Major League Baseball action rolls into loanDepot park on Sun, 27 Sept, 6:10 am AEST as the Miami Marlins host the division-leading Atlanta Braves. Jack Ralston gets the start on the mound for Miami, while Brent Suter takes the ball for Atlanta in what shapes up as a captivating divisional clash.
The Marlins jump into this fixture fresh off a 3-0 shutout win over Atlanta on 26 Sept, looking to keep that momentum rolling. Punters scanning the board for quality mlb picks will find plenty of statistical value across the main markets.
Who Will Win? Marlins vs Braves
The ladder gives Atlanta the overall edge across the season with a 93-67 record (.581 winning percentage) sitting top of the division, compared to Miami's 79-81 record (.494 winning percentage) in third.
However, recent form tells an intriguing story. Miami is coming off a 3-0 victory against Atlanta on 26 Sept and has taken three wins from their last five overall starts. Over that five-game span, Miami's defense has held firm, conceding an average of just 2.6 runs per game.
Atlanta enters this clash on a two-game slide after falling 0-3 to Miami most recently and losing 6-7 to Cincinnati on 25 Sept. The Braves have scored an average of only 2.6 runs per game across their past five overall outings. In head-to-head action, Atlanta won four straight meetings between May and August before Miami claimed the latest contest.
Head-to-head odds currently sit at 2.10 for Miami and 1.74 for Atlanta.
Head to Head
Odds subject to change. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
Line Analysis: Marlins with the Start
The line market lists the home side Miami at +1.5 runs (1.70), while Atlanta lays -1.5 runs (2.15).
Miami's defensive performance over their last five overall games jumps off the page, giving up just 2.6 runs per game while recording an average win margin of 3.3 runs in their three victories. Atlanta's scoring average has dipped to 2.6 runs per game over their last five overall outings, with an average loss margin of 2.7 runs in their defeats.
Given Miami's tight defensive work and their recent win over Atlanta, taking the Marlins with the +1.5 run start rates a real chance.
Tipped at $1.70 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
Line cover (form)
Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.
Miami Marlins+1.5last 5
Atlanta Braves-1.5last 5
Total Runs Outlook: Low-Scoring Trend
The Total Runs line is set at 8.5 runs, with the Over priced at 1.85 and the Under at 1.95.
The numbers say a low-scoring contest is on the cards. Miami's last five overall games have produced a combined average of just 6.2 runs (3.6 for, 2.6 against). Atlanta's last five overall fixtures match that exact combined total of 6.2 runs per game (2.6 for, 3.6 against).
Additionally, the average combined total across the last five head-to-head matchups between these two clubs sits right at 8 runs. Under 8.5 runs gets a big tick based on those defensive metrics.
Tipped at $1.95 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
Total runs
Combined score from recent completed games · marker shows live line 8.5.
Hit rate vs 8.5
Same Game Multi Options
Same Game Multi options are available on the board for this fixture. One popular combination features Over 8.5 total runs in the match, Heriberto Hernandez to hit 1+ home runs & Matt Olson to hit 1+ home runs at 26.
Another featured multi includes Over 8.5 total runs in the match, Heriberto Hernandez to hit 1+ home runs & Drake Baldwin to hit 1+ home runs sitting at 29.