Milwaukee Brewers arrive at Citizens Bank Park sitting on a massive 99 wins this season, looking to crack the century mark when they meet Philadelphia Phillies on Friday, 25 Sept at 8:05 am AEST.
The numbers say this matchup is primed for action. Philadelphia holds an 87-71 record on the season, while Milwaukee continues to dominate the NL with a 99-59 record and a massive +203 run differential.
If you are hunting for top-tier mlb picks, the statistics give us plenty to sink our teeth into ahead of this Friday morning clash.
Head to Head: Brewers Aiming for Win 100
Philadelphia Phillies enter this contest coming off a 1–4 defeat against Milwaukee in their most recent start on Thursday, 24 Sept. That result leaves Philadelphia with two wins from their last five overall outings (LWWLL).
Milwaukee, on the other hand, comes into this clash coming off a 4–1 win against Philadelphia on Thursday, 24 Sept. That victory gives the Brewers four wins from their last five overall starts (WLWWW).
Across the entire season, Milwaukee averages 5 runs scored per game while conceding 4. Over their last five overall, Philadelphia's pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game while their offense has scored 4.
On the hill, Andrew Painter is slated to throw for Philadelphia, while Bryse Wilson takes the ball for Milwaukee. With Philadelphia priced at 1.82 head-to-head favourites and Milwaukee sitting at 2.00, Milwaukee rates a real chance at even money to lock in victory.
Tipped at $2.00 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
Head-to-head context
Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.
Line Analysis: Can Philadelphia Cover the Spread?
The line is set with Philadelphia as -1.5 run favourites at 2.55, while Milwaukee gets a +1.5 run start at 1.50.
Looking at recent performance, Philadelphia's average loss margin over their last five games sits at 4.3 runs, with an average win margin of 3.5 runs. However, with three losses across their last five games overall, laying -1.5 runs carries plenty of risk.
Milwaukee’s average loss margin over their last five games overall is just 2 runs, while their winning margins average 2 runs. Over that same five-game stretch, Milwaukee has allowed a miserly average of only 2.4 runs per game. Getting +1.5 runs gives the visitors a solid cushion, making Milwaukee +1.5 at 1.50 a big tick.
Tipped at $1.50 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
Line cover (form)
Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.
Philadelphia Phillies-1.5last 5
Milwaukee Brewers+1.5last 5
Total Runs: Under 8.5 Jumps Off the Page
The total runs mark is set at 8.5 runs, with the Over priced at 1.95 and the Under at 1.85.
The historical average total combined score across the last five head-to-head encounters between these two teams sits at 8.4 runs.
Milwaukee's defensive structure has been rock solid lately. Over their last five games overall, Milwaukee has conceded just 2.4 runs per game while scoring 3.6 runs — combining for an average of just 6 runs per game. With four of the last five meetings between these sides falling below 9 runs, Under 8.5 runs at 1.85 jumps off the page as a quality option.
Tipped at $1.85 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
Total runs
Combined score from recent completed games · marker shows live line 8.5.
Hit rate vs 8.5