Ascot (WA) horsestips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Ascot (WA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Saturday 10 October 2026

Race 10 — Yes Loans (Rs1mw) 1200m · jumps 8:36 pm AEDT

Race notes

3UP GRAD HCP 60+,3yo+,GRAD HCP 60+,Rest 1 Metro Win
SOFT6
Overcast
13 runners

Shortest win price

Fine Star (4)

2.50

Most career wins

I'm Crafty

5-2-2 from 27 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

4Fine Star

Offmidfield

1I'm Crafty
10Katona
11Return Of The Mach

Midfield

3On Patrol

Offpace

2Kraken Time
6King's Drama
7Regal Service

Onpace

9Eye Of The Sun
13Wolf Whistle Zel

Leader

12Rok 'N' Rom
8Cosmic Treat
5God's Gate

I'm Crafty · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Kraken Time · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
On Patrol · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Fine Star · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1I'm CraftyJ: Clint Johnston-Porter·T: B S Seinor559.5kg9 1 4 3 127: 5-2-210.003.20

Career

27: 5-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 2-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Belmont
7: 1-0-1
Track Northam
2: 1-0-0
Track Pinjarra
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1190m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 2-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-0
Going Good
20: 4-2-2

Last starts

1Bunbury1200m17 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL5 57+ HCP · GOOD-2
3Pinjarra1300m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL5 59+ HCP · GOOD41L
4Belmont1300m4 July 2026 · 2UP 60+ HCP · SOFT61.6L
1Northam1400m18 June 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT-0.75
9Belmont1600m30 May 2026 · 2UP 1MW GRAD HCP 60+ · SOFT65L
8Belmont1400m23 May 2026 · 2UP RTG 60+ · GOOD43.1L
9Ascot1400m9 May 2026 · 2UP HCP 60+ · GOOD42.3L
4Narrogin1190m23 Apr 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD30.8L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Produced an explosive 1.9 lenght win at Bunbury. Capable of figuring again.

ILB

Reeled them in to win last start at Bunbury and showing improvement in recent outings. Expected to settle towards the tail. Do not dismiss.

Successful by 2l at Bunbury last month; has won at this course; may be sharper for most recent run and on the shortlist.

RSIS

Reeled them in when winning last run at Bunbury and form has been improving over recent runs. Might have to make up considerable ground.

2Kraken TimeJ: Holly Watson·T: Mitchell Pateman1059.5kg2 1 5 1 517: 3-3-25.502.15

Career

17: 3-3-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-2-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Northam
1: 1-0-0
Track Pinjarra
3: 0-1-0
Track Ascot
6: 1-2-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-1-1
Distance 1200m
8: 2-2-0
Going Good
10: 0-3-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 3-0-1

Last starts

5Belmont1200m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP RTG 66+ HCP · GOOD44.05L
1Belmont1000m31 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
5Ascot1100m15 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.6L
1Ascot1200m25 Oct 2025 · 4UP 58+ 0MWLY SC · SOFT5-1.2
2Ascot1100m11 Oct 2025 · 4UP 0MWLY 58+ HCP · GOOD40.5L
5Belmont1200m13 Sept 2025 · 0MWLY · SOFT64L
5Belmont1200m30 Aug 2025 · 3UP 66+ HCP · SOFT61.4L
6Pinjarra1000m21 June 2025 · 2UP 1MW 59+ HCP · HEAVY96.1L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 69%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 45% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 17%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Found a spot back off the pace but went backwards when the whips were cracking at Belmont Park off extended spell. Better for the outing. Among the dangers.

ILB

Was $6.50 and faded at the finish when 5th last time at Belmont. All 3 wins have been on a soft surface. Will attract plenty of interest.

A winner over C&D; out of the frame (beaten 4l in fifth) at Belmont Park 14 days ago; the trainer continues to be among winners recently; this looks a fair heat so others more appealing.

RSIS

At 11/2 tired late when 5th last time at Belmont. All 3 wins have been on soft ground. Will go close here.

3On PatrolJ: Natika Riordan·T: S & J Casey659.5kg4 2 8 2 537: 3-9-217.004.00

Career

37: 3-9-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 1-3-0
Second-up
5: 1-2-0
Third-up
5: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-0
Track Belmont
10: 2-2-1
Track Pinjarra
3: 1-0-0
Track Ascot
23: 0-6-1
Distance 1200m
11: 2-3-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
18: 1-4-2
Going Good
28: 2-7-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-2-1

Last starts

5Belmont1200m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.2L
2Ascot1400m28 Feb 2026 · 4UP NMWLY HCP · GOOD40.2L
8Pinjarra1400m14 Feb 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD42.1L
2Ascot1500m31 Jan 2026 · 2UP GRAD 60+ HCP · GOOD40.4L
4Ascot1200m14 Jan 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD42.2L
2Ascot1200m1 Jan 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY RTG 58+ HCP · GOOD40.6L
2Belmont1000m22 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial0.3L
4Belmont1300m6 Sept 2025 · 4UP 0MWLY 58+ HCP · HEAVY87.9L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (32-weeks). Nearly won in Rst 0 Met Win-LY company first-up last campaign while tuned with 2 trials. Dual winner this trip. Shapes as a rough place prospect fresh in this company.

