Two absolute heavyweights clash in this epic 1/2 round blockbuster on Mon, 5 Oct at 10:00 pm AEDT! Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev go toe-to-toe with a spot in the final on the line.

The numbers say this match is set to be a classic. If you are searching for top tennis predictions ahead of the action, the stats feed provides plenty of clear angles to back.

Who Will Win? Medvedev Favoured On The Board

Daniil Medvedev comes into this clash as the world rank 6 player with a solid 41-16 record this season. He is coming off a win on Sun, 4 Oct and has won four of his past five outings overall.

Novak Djokovic sits at world rank 11 with a 17-7 record in 2026, also coming off a win on Sun, 4 Oct after taking down three straight victories. When it comes to head-to-head battles, Djokovic holds a strong 10-5 career edge over Medvedev, including a 5-3 record on hard courts and a win in their most recent meeting in September 2023. While Medvedev holds the higher current rank, Djokovic's overall career win rate of 83% jumps off the page. Head to head market prices have Medvedev as the favourite on the board.

Head to HeadOdds correct as at 7:14 am AEDT. Odds can change.
Our tipNovak Djokovic2.31Daniil Medvedev1.62
Solid tickOur tip: Novak Djokovic. Djokovic holds a commanding 10-5 head-to-head record over Medvedev and enters on a three-match winning run.

Tipped at $2.31 (6:14 am AEDT). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

10–5

Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev

Hard5-3
Clay0-1
Grass1-0
Indoor4-1
88%1st set → match win % (H2H)57%
60%Deciding set win % (H2H)40%
74%1st serve points won %69%
38%Return points won %35%

Set Handicap: Value On The Line

The set handicap line is set at 1.5 sets for this high-stakes contest. Djokovic getting +1.5 sets rates a real chance considering his 10-5 overall head-to-head record against Medvedev.

With Djokovic taking four of the past five head-to-head meetings between this pair, covering the +1.5 set start is a big tick.

SetsOdds correct as at 7:14 am AEDT. Odds can change.
Our tipNovak Djokovic +1.51.50Daniil Medvedev -1.52.45
Big tickOur tip: Novak Djokovic +1.5. Djokovic has won four of the last five meetings against Medvedev, making the +1.5 set line a compelling play.

Tipped at $1.50 (6:14 am AEDT). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Novak Djokoviclast 5

−1.5 cover rate20%1/5
+1.5 cover rate100%5/5
Straight-sets wins20%1/5

Daniil Medvedevlast 5

−1.5 cover rate100%5/5
+1.5 cover rate100%5/5
Straight-sets wins100%5/5
20%−1.5 cover % (form)100%
H2H −1.5 cover (Novak Djokovic)40%2/5

Total Games: Expect A Hard-Fought Battle

The total games line is set at 22.5 games. Tightly contested encounters have been common when these two lock horns, including a three-set battle in November 2022.

With both stars coming off victories on Sun, 4 Oct, a hard-fought match that goes over 22.5 games looks like a strong angle.

GamesOdds correct as at 7:14 am AEDT. Odds can change.
Our tipOver 22.51.80Under 22.52.00
Solid tickOur tip: Over 22.5. Past head-to-head battles and current form point toward an extended contest that tops 22.5 total games.

Tipped at $1.80 (6:14 am AEDT). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Match total games

Average games from recent scorelines · marker shows live line 22.5.

Novak Djokovic matches (n=5)avg 32.2vs 22.5
1637
Daniil Medvedev matches (n=5)avg 20.6vs 22.5
1637
H2H meetings (n=5)avg 26.6vs 22.5
1637

Hit rate vs 22.5

Novak Djokovicn=5
Over 80%Under 20%
Daniil Medvedevn=5
Over 0%Under 100%
H2Hn=5
Over 60%Under 40%
16.4Avg games won (form)12.6