The 3rd Test between England and Pakistan arrives at Edgbaston, Birmingham on Wed, 9 Sept, 8:00 pm AEST, and the host nation holds all the momentum. Back-to-back victories against Pakistan in August have set up a huge opportunity for England to keep their winning form rolling on home turf. If you are tracking cricket insight alongside your regular ashes tips, the stats in this series jump off the page.
England come into this match with two convincing head-to-head wins against Pakistan already locked in during August 2026. The home team has taken complete control of the recent meetings, making Edgbaston a massive task for the visiting squad.
Who Will Win the 3rd Test?
The numbers say England are in prime position to secure another victory. Across their last five overall starts, England have logged three wins and two losses (W, W, L, L, W). Coming off a last-start win on Thu, 27 Aug, where they scored 290 & 208 to overpower Pakistan's 110 & 194 (50.5 ov, target 389), the hosts are full of confidence. That result followed another heavy victory on Wed, 19 Aug, scoring 409 to dismiss Pakistan for 171 & 135 (37.3 ov). That gives England two consecutive head-to-head triumphs by big margins, giving them a big tick.
Pakistan enter this 3rd Test needing a fast turnaround after back-to-back defeats against England. Looking at their form across their last five overall matches, Pakistan have recorded just one win and four losses (L, L, W, L, L). Coming off a loss in their most recent start on Thu, 27 Aug, the visitors have struggled to post competitive totals away from home against this English attack.
In the Head to Head market, England's price has 1.24→1.23 (firmed) as punters side with the form guide. Pakistan's price has 6→6.25 (drifted), with the Draw positioned at 8.75. Given England's back-to-back Test wins over Pakistan in August and solid recent record at home, backing the home side rates a real chance.
Tipped at $1.23 (6:13 am AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.