOD43.2L
8Townsville1200m22 June 2026 · BM65 · GOOD44.2L
8Geelong1540m26 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.7L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%
Key Jockey
Positive
Ryan Wiggins winning at 8% POT in last 100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 5kg now

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Battled home okay at Townsville. Drawn to effect. Fits well against this opposition.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Was $8.50 and ran 5th last time at Townsville. Can make a comeback and will try to take advantage of the draw. Goes up in weight. Definite winning chance.

Grade looks suitable; fair effort when beaten 3½l, finishing fifth of nine at Townsville a week ago; he's worth a go as shown promise on occasion.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Started 15/2 and came in 5th last run at Townsville. Happy to overlook that run and gets a favourable stall. Win will not surprise.

4InnovatesJ: Masayuki Abe·T: R J Miller557.5kg1 2 5 2 124: 4-5-46.002.65

Career

24: 4-5-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
3: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Atherton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 2-1-1
Going Unknown
5: 2-2-0
Going Good
10: 0-2-2

Last starts

1Atherton1000m19 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-2.5
2Oak Park1600m4 July 2026 · BM652L
5Atherton1830m13 June 2026 · BM655L
2Mareeba1800m23 May 2026 · BM650.2L
1Gordonvale1800m9 May 2026 · Benchmark 65-1
1Mount Garnett1680m1 May 2026 · BM60-0.7
1Cairns1500m9 Apr 2026 · BM55 · SOFT7-3.2
3Cairns1250m26 Mar 2026 · 0 - 55 · HEAVY92.41L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (14-weeks). Form solid last time in. Capable fresh and looked forward in recent trial. Capable of making an impact fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up from a spell. Competitive effort when 2nd last start at Oak Park. Not at all out of this race.

Track has proven suitable before; produced an encouraging effort (runner-up of seven, beaten 2l) at Oak Park over 1m (handicap) dropped back in distance three months ago; should give it a bold bid.

RSIS

Back after a break. Finished 2nd last start at Oak Park. Could feature here.

5WhirlwindScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Dry Spell
Negative
Recent form uninspiring

Comments

AAP

Modest performance at Ewan. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Finished 4th last time at Ewan but carrying less weight this time. Struggling this campaign with no placings from 6 attempts.

RSIS

Finished 4th last run at Ewan but suited by the weight drop. Struggling in recent runs.

6Manhattan'sJ: Sean Cormack·T: F J Wieland354kg2 4 6 7 734: 3-5-24.802.25

Career

34: 3-5-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
7: 1-1-0
Second-up
6: 0-1-1
Third-up
6: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
6: 1-0-0
Track Innisfail
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-1-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-1-0
Distance 1300m
6: 0-2-0
Going Good
18: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
11: 1-2-1

Last starts

7Gordonvale1360m3 Oct 2026 · BM654.55L
7Townsville1400m8 Sept 2026 · BM60 · GOOD45.28L
6Cairns1450m22 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 70 · SOFT62.8L
4Innisfail1100m15 Aug 2026 · BM652.9L
2Cairns1500m4 Apr 2026 · BM65 · HEAVY103.1L
3Townsville1400m31 Mar 2026 · BM65 · GOOD43.9L
6Cairns1250m12 Mar 2026 · BM65 · HEAVY85.8L
5Cairns1250m16 Feb 2026 · BM75 · HEAVY86L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 5%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Started $7 when safely held in Benchmark 65 company at Gordonvale. Remote place hope at best.

ILB

On a short back up. Started at $12.00 and basic showing when 7th last start at Gordonvale. Has very good finishing speed. Expecting a solid performance.

Not disgraced in seventh over 7f at Gordonvale (handicap) a week ago; form has an uneven look to it; others appeal more.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Started at 11/1 and lacked competitiveness when 7th last run at Gordonvale. Can go through the gears. Looks a nice proposition.

7Naughty NurseScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Ex K A Lees in QLD. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Gold Coast. Back to a country Class 4 and warrants attention.

