Sunday morning hoops brings a cracker as the Cleveland Cavaliers (6-6) play host to the Dallas Mavericks (7-5) at 11:40 am AEDT on Sunday 15 Nov. If you are scanning the latest nba betting tips for this inter-conference battle, the stats serve up plenty of action to unpack. Cleveland come into this clash posting a net rating of 2.1 and scoring 116.4 points per game, while Dallas pack a 7-5 record with an offensive rating of 113.7.

Who Will Win? Cavs Face Mavs in Sunday Clash

The numbers say Cleveland have the edge on home soil with an offensive rating of 116.5 and a net rating of 2.1 across their 12 games this season. Donovan Mitchell leads the charge for the Cavs averaging 22.8 points and 5.5 assists per game, backed up by Evan Mobley (16.9 points, 7.3 rebounds) and James Harden (16.7 points, 5.6 assists). That trio gives Cleveland serious firepower to stretch defensive units.

Dallas are no easy mark though, carrying a 7-5 record behind standout individual performances from Cooper Flagg (24.6 points, 6.9 rebounds) and Kyrie Irving (21.6 points, 4.3 assists). P.J. Washington also adds 14.3 points and 7.3 boards per game. However, with Dallas allowing 112.2 points per game and holding a net rating of 1.0, Cleveland's higher scoring output rates a real chance to grab the win at 1.75 in head to head markets, while Dallas sit at 2.05.

Head to Head
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Solid tickOur tip: Cleveland Cavaliers. Cleveland's 116.5 offensive rating and 116.4 points per game give them a scoring edge over Dallas.

Tipped at $1.75 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

116.4Season avg points for113.2
114.3Season avg points against112.2
50%Season win rate58%
+2.1Net rating+1.0
116.5Offensive rating113.7
114.4Defensive rating112.7
99.1Pace99.6
36.9%Three-point percentage33.6%

Leading scorers

Season points per game.

Cleveland Cavaliers

PlayerPts
Donovan MitchellSG22.8
Evan MobleyPF16.9
James HardenPG16.7

Dallas Mavericks

PlayerPts
Cooper FlaggSF24.6
Kyrie IrvingPG21.6
P.J. WashingtonPF14.3

Line Analysis: Can Cavs Cover -2.5?

The line is set at 2.5 points, with Cleveland laying -2.5 at 1.90 and Dallas taking +2.5 at 1.90. The stat that jumps off the page is Cleveland's positive margin per game of 2.08 points compared to Dallas's 1.0.

With Cleveland generating 116.4 points per game against Dallas's 113.2 points per game, the Cavs have shown they can push clear in close contests. Covering a 2.5-point line looks well within reach for the home side based on their season offensive numbers.

Line
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Solid tickOur tip: Cleveland Cavaliers -2.5. With a positive margin per game of 2.08 points, Cleveland rate a strong chance to clear the 2.5-point line.

Tipped at $1.90 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Line context

Season average margin, set against this match's line. The marker is the margin that covers.

Cleveland Cavaliersavg 2.08vs -1.5
-5.56.1
Dallas Mavericksavg 1vs 1.5
-5.56.1
+2.1Average margin+1.0
+2.1Net rating+1.0

Total Points: Eyeing Over 231.5 Points

Bookies have set the total points benchmark at 231.5 points (Over 1.90, Under 1.90). Both sides play at a steady tempo, with Cleveland recording a pace of 99.1 possessions per game and Dallas slightly higher at 99.6.

When looking at scoring averages, Cleveland score 116.4 points per game while conceding 114.3. Meanwhile, Dallas average 113.2 points per game scored and 112.2 conceded. Combining these team scoring outputs suggests a match total leaning past the 231.5 mark, giving the Over a big tick.

Total Points
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Solid tickOur tip: Over 231.5. Both teams average over 113 points per game scored, pointing toward a high-scoring contest above 231.5 points.

Tipped at $1.90 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Total points

Hit rate vs 221.5

Season points per game. Marker is the live total of 221.5.

Both attacksavg 229.6vs 221.5
194.9256.2
Cleveland Cavaliers attack vs Dallas Mavericks defenceavg 228.6vs 221.5
194.9256.2
Dallas Mavericks attack vs Cleveland Cavaliers defenceavg 227.5vs 221.5
194.9256.2

Combined pace 99.4 possessions per game.