Big clash on the cards this Mon 16 Nov, 12:10 pm AEDT as the Milwaukee Bucks host the Atlanta Hawks! The numbers say there is a massive gulf in efficiency between these two teams, making this game a key fixture for your nba tips selection.

Atlanta enters sitting fourth in the standings with a 7-6 record, averaging 118.2 points per game on a fast 102.7 pace. Meanwhile, Milwaukee has struggled out of the gates at 1-12, yielding 120.2 points per contest with a net rating of -14.2.

Who Takes Out The Win?

Looking at the head-to-head board, Atlanta rates a real chance as 1.3 favourites playing away, while Milwaukee sits at 3.5 to defend home floor.

The stats feed jumps off the page when comparing net differential. The Hawks carry a +1.31 margin per game and an offensive rating of 114.2, spearheaded by Nickeil Alexander-Walker (21.5 pts per game) and Jalen Johnson (20.0 pts, 7.5 ast, 8.8 reb). Milwaukee's defensive rating of 121.9 makes it tough to build a winning case, despite Tyler Herro leading their scoring with 21.6 points per game alongside Jaime Jaquez Jr. at 16.5 points.

Head to Head
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Big tickOur tip: Atlanta Hawks. Atlanta's 7-6 record and +1.31 margin per game stand out against Milwaukee's 1-12 season start.

Tipped at $1.30 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

106.2Season avg points for118.2
120.2Season avg points against116.8
8%Season win rate54%
-14.2Net rating+1.3
107.7Offensive rating114.2
121.9Defensive rating112.9
98.6Pace102.7
34.2%Three-point percentage34.1%

Leading scorers

Season points per game.

Milwaukee Bucks

PlayerPts
Tyler HerroSG21.6
Jaime Jaquez Jr.SF16.5
Kyle KuzmaPF11.1

Atlanta Hawks

PlayerPts
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerSG21.5
Jalen JohnsonPF20.0
Aaron WigginsSG14.5

Line Analysis

The line is set at 7.5 points, with Milwaukee receiving a +7.5 start at 1.9 while Atlanta lays -7.5 at 1.9.

Milwaukee’s average margin per game sits at -14.08, while Atlanta holds a +1.31 average margin. With a 15.39 point gap in average differential between the two sides this season, Atlanta covering the -7.5 line gets a big tick based on the numbers.

Line
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Solid tickOur tip: Atlanta Hawks -7.5. Milwaukee's average margin of -14.08 per game suggests Atlanta has the firepower to cover the 7.5-point line.

Tipped at $1.90 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Line context

Season average margin, set against this match's line. The marker is the margin that covers.

Milwaukee Bucksavg -14.08vs -7.5
-18.15.4
Atlanta Hawksavg 1.31vs 7.5
-18.15.4
-14.1Average margin+1.3
-14.2Net rating+1.3

Total Points View

The match total line is set at 224.5 points, with the Over priced at 1.32 and the Under paying 3.25.

Combining Milwaukee's scoring average of 106.2 points per game with Atlanta's 118.2 yields a total of 224.4 points per game. However, defensive stats tell a higher-scoring story: Milwaukee concedes 120.2 points per game, while Atlanta gives up 116.8. With Atlanta pushing a quick pace of 102.7 possessions per game, the Over looks well positioned.

Total Points
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Big tickOur tip: Over 224.5. The two teams concede a combined 237.0 points per game, matching up with Atlanta's high pace of 102.7.

Tipped at $1.32 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Total points

Hit rate vs 224.5

Season points per game. Marker is the live total of 224.5.

Both attacksavg 224.4vs 224.5
196.1265.3
Milwaukee Bucks attack vs Atlanta Hawks defenceavg 223vs 224.5
196.1265.3
Atlanta Hawks attack vs Milwaukee Bucks defenceavg 238.4vs 224.5
196.1265.3

Combined pace 100.7 possessions per game.

Same Game Multi Options

Popular Same Game Multi combinations are on the board for this fixture. One option features Hawks win by 11+, Over 234.5 points & Dyson Daniels to get 6+ assists at 7.5.

Another combo on offer is Hawks -7.5 point spread, N. Alexander-Walker to get 25+ points & J. Johnson to get 25+ points sitting at 9.5.