ILB

Odds of $8.50 and came in 7th last run at Gold Coast and will be dropping in distance. Coming to a new trainer and will benefit with the weight drop.

RSIS

Started 15/2 and came in 7th last start at Gold Coast and will be facing a significant drop in distance. First start for a new trainer.

8Aoom's ChoiceJ: Ben Kennedy·T: Kayla Russell754kg11 10 5 8 519: 2-1-231.007.00

Career

19: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
1: 0-0-1
Track Toowoomba
7: 2-1-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
11: 1-0-1
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Ewan1200m26 Sept 2026 · BM457.19L
8Kilcoy1500m20 June 2026 · 0 - 58 · SOFT58.57L
5Toowoomba925m2 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)12.3L
10Toowoomba1890m25 Apr 2026 · CL3 · GOOD414.6L
11Doomben2030m1 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT515.5L
8Toowoomba1625m28 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD45L
5Gatton2000m25 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD44.6L
6Gatton1600m9 Jan 2026 · CL2 · GOOD42.4L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 8kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Ewan for new stable. Has a tricky draw. New to Cairns. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Started $15.00 and finished 5th last run at Ewan but dropping weight. Should jump out and bowl along. Tough race will need luck.

Fair effort when beaten 7l, finishing fifth of eight at Ewan over 6f (handicap) last month on debut for this trainer; this is her grade.

RSIS

Started 14/1 and came in 5th last run at Ewan but will appreciate the drop in weight. Has early pace and positions nicely.

9BombinateJ: Rachel Shred·T: Louise Terzi654kg1 6 7 5 931: 2-3-526.006.00

Career

31: 2-3-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
2: 0-0-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-0
Track Atherton
4: 1-0-1
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
8: 1-0-1
Going Unknown
12: 1-2-1
Going Good
11: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Atherton1400m19 Sept 2026 · BM507.47L
5Mareeba1210m5 Sept 2026 · BM552.5L
7Oak Park1400m3 July 2026 · 0 - 5510.6L
6Innisfail1500m20 June 2026 · BM502L
1Atherton1400m13 June 2026 · BM60-1.5
4Mareeba1800m23 May 2026 · BM655.9L
6Cairns1400m15 May 2026 · BM50 · HEAVY93.8L
4Mount Garnett1680m1 May 2026 · BM6011.2L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -61%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 6.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Ridden back and never a factor at Atherton. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Disappointing display when 9th last run at Atherton but gets some weight relief. Likely to settle back in the field. Much prefer the look of others in this race.

Finished ninth of 12 at Atherton 22 days ago; not really built on success in a handicap in June at Atherton; passed over.

RSIS

Underperformed when 9th last start at Atherton but gets a reduction in weight. Prefers to settle towards the rear.

10EgzaklyJ: Samantha Pointon·T: Kayla Russell454kg4 4 7 2 815: 1-2-281.0017.00

Career

15: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Pentland
1: 0-0-1
Track Bowen
1: 0-1-0
Track Ewan
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 820m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
7: 1-1-1

Last starts

8Ewan820m26 Sept 2026 · BM6510.31L
2Bowen1000m21 June 2026 · CLB6.1L
7Home Hill1000m16 May 2026 · BM50 · GOOD49.2L
4Home Hill1000m18 Apr 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42.7L
4Home Hill1000m14 Feb 2026 · CLB2.02L
10Townsville1000m24 Jan 2026 · BM55 · SOFT57.6L
9Cairns950m20 Dec 2025 · CL4 · SOFT513L
3Pentland1000m22 Nov 2025 · CLB1.3L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Samantha Pointon current POT is 12% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Ewan first run back. First try at 1450m. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Jumped at $91.00 and moderate showing when 8th last run at Ewan but rising in trip. Has plenty of early speed. Unlikely to feature.

Last of eight over 4f at Ewan (handicap) last month; stamina to prove at this trip so one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Started 90/1 and mediocre performance when 8th last time at Ewan but facing a rise in trip. Should muster plenty of early pace.

Odds correct as at 4:20 am AEDT. Odds can change.