ILB

Back after a 32 week break. Just short of the win last time at this track. Large claim helps. Best to watch and see.

Beaten narrowly over 7f here (handicap) in February; returning from a layoff here; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Fresh today after a break of 32 weeks. Competed in a tight contest last start here. Large claim helps.

4Fine StarJ: Chris Parnham·T: Simon Miller358kg1 1 8 3 17: 2-2-12.501.36

Career

7: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ascot
4: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-0-1
Track Belmont
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 2-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 1-1-0

Last starts

1Belmont1000m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1
3Ascot1600m15 Nov 2025 · 3yo · GOOD42.6L
8Ascot1400m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo · GOOD43.8L
1Ascot1200m15 Oct 2025 · 3UP CL1 HCP 50+ · GOOD4-1.3
1Belmont1200m10 Sept 2025 · 3Y 0MWLY 52+ HCP · SOFT5-0.1
2Belmont1300m3 Sept 2025 · 3Y 0MWLY 54+ HCP · SOFT50.3L
2Pinjarra1000m20 Aug 2025 · 3Y 0MWLY 50+ HCP · HEAVY80.1L
3Belmont1000m4 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial0.8L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 329 day break (> 300 days)
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (47-weeks). Has decent Stakes form. Nearly got the chocolates in Rst 0 Met Win-LY company first-up last time in while warmed up with an impressive trial. Worth a look fresh in this company.

ILB

First up from a break of 47 weeks. Good run when finishing 3rd beaten by more than 2 1/2L last time at the track. Back in trip. Watch the betting.

Gave good account to finish third last November in a Group 3; brings winning C&D form to the table; returns from a layoff here; likely to be involved with drop in class a positive.

RSIS

First run back after a 47 week break. Attacked the line when 3rd beaten by more than 2 1/2L last time around here and lining up against easier rivals.

5God's GateJ: Steven Parnham·T: N D Parnham957kg2 2 3 6 1323: 3-6-115.003.90

Career

23: 3-6-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 2-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-2-0
Track Ascot
7: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 0-1-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
12: 1-3-0
Distance 1300m
5: 2-2-1
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 3-4-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-2-0

Last starts

13Belmont1400m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP 1MW GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD44.6L
6Belmont1200m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP 1MW HCP 60+ HCP · SOFT52.3L
3Belmont1300m29 Aug 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY 57+ · GOOD40.8L
2Belmont1300m15 Aug 2026 · 4UP 58+ 0MWLY SPEC COND HT 1 · GOOD40.7L
2Belmont1200m1 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW HCP 60+ · SOFT50.3L
1Pinjarra1300m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL5 59+ HCP · GOOD4-0.8
6Belmont1200m4 July 2026 · 4UP 58+ HCP · SOFT63.7L
4Belmont1000m22 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.1L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -25%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Went home tamely at Belmont Park at $13. Coming back in distance should suit. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Odds of $13.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 13th last time at Belmont. Will be positive in the run early. May find these too slick.

Finished last of 13 over 7f at Belmont Park (handicap) last month; this is competitive and looks an unlikely winner.

RSIS

Started at 12/1 and folded up in the straight when 13th last time at Belmont. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.

6King's DramaJ: Zephen Johnston-Porter·T: C & M Gangemi257kg1 7 4 4 820: 3-1-723.004.60

Career

20: 3-1-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Ascot
6: 1-0-4
Track CurrentTrack
6: 1-0-4
Track Bunbury
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
12: 1-1-4
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1200m
5: 2-0-1
Going Good
16: 2-1-7
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0

Last starts

8Belmont1200m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GRAD HCP 60+ · SOFT53.61L
4Belmont1000m9 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD40.9L
4Belmont1000m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW HCP 60+ · GOOD42.1L
7Belmont1000m17 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.5L
1Belmont1200m17 June 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · SOFT6-0.1
5Belmont1000m30 May 2026 · 2UP GRAD HCP 60+ · SOFT62.4L
3Belmont1000m20 May 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD41L
3Ascot1000m6 May 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD41L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 89%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Performance just fair at Belmont Park over this journey at $21. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Started at $21.00 and faded to finish 8th last time at Belmont but suited at this distance historically. Drawn nicely. Prefer in something a lot easier.

