It is Final time on the ATP circuit as world No. 11 Novak Djokovic prepares to throw down with world No. 9 Alex de Minaur. Scheduled for Tuesday, 6 Oct at 10:00 pm AEDT, this championship clash brings two high-calibre stars face-to-face for silverware. If you are looking for top-tier tennis predictions, this match-up jumps off the page as an absolute cracker.

Head To Head: Who Wins The Final?

The numbers say Djokovic holds the upper hand in their direct history, taking a 3-1 head-to-head record over De Minaur across four previous meetings. The Serbian star enters this contest sporting an 18-7 record for the year and a remarkable 83% career win rate (1192-243 overall), coming off a win in his last start on Sunday, 4 Oct.

De Minaur brings serious momentum into this clash, boasting 40 match wins this season (40-18 YTD record) and one title already under his belt. The Australian superstar is coming off a win on Monday, 5 Oct against Hubert Hurkacz and has pieced together four consecutive victories. The head-to-head board lists Djokovic as the favourite at 1.52, while De Minaur sits at 2.55.

Head to HeadOdds correct as at 8:14 am AEDT. Odds can change.
Our tipNovak Djokovic1.54Alex de Minaur2.50
Solid tickOur tip: Novak Djokovic. Djokovic carries a 3-1 career head-to-head lead over De Minaur along with an 83% career winning rate.

Tipped at $1.52 (6:14 am AEDT). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

3–1

Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur

Hard1-1
Clay1-0
Grass1-0
100%1st set → match win % (H2H)50%
0%Deciding set win % (H2H)0%
70%1st serve points won %64%
42%Return points won %37%

Set Handicap Analysis

In the set handicap market, Djokovic lays -1.5 sets priced at 2.35, while De Minaur with a +1.5 set start is listed at 1.55. With De Minaur winning four straight matches and carrying 40 season wins, backing the Aussie to claim at least one set rates a real chance in what should be a hard-fought contest.

SetsOdds correct as at 8:14 am AEDT. Odds can change.
Novak Djokovic -1.52.35Our tipAlex de Minaur +1.51.55
Solid tickOur tip: Alex de Minaur +1.5. De Minaur enters on a four-match winning streak and has secured 40 victories this season.

Tipped at $1.55 (6:14 am AEDT). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Set handicap (±1.5) form

−1.5 cover = won by two or more sets. Charts use recent completed scorelines.

Novak Djokoviclast 4

−1.5 cover rate25%1/4
+1.5 cover rate100%4/4
Straight-sets wins25%1/4

Alex de Minaurlast 4

−1.5 cover rate25%1/4
+1.5 cover rate100%4/4
Straight-sets wins25%1/4
25%−1.5 cover % (form)25%
H2H −1.5 cover (Novak Djokovic)75%3/4

Total Games Market

The total games benchmark is set at 22.5 games, with both the Over and Under options offering 1.90. With both players coming off impressive winning form and competing for a title, a competitive match that goes deep gets a big tick.

GamesOdds correct as at 8:14 am AEDT. Odds can change.
Our tipOver 22.51.90Under 22.51.90
Solid tickOur tip: Over 22.5. Both players are coming off last-start wins and should push each other in a high-stakes final.

Tipped at $1.90 (6:14 am AEDT). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Match total games

Average games from recent scorelines · marker shows live line 22.5.

Novak Djokovic matches (n=4)avg 33.3vs 22.5
1838
Alex de Minaur matches (n=4)avg 30vs 22.5
1838
H2H meetings (n=4)avg 25.5vs 22.5
1838

Hit rate vs 22.5

Novak Djokovicn=4
Over 75%Under 25%
Alex de Minaurn=4
Over 75%Under 25%
H2Hn=4
Over 50%Under 50%
17Avg games won (form)15.8