Has won here before; not disgraced in eighth (Belmont Park) last month; passed over as this looks a decent race.

RSIS

Was 20/1 and struggled with the pace when 8th last start at Belmont but proven performer at this trip. Has a positive stall.

7Regal ServiceJ: Brad Parnham·T: Michael Grantham1156kg1 2 2 16 26: 1-2-016.004.00

Career

6: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
2: 0-1-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1427m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0

Last starts

2Lark Hill950m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.7L
16Pinjarra1300m28 June 2025 · 2UP GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD49.48L
2Bunbury1200m14 June 2025 · 2UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · SOFT50.1L
2Northam1300m2 June 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT50.2L
1Pinjarra1200m22 May 2025 · 2UP SW MDN · GOOD4-1
2Lark Hill950m5 May 2025 · Barrier Trial0.4L
5Bunbury1427m11 July 2024 · Maiden · SOFT53.55L
7Belmont1300m26 June 2024 · Maiden · SOFT53.26L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming after a (67-weeks) spell. Fresh winner at Pinjarra last campaign while solid in a pair of lead-up trial runs. Has an adverse draw for return. Always a challenge off long break but capable and keep a close watch on the market.

ILB

First up and strong effort to the line to win first up last preparation at Pinjarra. Not in this.

First-time blinkers no help over 6½f at Pinjarra (handicap) when last of 16 last June; been off the track a long time; meeting some horses in good form and others more likely.

RSIS

Resuming and dashed home to win resuming last preparation at Pinjarra.

8Cosmic TreatJ: Lucy F Fiore·T: D T Mcauliffe454kg8 8 2 8 111: 2-2-07.002.50

Career

11: 2-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
5: 0-2-0
Track Pinjarra
4: 1-0-0
Track Bunbury
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
6: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Bunbury1200m28 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD4-2.28
8Belmont1400m16 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 F&M 54+ HCP · GOOD45.65L
2Belmont1400m2 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD40.8L
8Belmont1300m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP 1MW SC 60+ HCP · SOFT54.5L
8Belmont1200m1 Aug 2026 · 4UP 0MWLY HCP 58+ · SOFT53.8L
8Pinjarra1300m22 July 2026 · 2UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD42.1L
2Belmont1200m8 July 2026 · 3Y 0MWLY 52+ HCP · SOFT51.6L
1Lark Hill400m15 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-1.3

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Disposed of them easily at Bunbury. New to Ascot. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Stormed home to win last start at Bunbury but racing against tougher rivals. Should muster plenty of early speed. Watch for a sign in the market.

Got the job done by just over 2l (Bunbury) 12 days ago; despite that Bunbury success, may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Ran over the top of them when winning last run at Bunbury but rising in grade. Displays good tactical pace. Watch for a sign in the market.

9Eye Of The SunJ: Natasha Faithfull·T: Ms A King754kg14 3 1 2 44: 1-1-026.004.80

Career

4: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
2: 1-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0

Last starts

4Belmont1000m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP 1MW GRAD HCP 60+ · GOOD41.23L
2Bunbury1200m17 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL1 50+ HCP · GOOD40.19L
1Belmont1200m29 July 2026 · 2Y MDN SW · GOOD4-0.7
3Lark Hill950m13 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD3.9L
14Ascot1000m21 Feb 2026 · 2Y SWP · GOOD459.7L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 221%

Comments

AAP

Went close at Bunbury 17 Sep. Not far off them in the small field at Belmont Park. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Odds of $4.80 and basic showing when 4th last start at Belmont. Displays good tactical speed. Putting up notable efforts since resuming from a spell. This will pose a challenge.

Far from disgraced (beaten just over 1l) over 5f at Belmont Park (handicap) 14 days ago; lightly raced (running for just the fifth time).

RSIS

Started at 4/1 and not up to standard when 4th last run at Belmont. Has plenty of early pace. In a purple patch of form since resuming from a break.

10KatonaJ: Shaun O'Donnell·T: R G Turrell Jnr1354kg6 7 7 5 1054: 4-4-5126.0017.00

Career

54: 4-4-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
11: 0-0-0
Second-up
10: 0-0-2
Third-up
9: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
6: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
13: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
6: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
25: 1-2-3
Going Good
42: 3-4-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-0-2

Last starts

10Belmont1200m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP GRAD HCP 60+ · SOFT53.86L
5Northam1100m27 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL5 58+ HCP · HEAVY92.5L
7Pinjarra1300m14 Feb 2026 · 2UP GRAD 1MW HCP 60+ · GOOD45.1L
7Ascot1400m4 Feb 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD44.4L
6Ascot1200m14 Jan 2026 · 0MWLY · GOOD44L
12Ascot1200m13 Dec 2025 · 3UP 1MW 60+ HCP · GOOD415.7L
13Ascot1200m1 Nov 2025 · 0MWLY · GOOD411.1L
15Ascot1200m11 Oct 2025 · 3UP RTG 66+ HCP · GOOD46.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 10% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 17%
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Under a hold, only battled home at Belmont Park second-up. Trained on track but has an adverse draw. Facing an uphill task.

ILB

Started $151.00 and looked flat when 10th last start at Belmont. Might have to make up considerable ground. Priced to finish behind most.

Has won here previously; largely been out of sorts; finished tenth of 12 at Belmont Park last month; a lot on his plate here and others more likely.

RSIS

Odds of 150/1 and mediocre attempt when 10th last start at Belmont. Prefers to settle towards the tail.

11Return Of The MachJ: Jefferson Tsang·T: A G Durrant854kg6 4 4 1 213: 2-2-312.003.60

Career

13: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-1-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Northam
2: 1-0-0
Track Ascot
5: 0-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-2
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 1-1-3
Going Good
12: 2-2-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Bunbury1200m17 Sept 2026 · 3UP CL5 57+ HCP · GOOD2L
1Lark Hill950m7 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.5
4Northam1100m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL5 58+ HCP · GOOD41.8L
4Lark Hill950m13 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD2.5L
6Bunbury1400m26 Feb 2026 · 2UP CL5 60+ HCP · GOOD45.7L
3Ascot1200m15 Feb 2026 · 2UP CL3 54+ HCP · GOOD42.8L
9Ascot1200m24 Jan 2026 · 2UP 1MW HCP 60+ · GOOD45.8L
7Ascot1400m10 Jan 2026 · 2UP 1MW 60+ HCP · GOOD43.7L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 11% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jefferson Tsang 20% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Key Jockey
Positive
Jefferson Tsang winning at 7% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 17%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Reined back to last from the wide gate, wound up at Bunbury when second-up. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Showed a good turn of foot when 2nd beaten by 2L last time at Bunbury and form has been improving over recent runs. Should get going late. Capable of winning this.

Favourite when second at Bunbury behind I'm Crafty last month; is passed over as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Did well to run into 2nd last start at Bunbury and getting better in recent performances. Has very good finishing pace. Jefferson Tsang takes a large claim. Good potential.

12Rok 'N' RomJ: Holly Nottle·T: Josh Brown1254kg1 1 15 42: 1-0-014.003.90

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

4Belmont850m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.4L
15Ascot1200m18 Apr 2026 · 2yo · SOFT512.05L
1Ascot1200m1 Apr 2026 · 2YO SWP · SOFT5-0.57
1Belmont1000m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.7

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -65% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 11%
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Ascot
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (25-weeks). More developed now. Tuned up by recent trial. Started career on a fair note, but failed to back it up. Can fill the minors here fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up and led and controlled the pace when winning by 1/2L first up last preparation at this track. Has the speed to overcome the wide barrier. Betting is the best guide.

Finished towards the rear of 16 in a Group 2 six months ago; has winning C&D form to her name; returning from a layoff here; a big player as would have leading chance if back in the same form she showed when winning two starts ago and down in grade.

RSIS

Resuming and set the tempo when winning by a margin of 1/2L resuming last preparation at the track. Competing in a less challenging grade.

13Wolf Whistle ZelJ: Joey Azzopardi·T: J P Taylor154kg3 10 11 10 55: 1-1-019.004.20

Career

5: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 1-0-0
Track Ascot
4: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Belmont1000m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L
10Ascot1400m2 May 2026 · 2yo · GOOD413L
11Ascot1200m18 Apr 2026 · 2yo · SOFT57.32L
10Ascot1100m4 Apr 2026 · 2yo · GOOD44.5L
3Belmont1000m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.2L
1Pinjarra1200m3 Jan 2026 · 2Y SWP · GOOD4-0.1
2Ascot1000m20 Dec 2025 · 2Y SWP · GOOD41L
2Belmont1000m8 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial0.9L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 36% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 43% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Given two trials and has placed first-up. Lone victory was over this trip. One for exotics fresh in this company.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Was $101.00 and tailed off to finish 10th last time here but has drawn the rails. Should race on the speed. Won't find this easy.

Was tenth of 11, beaten 13l, in May in a Group 3; returning from a layoff here; in the mix if replicating the best of his form and lower class is a plus.

RSIS

Fresh today. Started at 100/1 and gave away some ground when 10th last start at this venue but drawn well. Should race on the pace.

Odds correct as at 4:12 am AEDT. Odds can change.